Mike Trout Leads the DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/27/22

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Pitchers

Lance McCullers Jr. FD 10800 DK 10500
Opponent - ARI (Zach Davies) Park - ARI
FD - 41.61 DK - 22.47

As we get to the end of the season, pitch counts and playing time can always get a little funky. But we have to take what we are given here. McCullers opens as a -225 home favorite against the Diamondbacks on this slate and, from an ERA perspective, has been solid this season. But I would caution just a little that the 3.68 xFIP is about 1.5 runs behind. He’s striking out batters at more than 9.5 per nine, but the walks are a little on the high side. I do think there is some risk here, but he’s also in an excellent spot.

Carlos Carrasco FD 9500 DK 9300
Opponent - MIA (Pablo López) Park - MIA
FD - 39.76 DK - 21.08

If you want to go a bit cheaper then Carrasco could fit the bill here. There are a lot of good pitchers going today and he’s still got some of the best win odds at -214 at home. The Marlins are among the league’s worst offenses this season, sitting at 27th overall in team wOBA. Carrasco is striking out more than a batter per nine and has kept the walks relatively in check. I like him for more than $1K cheaper on both sites than McCullers.

Logan Webb FD 9600 DK 7200
Opponent - COL (Germán Márquez) Park - COL
FD - 39.05 DK - 20.49

If you are really looking to save some on an arm for this slate then Webb is in a good spot at home against the Rockies. Away from home, Colorado has been awful this season with a .276 team wOBA and 24% K rate. That’s a bottom-feeding offense when they are away from the best hitter’s park in baseball. Webb isn’t an ace by any means, but he’s solid enough and keeps the walks down. He’s a bargain on DraftKings with the matchup.

Consider Robbie Ray (FD $10200 DK $10300)

Catcher/First Base

Matt Olson FD 3300 DK 4500
Opponent - WSH (Paolo Espino) Park - WSH
FD - 10.91 DK - 8.13

The Braves have one of the higher overall run lines on the day at 4.9 thanks to facing off against Paolo Espino on this slate. Olson should be hitting fifth in the lineup against the righty and is coming in with 29 home runs on the season. The OPS is under .800 and hasn’t been at the place they thought they were getting when they signed him in the offseason, but he’s still a dangerous hitter and is going in one of the best lineups in baseball.

Ty France FD 3000 DK 4100
Opponent - TEX (Jesus Tinoco) Park - TEX
FD - 9.61 DK - 7.32

France is a lower ceiling, higher floor type of play when it comes to DFS. He puts the ball in play about 80% of the time on the season and is tough to strike out. And the power has come mostly around with 20 home runs on the season. He’s a value on both sites because of this with the Mariners facing off against Tinoco. If needing to up on arms, he fits the bill as a bat that is unlikely to kill you and does have at least some power in the profile.

Second Base

Jose Altuve FD 3900 DK 5300
Opponent - ARI (Zach Davies) Park - ARI
FD - 12.22 DK - 9.32

The Astros are another team is a decent spot on Tuesday, facing off against Zach Davies and the Diamondbacks. Houston has a 4.9 implied run line against the righty and though the top of the order is expensive, they could all be worth it. Altuve is having another excellent season with a .900 OPS, 26 home runs, and 18 stolen bases. From a fantasy perspective, this is about as good as it gets and he’s also getting the ball in play about 75% of the time. Altuve remains one of the safer DFS hitters around.

Luis Rengifo FD 2500 DK 4400
Opponent - OAK (James Kaprielian) Park - OAK
FD - 11.29 DK - 8.7

The Angels are another team we are going to want to target here and we are especially looking at the top of the lineup. Rengifo has been in the leadoff slot of late and he is likely to stick there until the end of the season. He puts the ball in play more than 80% of the time and does have 15 home runs. He doesn’t take walks at all, but at these prices, especially on FanDuel, we aren’t that worried about it. Hitting in front of Trout and Ohtani has its clear advantages.

Shortstop

Dansby Swanson FD 3600 DK 5100
Opponent - WSH (Paolo Espino) Park - WSH
FD - 11 DK - 8.4

Swanson should be hitting in the two-spot on Tuesday and is coming at a fair FanDuel price even if he’s a little expensive on DraftKings. From a fantasy perspective, he’s enjoying another solid season with 22 home runs and 18 stolen bases. He still strikes out at a higher rate (26%), but that’s much less of a concern against Espino who only puts batters down about 7.25 per nine. And for his career, Swanson is about platoon neutral, so we aren’t taking a hit on the righty-righty matchup.

J.P. Crawford FD 2100 DK 3000
Opponent - TEX (Jesus Tinoco) Park - TEX
FD - 8.53 DK - 6.57

With Julio Rodriguez injured, Crawford has moved up to the top of the Mariners’ order and that’s a good spot seeing as how he’s coming so cheap on DraftKings and basically the minimum on FanDuel. He’s not all that dynamic a hitter, but he does put the ball in play more than 75% of the time which is a fine enough profile considering the plate appearance expectation and the salary.

Third Base

Austin Riley FD 3700 DK 5100
Opponent - WSH (Paolo Espino) Park - WSH
FD - 11.99 DK - 9.07

Riley is having an awesome season at the plate with an .888 OPS thanks to a career-high 37 home runs. He’s emerged over the last couple of seasons as one of the best power hitters in the game. While he’s better against lefties for his career, the numbers against righties do have him firmly in play here. In that split, he has a 119 wRC+ and .823 OPS, both fine enough all things considered. And since we are looking to target Atlanta in cash, having him in the middle of the order at a weaker position makes him one of the elite 3B options on the slate.

Ty France is 3B eligible on DraftKings.

Alex Bregman (FD $3600 DK $4600) is in play on FanDuel for sure.

Outfield

Mike Trout FD 4400 DK 6100
Opponent - OAK (James Kaprielian) Park - OAK
FD - 15.21 DK - 11.25

Shohei Ohtani FD 4100 DK 6300
Opponent - OAK (James Kaprielian) Park - OAK
FD - 13.96 DK - 10.46

When the Angels have one of the highest run lines on the slate then you know we are going to be targeting these two whenever and wherever possible. Trout is having another MVP-like season (if it weren’t for Aaron Judge) with 37 home runs, a .983 OPS, and a .412 wOBA. Though the Angels stink, he remains one of the best hitters in the game and is priced accordingly. But he’s a tough fade here with the Angels facing off against James Kaprielian and is definitely worth the spend up.

Meanwhile, Ohtani is right behind him having hit 34 home runs of his own while rocking an .887 OPS. These two make up one of the best 1-2 offensive punches in all of baseball, making the Angels’ record even that much more perplexing. That we won’t get to see these superstars in the playoffs is maddening for fans of the game. So we will just need to play them in DFS for the time being.

Ronald Acuña Jr. FD 4000 DK 6000
Opponent - WSH (Paolo Espino) Park - WSH
FD - 13.68 DK - 10.31

You won’t be able to spend up on all three of these guys in DFS because the prices are just too high, but on FanDuel Acuna is coming the cheapest of the bunch and works in well with the rest of the Braves stack. The power hasn’t been there with only 13 home runs on the season, but he’s still hitting leadoff and has 28 stolen bases.

On the cheaper side, consider Eddie Rosario (FD $2100 DK $2400) and Jarred Kelenic (FD $2300 DK $2200) if they are in the lineups today.

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