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Weekly Fantasy Football Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

10/19/2022
Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 7 - Main Slate

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Quarterbacks

Lamar JacksonLamar Jackson FD 8800 DK 8000
Opponent CLE
Proj Points FD - 26.08 DK - 26.08

Through six weeks of the season, Lamar Jackson ranks 3rd overall in DraftKings scoring behind only Josh Allen and Stefan Diggs, who are both off this week. He draws a matchup against the 29th DVOA defense in the Browns who have been bad against both the run and the pass. Both of these work fine for how Lamar scores his points. Though the Browns are bad on D, some of that is mitigated by playing at a slower pace, allowing the 6th-fewest opponent plays from scrimmage this season. But regardless, I think we are still in a fine spot here with Jackson who is averaging 9.33 rushing attempts per game and has been effective in the red zone.

Geno SmithGeno Smith FD 6800 DK 5600
Opponent LAC
Proj Points FD - 19.68 DK - 19.68

Geno Smith is QB7 in DraftKings scoring this season and that was even off of a rather inefficient game in Week 6 against the Cardinals in which he only completed 20 of 31 passes for 197 yards. He raised the floor by getting out on the ground and rushing for 48 yards and he’s averaging more than four carries per game so far. This game has the highest total (51) of the main slate with the Seahawks slight underdogs. I like the price on both sites for Smith, but especially on DraftKings if we looking at paying up for running back.

Running Backs

Joe MixonJoe Mixon FD 7400 DK 7000
Opponent ATL
Proj Points FD - 17.59 DK - 19.77

Mixon struggled in Week 6 mostly with the Bengals playing from behind most of the game and Cincinnati needing to take to the air. On the season, he’s had elite usage from the running back position and this week is shaping up to be a smash spot. Mixon’s price is down because he’s found the end zone only once this season and hasn’t been all that efficient, averaging just 3.3 yards per carry. But now he’ll face the 29th-ranked defense in the Falcons as a -6 home favorite. This is right where we want our backfield plays and Mixon is coming in at a fantastic value.

Josh JacobsJosh Jacobs FD 8600 DK 6500
Opponent HOU
Proj Points FD - 21.92 DK - 23.72

On a per-game basis, Josh Jacobs ranks 7th in the league in carries+targets coming out of the backfield at 21.8 touches per game. The Raiders have been fine using him in the passing game and he’s playing the vast majority of RB snaps in this offense. He’ll face the 29th-ranked rush defense in the Texans for Week 7 and the Raiders are -7 home favorites. Like Mixon, this is exactly where we are looking for RB plays and the DraftKings price is something of a joke. I expect him to be a chalk play there.

Leonard FournetteLeonard Fournette FD 8400 DK 7700
Opponent CAR
Proj Points FD - 19.79 DK - 22.34

The Bucs aren’t at home, but they are -10.5 favorites against the Panthers. Carolina is headed for the basement and could be close to packing it in the rest of the season. Meanwhile, Fournette ranks third overall in the NFL in usage with 131 total touches on the season. He’s averaging 15.8 carries and six targets per game. With the Bucs coming off a bad, bad loss to the Steelers in Week 6, they should come out of the gate firing in this one. He’s getting up there in price, but there’s a lot of safety here.

Wide Receivers

Chris GodwinChris Godwin FD 7000 DK 6300
Opponent CAR
Proj Points FD - 14.69 DK - 18.14

Godwin is fully recovered from the injury and played in 89% of the snaps in Week 6. He finished with a team-high 12 targets though converted those for *only* six catches and 95 yards. That’s the bottom part of the expectation when it comes to this kind of usage, but it did serve to keep his price in check on both sites, especially DraftKings. The Bucs are in a great spot here but could lean on the ground game more if they build a lead early. That being said, I think Godwin, at these prices, has a solid floor with Brady.

CeeDee LambCeeDee Lamb FD 7700 DK 6800
Opponent DET
Proj Points FD - 17.2 DK - 20.76

Dak Prescott will be back under center for the Cowboys, and while Cooper Rush was better than expected for Dallas, it’s clear they will improve with their QB1 back. Lamb is actually seventh overall in WR targets this season, but his efficiency has been bad, catching only 55% of his looks with 33 receptions. That isn’t great at all, but there’s room for upside here facing off against a Detroit team that’s been an absolute sieve this season on defense and is a pace-up matchup for opponents. I love the DraftKings prices.

Deebo SamuelDeebo Samuel FD 7700 DK 7600
Opponent KC
Proj Points FD - 16.77 DK - 19.66

The 49ers take on the Chiefs in a game that has the second-highest total on the main slate at 48.5 and KC -3 road favorites. The Chiefs allow more than average opponent plays per game and are ranked 28th in defensive DVOA. We know that the 49ers are willing to use Deebo in every way possible and on the season he’s averaging 3.8 carries and 7.8 targets per game. For a WR that’s about as good as it gets. The price isn’t all the way there on the opportunity and this is a good matchup if looking to at least hit a floor projection in cash.

Tight Ends

George KittleGeorge Kittle FD 6600 DK 5300
Opponent KC
Proj Points FD - 12.52 DK - 15.37

Kittle finally had a breakout game in Week 6, going for 8 catches and 83 yards on 10 targets. He only had 15 total targets in the three previous games combined. This has been something of the theme with the superstar tight end over the years with the production failing to stay consistent over the long term. But now the price is manageable and he’s something of a value on both sites going against the Chiefs in a pace matchup.

Kyle PittsKyle Pitts FD 5900 DK 4300
Opponent CIN
Proj Points FD - 10.37 DK - 12.72

At some point, this is going to turn around right? Because we are just being dared on DraftKings. The $4300 price tag there almost seems like a joke until you see that Pitts has done so very little this season. He only has 25 targets through the first six weeks, though he did sit out one game. Last week at least he caught a touchdown and this week he gets a good matchup against the Bengals. Let’s see if this is the week he breaks out.

Defense

DST always has been, and continues to be about as volatile as it gets from a fantasy standpoint.

There are a couple of teams facing off against underwhelming offenses this week and coming cheap. By and large, we don’t really want to allocate big dollars to such an up-and-down position. Go cheap and find spots where the opponents aren’t lighting the world on fire. That being said, you can consider:

JAXJacksonville Jaguars FD 4600 DK 3100
Opponent NYG
Proj Points FD - 5.43 DK - 5.43

WASWashington Commanders FD 3700 DK 2500
Opponent GB
Proj Points FD - 7.45 DK - 7.45

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