Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

Doug Norrie

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/13/22

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Jacob deGromJacob deGrom FD 12000 DK 11800
Opponent - CHC (Adrian Sampson) Park - CHC
FD - 53.74 DK - 31.27 DeGrom is as big a favorite in Tuesday’s game as you’ll really ever see in a Major League Baseball game. He opened at -423 against the Cubs at home and now it’s sitting at -390. That is just a ridiculous number and he makes for an incredibly tough fade as a SP1. Even with the price being as high as it is, you pretty much have to play him. The numbers are just sick. He is striking out batters at a 41% clip with a 15.75:1 K:BB. Those are video game stats for a starting pitcher. We will have to make some concessions with the bats but it doesn’t matter because deGrom is just that good.

Jordan MontgomeryJordan Montgomery FD 9100 DK 8400
Opponent - MIL (Matt Bush) Park - MIL
FD - 39.08 DK - 20.61

While it isn’t in the deGrom category of crazy favorites, Montgomery is in a good spot of his own on Tuesday against the Brewers. He’s sitting at -210 at home and the price on DraftKings actually makes it palatable that we can get a bat or two into the lineup. He’s gone six of more innings in four of his last six starts including a complete game one-hitter against the Cubs and he limits the walks in a big way which makes up for the K rate being a little on the lower side.

Catcher/First Base

Adley RutschmanAdley Rutschman FD 3100 DK 5400
Opponent - WSH (Cory Abbott) Park - WSH
FD - 11.5 DK - 8.75

Ryan MountcastleRyan Mountcastle FD 2700 DK 3700
Opponent - WSH (Cory Abbott) Park - WSH
FD - 11.4 DK - 8.71

No teams come into this slate with overwhelmingly high run lines, but the Orioles are in a good spot against the Nationals and Cory Abbott. The ultra-prospect Rutschman has had an excellent first season in the majors with an .800 OPS and 10 home runs through his first 377 plate appearances. He’s walking almost 14% of the time and striking out less than 18%. That’s right where you want to be from a cash game perspective and the price doesn’t break the bank on FanDuel at all.

Meanwhile, Mountcastle should be hitting cleanup for the O’s on Tuesday and is more of a boom-or-bust type for fantasy purposes. He does has 21 home runs on the season, but also has an OBP under .300 thanks to a lower walk rate. He’s kind of home run or nothing which is why the price is reasonable on both sites. There’s some risk here for sure, but Abbott isn’t an overwhelming K guy.

Second Base

Marcus SemienMarcus Semien FD 3700 DK 5000
Opponent - OAK (Ken Waldichuk) Park - OAK
FD - 11.74 DK - 8.88

The Rangers are another team with a higher run line on the day, sitting at 4.8 implied runs against the lefty Waldichuk. Semien got things back on track after a horrific start to the season and now at least has the OPS in the .700s, a far cry from where it seemed like he was going to be. And he’s up to 22 home runs and 24 stolen bases, adding plenty of fantasy value in recent months. For his career, he’s better against lefties with a .795 OPS and .341 wOBA. The price has come up with the performance, but I still think he’s something of a value here.

Rougned OdorRougned Odor FD 2100 DK 2600
Opponent - WSH (Cory Abbott) Park - WSH
FD - 9.3 DK - 6.99

If you want to punt this position a little more then Odor hitting around the middle of the lineup for Baltimore is an okay option. The OPS is on the lower side, but he does have 12 home runs and six stolen bases on the season. There’s a reason the price is lower for sure, but we need to find some savings to fit deGrom on this slate.


Corey SeagerCorey Seager FD 3400 DK 5200
Opponent - OAK (Ken Waldichuk) Park - OAK
FD - 11.44 DK - 8.68

Seager is having a solid first year in Texas and has already set a career power mark with 30 home runs on the season. The OPS is sitting in the high .700s and he remains one of the tougher outs in baseball with a 75% contact rate. He’s better against righties for his career, but has been well above average against lefties with a .799 OPS in that split with a 116 wRC+. He is a bargain on FanDuel though is a bit on the expensive side on DraftKings.

Nick AllenNick Allen FD 2100 DK 2000
Opponent - TEX (Cole Ragans) Park - TEX
FD - 8.54 DK - 6.71

Nick Allen could be an excellent way to save on this slate. He’s expected to hit leadoff for the A’s and is coming at the minimums on both sites. The 23-year-old doesn’t have much in the way of power with only three home runs on the season but he does put the ball in play about 75% of the time. He’s running bad in the BABIP department which is driving the AVG and OPS down but it’s also keep the price low. He’s a lower upside play but the batting lineup position works at his price.

Third Base

Josh JungJosh Jung FD 2100 DK 2000
Opponent - OAK (Ken Waldichuk) Park - OAK
FD - 8.82 DK - 6.71

Yoán MoncadaYoán Moncada FD 2500 DK 3400
Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COL
FD - 9.63 DK - 7.29

We are going to be digging down low at third base on this slate, probably needing to go really cheap no matter who we end up playing. There just aren’t a ton of high-priced options that are in good spots, so punting it away might be the play. Jung is slated to hit lower in the Orioles’ order here. He’s struggled out of the gate, but he projects to be an above-average hitter and is something of a real prospect. I think we are buying way low based on the pedigree.

Meanwhile, Moncada has had a disaster of a season even though he did have multi-home run game not too long ago. Even with the struggles, the White Sox still seem to want to hit him in the second slot in the lineup and if that’s going to be the case then I still think we can plug our nose and put him in lineups at these prices.


Eloy JiménezEloy Jiménez FD 3200 DK 4500
Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COL
FD - 11.25 DK - 8.54 AJ PollockAJ Pollock FD 2900 DK 3200
Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COL
FD - 10.63 DK - 8.07

Look, understand that these picks are in many ways written to make sure we can fit Jacob deGrom in lineups. Writing up all of the higher-priced studs on this slate wouldn’t have been being completely honest. There’s going to need to be some cost-cutting when it comes to the bats and the White Sox are a good place to start. They have a 4.7 implied run line against Chad Kohl who is striking out batters at a 7.08 rate per nine innings. Jimenez is having an excellent season when he’s been healthy (he’s been hurt a lot) and has an .891 OPS with 29 home runs in just 255 plate appearances. That’s an unreal number and he’s priced too low on both sites.

Meanwhile, Pollock has had some struggles this season but is still hitting around the middle of the White Sox lineup and is coming pretty cheap. He’s very low on DraftKings and the FanDuel price at sub-$3K works for cash games as well.

Cedric MullinsCedric Mullins FD 3000 DK 5100
Opponent - WSH (Cory Abbott) Park - WSH
FD - 12.2 DK - 9.38

You have to love the FanDuel price for Mullins hitting leadoff for Baltimore with one of the highest implied run lines on the slate. He isn’t repeating the success of last season which really had him breaking out of the box but this is still a guy with 14 homes and 30 stolen bases on the season. Even with the mid-700s OPS these are awesome fantasy numbers and he has one of the better matchups on the slate.



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