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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

05/09/2022
Chris Durell

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/9/22

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Pitchers

Carlos RodónCarlos Rodón FD - P 11100 DK - SP 10000
Opponent - COL (Austin Gomber) Park - SF
FD - 39.91 DK - 21.93

The fact that Rodon gave up three hits and two earned runs and that was his worst start of this young season says everything about how elite he has been in 2022. In fact, he has yet to allow more than three hits in a start and has allowed just five total earned runs through five starts(1.55 ERA/2.72 xFIP) with a league-leading 37% K rate. The matchup is a tough one against the Rockies who are a Top 10 scoring offense but a lot of their stats come at home in Coors as they have a wOBA that is 50 points higher than on the road. Rodon is our top projected pitcher(raw points) on this slate and in play in all formats.

Brandon WoodruffBrandon Woodruff FD - P 10200 DK - SP 9300
Opponent - CIN (Luis Castillo) Park - CIN
FD - 39.94 DK - 21.71

There have been some ups and downs for Woodruff to start the 2022 season but he is an elite starting pitcher who is underpriced on both sites in this elite matchup. The Brewers open as -180 favorites in this game against the Reds who rank near the bottom of every hitting stat(.272 wOBA, 70 wRC+) including the 2nd worst K rate(26.5%) which Woodruff exposed for 12 K's in his last start. All things considered, Woodruff is our top projected PTS/$ pitcher on this slate.

Also Consider: Paul Blackburn(OAK) as a value option on both sites who is having a terrific start to the year with a 2.22 ERA and equally impressive 2.49 XFIP

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Catcher/First Base

Ty FranceTy France FD - 1B 3700 DK - 1B 4200
Opponent - PHI (Ranger Suárez) Park - SEA
FD - 13.76 DK - 10.49

The Mariners have fallen three games below .500 on the season but still have an above-average offense and draw a plus matchup on Monday. Ty France is in the midst of a breakout season as he enters Monday with .324/.392/.486 slash line with five home runs and 21 RBI. He faces off against Ranger Suarez who has given up 5+ hits in four of five starts and has struggled mightily against righties giving up a .415 wOBA and all four of his home runs. France is my top play at the position, especially on DraftKings where he was in the $6K range at the start of May.

Rowdy TellezRowdy Tellez FD - 1B 3400 DK - 1B 4700
Opponent - CIN (Luis Castillo) Park - CIN
FD - 9.77 DK - 7.38

It has been quite the stretch of baseball for Rowdy Tellez over the last 7-10 days. Going into Sunday, he had hits in six of eight games with four multi-hit efforts, four home runs, and an insane 15 RBI which has helped the Brewers get on a run to push them atop the National League Central division. On Monday, they get a matchup against Luis Castillo who is making his season debut and likely is limited to 3-4 innings which means Rowdy gets to tee off against a terrible Reds bullpen. At these prices, he is in play in all formats.

Second Base

Adam FrazierAdam Frazier FD - 2B 2800 DK - 2B 3700
Opponent - PHI (Ranger Suárez) Park - SEA
FD - 9.35 DK - 7.28

I am mostly targeting the Mariners' righties tonight as Suarez really struggles in that split but if we are loading up on Mariners there is no way we are ignoring Adam Frazier. He hits leadoff for the M's and while he lacks upside, has been consistent with hits in 10 of his last 14 games with a 121 wRC+. He has also been efficient against lefties with a .271/.336/.411 slash line since the start of last season. He is best utilized in cash games but at his price, is in play on both sites making paying up for pitching much easier.

Ketel MarteKetel Marte FD 3100 DK 4100
Opponent - MIA (Elieser Hernandez) Park - MIA
FD - 9.61 DK - 7.36

I just recently traded for Marte in season-long so this is more me manifesting a return to all-star caliber baseball for the D-Backs second basemen. In all seriousness, Marte is also back on our radars when it comes to daily fantasy, as well, with him heating up ad entering Monday with an eight-game win streak and coming off his first three-hit game of the season on Sunday. The only real difference from last year is the K rate(23%) is up around 7% so when he gets that under control, a .300 average is not out of the equation either. With a mid-range price on both sites, Marte is in play for me in all formats.

Shortstop

Willy AdamesWilly Adames FD - SS 3900 DK - SS 5100
Opponent - CIN (Luis Castillo) Park - CIN
FD - 11.01 DK - 8.34

The Brewers will face Luis Castillo tonight who is making his season debut and with a likely pitch count, will likely see a ton of the Reds bullpen that ranks near the bottom of the league. Making this matchup even better is the fact the Brewers have been one of the hottest teams in the league over the past two weeks with a wOBA(.360) and wRC+(133) that trails only the Yankees and they have also hit a league-high 25 home runs in that time. We are paying a premium price on both sites but Adames checks all the boxes and is in play in all formats.

Tim AndersonTim Anderson FD 3600 DK 5300
Opponent - CLE (Zach Plesac) Park - CLE
FD - 11.01 DK - 8.58

As always, shortstop is loaded with top plays and one of my top payup spots on the slate so let's touch on a second one. Former batting champ, Tim Anderson, got a late start to the season due to a suspension and it really has affected him whatsoever, especially recently as he comes in with hits in seven of his last eight games with five multi-hit efforts. This hot streak has also pushed his season average up to .337 through 96 plate appearances with an elite .393 wOBA and 167 wRC+. In a matchup against struggling Zach Plesac, Anderson is a top shortstop in all formats, especially on FanDuel where he remains in the mid $3K. range.

Third Base

Alec BohmAlec Bohm FD 2900 DK 3400
Opponent - SEA (Chris Flexen) Park - SEA
FD - 8.4 DK - 6.45

With no shortage of top plays I plus matchups tonight, finding value is going to be key so I am going to jump back in at the third base position. Alec Bohm was the Phillies 1st round pick(3rd overall) in 2018 and after a huge 2020 campaign, he fell off to mediocrity in 2021 leaving many wondering if he would pan out. Wait no longer as another breakout is upon us as he enters Monday hitting .312 with a .351 wOBA and since being up to the top of the lineup, he has hots in four of five games with three multi-hit efforts. At these prices, he is one of our top PTS/$ values on this slate.

Anthony RendonAnthony Rendon FD 3200 DK 4800
Opponent - TB (Jeffrey Springs) Park - TB
FD - 9.75 DK - 7.33

It is nearly impossible to stack the top 3 of the Angels lineup with their current prices but sitting right behind them is Anthony Rendon sitting mid-range on both sites. It has been a struggle to return to his consistent self since the injury last summer as he is hitting just .213 on the season but the K rate remains below 20% and the BABIP sits over 70 points below his career average so I am optimistic the breakout is coming. In the meantime, the price is right for the tremendous opportunity of hitting behind MVPs Ohtani and Trout and that puts hi in play in all formats.

Outfield

Christian YelichChristian Yelich FD - OF 3800 DK - OF 5000
Opponent - CIN (Luis Castillo) Park - CIN
FD - 11.44 DK - 8.65

Yelich isn't quite back to his 2018 MVP but it has been a terrific start considering all the adversity he has faced in recent years. He went into Sunday's game with hits in eight of his last 10 games with three doubles and three home runs and now has 17 RBI and 19 runs scored on the season. He has been league-average against lefties but much better against righties with a .362 wOBA, 135 wRC+, and .221 ISO. All things considered, Yelich is my top outfielder on this Monday slate.

Daulton VarshoDaulton Varsho FD 3100 DK 3800
Opponent - MIA (Elieser Hernandez) Park - MIA
FD - 10.66 DK - 8.11

For the first time this season, and maybe ever, I am writing up two Diamondbacks' players in the same article but I assure you I have not gone off the deep end. In this spot, it comes down to Varsho checking almost every box starting with the fact he comes in red-hot with hits in eight straight including four doubles and two long balls. He also gets a ton of opportunity for fantasy points hitting in the leadoff spot and best of all has multi-position eligibility and can even be used in the catcher spot if needed. He isn't a must on FanDuel but is a much better value on DraftKings in the sub $4K range in a plus matchup against Elieser Hernadez who has struggled mightily with left-handed bats(.423 wOBA).

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