Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Monday 2/14
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Fox missed eight games due to an ankle injury but has looked terrific in his return averaging 27 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 4.5 assists over three games. The price is back in the $8K range on both sites but I am not worried considering he has seen a big boost in usage since his return taking 20+ shots in each of those three games which is about three more per game than his season average. Finally, Fox gets a terrific matchup against a Nets team that has gone South fast losing 11 straight games while giving up an average of 119 points per game. Fire up Fox in all formats.
It is going to be tough to catch Mobley, Cunningham, and Barnes in the Rookie of the Year race but Ayo has definitely thrown his hat in the ring. He didn't join the starting lineup until mid-January but since then, has been terrific playing around 38 minutes a game and while the usage isn't high, he is contributing in four categories and averaging 31 DK/28.6 FD points per game. The price is on the rise and near a season-high but still feels like a buy-low considering this game has the highest total on the slate with the Spurs ranking 18th in defensive efficiency and 5th in pace. I don't think we need to force him on FanDuel but Ayo is one of my favorite PTS/$ guards on this slate.
C.J. McCollum FD - $7800 DK - $7900
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 35.32 DK - 38.5
The trade to New Orleans was a bit of a surprise but McCollum has transitioned well, to say the least. He has stepped in and taken over in terms of usage putting up 45 shots(17 from behind the arc) in his first two games and after shooting just 28% in the first game, rebounded in a huge way shooting 62.5% against the Spurs while putting gup 57 DK/50.7 FD points. The matchup is only mediocre(TOR 14th in defensive efficiency) but the price is under $8K on both sites making McCollum one of my top plays at the guard position.
Devin Vassell FD - $5800 DK - $5200
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 28.43 DK - 29.94
This is a game we are going to want a ton of exposure to and with DeJounte Murray's price headed to the moon relegating him to GPP only, I turn to Devin Vassell for my cash builds. We will have to watch closely for the starting lineup as he doesn't consistently start but has played a consistent 28-30 minutes for about a month now. What I like most is the huge uptick in usage in the short term as he has taken 12 or more shots in three straight and tallied 30+ fantasy points in each. The Bulls are much better at home but still ranked just 19th in defensive efficiency so if the SPurs can keep it close, and I think they will, Vassell should be able to continue his hot streak, and is a play for me in all formats.
Kyle Kuzma FD - $7700 DK - $8600
Opponent - DET
Proj Pts FD - 45.28 DK - 48.96
Kuzma is a player we really have to watch the matchup as almost all his duds for fantasy have come against top defenses. The great news here is that he gets one of the best matchups on the board Monday facing a Pistons team that ranks 26th in defensive efficiency, 28th in rebounding, and is also Top 10 in pace. Even with those aforementioned duds against tough defenses, Kuzma is averaging a double-double(21.1 pts/10.1 reb) and 43.0 DK/40.8 FD points per game since the start of January. The Wizards defense has been pretty terrible as well(23rd in def eff) so this game is expected to stay close which should give Kuzma a full run and puts him in play in all formats, especially on FanDuel where he remains under $8K.
Justise Winslow FD - $6000 DK - $5600
Opponent - MIL
Proj Pts FD - 31.53 DK - 32.99
With the Trail Blazers trading away a large portion of their core(McCollum, Powell, Nance, Covington) it has created some opportunity for others. Justice Winslow is one of those players as he has stepped into a starting role over the last three games, played 33+ minutes, taken 10+ shots, and tallied 32+ fantasy points in each. While the usage is never going to get too high, Winslow has been terrific in providing value in almost every category. The matchup is nothing to write home about(MIL is 12th in defensive efficiency) but the price is just too low for a player putting up 30+ fantasy points at ease as a starter.
Pascal Siakam FD - $10300 DK - $10100
Opponent - NO
Proj Pts FD - 45.59 DK - 48.22
After putting up a dud in a smash spot against Houston(39 DK pts), Siakam rebounded in a huge way against a tough Denver defense with one of his best performances of the season tallying 64 DraftKings points. It was the fifth time in six games he has exceeded 50 DK points and he will have a great shot to extend that further in a matchup against the Pelicans who rank 22nd in defensive efficiency and have given up an average of 107.7 points per game over their last six. Fire up Siakam in all formats.
Jonathan Kuminga FD - $5600 DK - $4600
Opponent - LAC
Proj Pts FD - 25.45 DK - 27.77
This pick is a bit speculative at the moment as he has been somewhat splitting time with Otto Porter in the short-term with Draymond Green out of the lineup. Whether starting or not, Kuminga has been very solid in February averaging 16.7 points per game on 59% shooting, and has added just over five rebounds per game as well. While the Clippers are a Top 10 overall defense, they rank 24th in rebounding and this game is expected to stay close. I would need to see him starting for me to like that FanDuel price in the mid $5K range but I will have exposure either way on DraftKings.
Andre Drummond FD - $6000 DK - $5500
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 36.84 DK - 37.05
One of the biggest trades of the deadline had the Nets ship out James Harden for a package that not only included multiple 1st round picks but also Ben Simmons, Seth Curry, and Andre Drummond. With Kyrie Irving currently only playing road games and Kevin Durant still injured, this trade benefited the Nets the most in that they really needed the depth.
Both Curry and Drummond are expected to make their debuts tonight and while there is some risk in not knowing the extent of how they will be used, I love the price on Drummond who is projected as one of our top PTS/$ plays at just a 25-minute projection. I can most definitely live with that in cash games and the price also leaves a lot of room for GPP upside against a Kings team that ranks 29th in defensive efficiency and 7th in pace.