DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 6/28/22 - Main Slate

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Pitchers

Carlos Rodón FD 10600 DK 10400
Opponent - DET (Tarik Skubal) Park - DET
FD - 40.65 DK - 22.5

With a game in Coors, it can always get a little weird paying all the way up for pitching, but Rodon is one of the guys to considering do just such a thing based on how good he’s been this season. He’s striking out batters at a 31% clip and has been able to limit the walks to under 9%. He’s got a 2.70 ERA with a 3.11 xFIP and comes into this game as a -190 home favorite against the Tigers who have the second-worst team wOBA in the league this season and strike out 24% of the time. This is all lined up to be a great cash game spot for Rodon.

Shane Baz FD 7200 DK 7600
Opponent - MIL (Brandon Woodruff) Park - MIL
FD - 36.65 DK - 20

If you are looking to go a little cheaper with the pitching in order to fit in some of those higher-priced bats then Baz could be the guy. While he isn’t a huge favorite against the Brewers (-121), this game has a very love 7.0 over/under. Baz definitely has strikeout stuff, having put down 15 batters in his first 13 major league innings. He’s even been able to go six innings in one of his starts. He’s coming cheap on both sites and really does fit the bill as a cash game pitcher with a little risk if you are looking to stack some Coors bats.

Catcher/First Base

Freddie Freeman FD 4500 DK 5900
Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COL
FD - 14.79 DK - 11.14

Will Smith FD 3900 DK 5700
Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COL
FD - 15.08 DK - 11.22

All right, get ready to see this article piled with Dodgers, as well it should be considering they are heading into their second game in Coors. It was a disappointing effort considering they were shut out the first game, but we really can’t let that deter us here. Freeman should hit second in the order facing off against the lefty Freeland, and the former is once again putting together an excellent season even if the power numbers are a bit down. This is the worse side of his split, though he’s still well better than average for his career against lefties with a .788 OPS and .343 wOBA.

And then there is Smith who should be hitting in the third slot in the Dodgers’ lineup on Tuesday. He’s bringing a .799 OPS into the game with 11 home runs on the season. For his career he’s actually been better against righties as well, amounting to a reverse splits guy, but the numbers against lefties are still solid with a .779 OPS and .195 ISO. He costs a ton on DraftKings though it makes sense because of the positional scarcity at catcher.

Strongly consider Michael Chavis (FD $2500 DK $2000) hitting third against the lefty Patrick Corbin.

Second Base

Max Muncy FD 3200 DK 4900
Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COL
FD - 14.87 DK - 10.99

Muncy has really struggled this season when he hasn’t been injured and his OBP is actually higher than his Slugging%, not something you see everyday over a larger sample size. If the Dodgers are going to still trust him in the middle of the order then I suppose we can too, though it’s been rough for the guy. To continue the reverse platoons theme, Muncy is actually better against lefty pitching for his career with an .853 OPS and .364 wOBA. I think we are still getting him at a bargain on FanDuel though the DraftKings’ price is starting to push it even in Coors.

Marcus Semien FD 3000 DK 5000
Opponent - KC (Jonathan Heasley) Park - KC
FD - 11.7 DK - 8.84

We obviously greatly prefer the Dodgers guys on this slate, so anyone below them is pretty far down in the list of cash game considerations. But if you are looking to pivot, the Rangers have a 5.0 run line against Heasley on Tuesday. Semien has obviously struggled this season, his first in Texas after signing the big contract. The hard contact rate is down, but there’s also plenty of bad luck in there as well. The matchup against Heasley is a good one considering the latter has been a low-K arm in the majors so far.

Shortstop

Trea Turner FD 4600 DK 6100
Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COL
FD - 16.94 DK - 13.05

Turner is pretty much a lock for cash games on both sites at shortstop on Tuesday against the lefty Freeland. After starting the season slowly, he’s turned things up and has 10 home runs with 15 stolen bases. The OPS is up to .851 with a .366 wOBA. He’s been elite against lefty pitching for his career with an .883 OPS and 134 wRC+ in that split. The price is through the roof, but it’s worth it considering what Turner can do from a fantasy perspective and that he’ll be hitting leadoff for the Dodgers on Tuesday.

Corey Seager FD 3400 DK 5600
Opponent - KC (Jonathan Heasley) Park - KC
FD - 12.6 DK - 9.57

Again, I greatly prefer Turner over other shortstop options on this slate, so Seager is mostly here as fodder. But I don’t mind the Rangers shortstop here. Like Semien, he’s struggled some this season since coming over to Texas though he does has 15 home runs on the season. There just hasn’t been a ton else. But his BABIP is nearly 100 points lower than his career averages so the bad luck bug has definitely struck this guy some this season.

Third Base

Justin Turner FD 3500 DK 4700
Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COL
FD - 13.7 DK - 10.33

Let’s round out some of the Dodgers’ stacks here with Justin Turner who should be hitting in the fifth spot in the LA order on Tuesday. Turner is another guy who’s struggled some this season with only four home runs and an OPS sitting in the low .600s. There are some BABIP issues, but his hard contact rate is also down this season. But he’s been mostly platoon neutral for his career, has been tough to strikeout and this is Coors were are talking about. Stacking the Dodgers and their run line which is pushing up to 7.0 is the way to go.

José Ramírez FD 4200 DK 5600
Opponent - MIN (Devin Smeltzer) Park - MIN
FD - 12.31 DK - 9.3

In some ways it’s silly to spend up on some struggling Dodgers in Coors when you have a guy like Ramirez who’s basically crushed it season over season. Yes, he’s very expensive, but he’s about as good a hitter as there is in the majors. He walks (12%) more than he strikes out (7%) which is something you really don’t see these days at all. The OPS is right around 1K and he has 16 home runs with 12 stolen bases. Again, this guy is about as elite hitter as you’ll find.

Outfield

Ke'Bryan Hayes FD 3000 DK 4500
Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSH
FD - 10.48 DK - 8.08

Bryan Reynolds FD 2800 DK 4400
Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSH
FD - 11.48 DK - 8.75

The Pirates are coming on the cheaper side of things for Tuesday and do help in fitting in some of the Dodgers’ bats here. They are facing off against Patrick Corbin who’s been rocked this season to the tune of a 6.60 ERA thanks to a reduced strikeout rate. The wheels have come off for this guy. Hayes and Reynolds should hit 1-2 in the Pittsburgh lineup and both have some fantasy upside here. Hayes has been significantly better against lefty pitching for his career with an .852 OPS and .367 wOBA, both much better than what he does against lefties. And he’s tough to put down on strikes with a 16% K% in that split.

Meanwhile, Reynolds isn’t putting up the same OPS numbers he did a season ago, but he does hav 12 home runs on the year. He’s more of a platoon neutral hitter if a little better against righties for his career. But he’s coming pretty cheap on both sites, and especially on FanDuel where he’s under $3K.

George Springer FD 3500 DK 4900
Opponent - BOS (Michael Wacha) Park - BOS
FD - 12.53 DK - 9.41

Springer is coming pretty cheap on FanDuel considering he’ll be hitting in the leadoff slot against the Red Sox and the Blue Jays are coming in with a 5.2 implied run line. He has an .827 OPS on the season even though the BABIP is sitting about 20 points lower than his career number. He’s lowered the strikeout rate some and has 14 home runs on the season. I like him in this matchup against the low-K Wacha.

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