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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

06/07/2022
Doug Norrie

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 6/7/22 - Main Slate

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Pitchers

Carlos RodónCarlos Rodón FD 9900 DK 10300
Opponent - COL (Germán Márquez) Park - COL
FD - 41.5 DK - 23.21

After starting the season like gangbusters, Rodon has cooled off some over his last few starts. But he remains one of the best options on Tuesday thanks to a couple of key factors. For starters, he’s still striking out more than 11 batters per nine on the season, and the ERA is in the mid-3s despite one complete disaster of a start a couple of weeks ago. He’s a -202 home favorite against the Rockies who are a pretty bad offense outside of Coors and San Fran has one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in the majors.

Kyle WrightKyle Wright FD 10500 DK 10100
Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAK
FD - 42.02 DK - 23

Kyle Wright is another guy in a fantastic spot here on Tuesday with one of the best matchups going in the majors against the Oakland A’s. The Athletics have been jockeying with the Tigers for worst offense in the majors this season and they strike out more than 24% of the time. Wright is a -235 home favorite and has been amazing this season with a 2.41 ERA thanks to a 27.5% K rate. The walks remain a bit problematic, but this matchup against a terrible offense mitigates that to some degree. On FanDuel it’s tough to pick between these two guys in cash for sure.

Catcher/First Base

Ryan MountcastleRyan Mountcastle FD 3100 DK 3100
Opponent - CHC (Keegan Thompson) Park - CHC
FD - 10.86 DK - 8.29

Adley RutschmanAdley Rutschman FD 2300 DK 4000
Opponent - CHC (Keegan Thompson) Park - CHC
FD - 9.5 DK - 7.23

We are going to almost definitely want to spend up at pitching, likely stacking too of the more expensive arms on DraftKings, so we’ll have to find some deals on the bats whenever possible. The Orioles actually have one of their higher implied run lines on the season with the number sitting around 4.8 at the time of this writing. Mountcastle, for his price, has been fine enough this season with an OPS in the mid-700s thanks to eight home runs and he’s even added a couple of stolen bases. Keegan Thompson is a low-K arm so I think we can punt a bit on DraftKings with this guy at 1B.

Meanwhile, Adley Rutschman is one of the majors' true blue-chip prospects, recently called up a couple of weeks ago. At the plate, it’s been a struggle for the rookie though he projects to be one of the best hitting catchers around. He’s torn up the minors over the last few seasons and there’s a reason he sits near the top of these lists. I’ll buy the discount you are getting on FanDuel especially.

I think you can also consider Trey Mancini (FD $3000 DK $4400) right in with these guys. Again, the Orioles are coming on the cheaper side in a good matchup.

Second Base

Ozzie AlbiesOzzie Albies FD 3300 DK 4600
Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAK
FD - 12.04 DK - 9.23

The Braves have one of the higher implied run lines on the day facing off against the lefty Cole Irvin. The latter can barely strike batters out at the major league level and has lived on a low BABIP against and a high strand rate. Albies has struggled in his own right this season but his issues have never been against lefties. In that split, for his career, the switch hitter has a .920 OPS, .387 wOBA, and .231 ISO. These are elite numbers and he’s tuned up southpaws for sure. It’s just that he’s average or below against righties which drives down his overall numbers.

Christopher MorelChristopher Morel FD 3500 DK 4300
Opponent - BAL (Kyle Bradish) Park - BAL
FD - 11.31 DK - 8.65

Morel should be hitting leadoff for the Cubs when they take on Kyle Bradish on Tuesday. The former is 2B-eligible on DraftKings and comes in the middle tier in terms of price. He’s been solid in his first 90 or so major league plate appearances with a .848 OPS, 12% walk rate, two home runs and six stolen bases already. You have to like how he’s getting after it on the base paths which really boosts the fantasy floor on a game-to-game basis.

Shortstop

Dansby SwansonDansby Swanson FD 3500 DK 4800
Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAK
FD - 11.75 DK - 8.94

You are definitely going to want to play some of these Braves facing off against Cole Irvin on Tuesday. Swanson should be one of the priorities considering he’s slated to hit second in the lineup after Acuna and has put up solid numbers in this platoon for his career. While he’s basically neutral against righties or lefties, he does walk more and strike out less against the latter. He’s also shown more power against southpaws as well. The Braves stack definitely plays on this slate.

Javier BáezJavier Báez FD 2400 DK 3900
Opponent - PIT (José Quintana) Park - PIT
FD - 10.14 DK - 7.77

What do we do with Javier Baez here? On the one hand, he’s coming just about free on FanDuel and that’s going to be enticing as long as the Tigers continue trotting him out in the middle of the order. But how long will they do that considering the OPS is in the low-500s and he continues to struggle mightily at the plate. For his career, he’s been much better against lefties with a .877 OPS and 129 wRC+ in that split, so I can be talked into taking the risk here. But I understand if the numbers this season are just too in the tank to think about.

Third Base

Austin RileyAustin Riley FD 3800 DK 5500
Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAK
FD - 11.7 DK - 8.86

Riley had a breakout season in 2021 with 33 home runs on his way to a .898 OPS and .379 wOBA. The numbers haven’t been quite the same this season, but he’s still swinging a solid bat and has 14 home runs already. There’s a chance he pushes last season’s mark in that category. And he’s been much better against lefties for his career with an .891 OPS and 130 wOBA in that split. There’s a reason we are going to want to target the top and middle of the Braves’ lineup on Tuesday.

I like Riley considerably more than anyone else at the position, though think you can take a stab on Evan Longoria (FD $2800 DK $4500) coming cheap on FanDuel.

Outfield

Ronald Acuña Jr.Ronald Acuña Jr. FD 4100 DK 6300
Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAK
FD - 14.82 DK - 11.17

He’s very expensive, but if there’s going to be a bat to pay up for on this slate, Acuna should be the one. From a fantasy (and real-life) perspective, he’s one of the very best out there and this season is no different. The OPS is sitting in the mid-800s and while the power hasn’t completely come around (three home runs), he already has 10 stolen bases and is on pace to push toward a career mark in that stat. He’s crushed lefties for his career with a .956 OPS and 149 wRC+ in that split, some of the best numbers you will see. He’s easily the spend-up on this slate when it comes to bats.

Consider Marcell Ozuna (FD $3400 DK $4500) though he’s been shifted down some in the order.

Cedric MullinsCedric Mullins FD 3100 DK 4200
Opponent - CHC (Keegan Thompson) Park - CHC
FD - 12.28 DK - 9.45

We said the Orioles were in a good spot against Keegan Thompson and were also coming on the cheaper side, allowing you to pay up for some better bats and definitely the arms. Mullins will continue to work out of the leadoff slot for Baltimore though hasn’t been able to replicate the breakout year he had last time around. The OPS is sitting in the high .500s though he’s still managed to hit five home runs and steal 11 bases. The fantasy upside is for sure there, it just hasn’t come consistently.

Andrew McCutchenAndrew McCutchen FD 2700 DK 3500
Opponent - PHI (Ranger Suárez) Park - PHI
FD - 11.93 DK - 8.94

It hasn’t happened this season, where he’s been struggling, but McCutchen has had overwhelming success against lefty pitching throughout his career. He’s tuned up southpaws with a .401 wOBA and .943 OPS throughout, some of the best numbers you’ll see over a large sample size. I’m still willing to buy on that performance even though age and injury might be catching up with him this season.

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