Golf Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

    Chris Durell

    Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – RSM Classic

    Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more.

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    The Courses

    Sea Island Golf Club(Seaside)
    Par 70 - 7,005 Yards
    Greens - Bermuda

    Sea Island Golf Club(Plantation)
    Par 72 - 7,060 Yards
    Greens - Bermuda

    **Click the image above to see a hole-by-hole breakdown from PGATour.com**

    Previous Five Winners

    • 2022 - Talor Gooch(-22)
    • 2021 - Robert Streb(-19)
    • 2020 - Tyler Duncan(-19)
    • 2019 - Charles Howell III(-19)
    • 2018 - Austin Cook(-21)

    Welcome back golf fans. We have reached the conclusion of the fall season as the PGA Tour heads to Sea Island Golf Club for the RSM Classic. This event has also used a multi-course rotation since 2015 where golfers play one round at both the Plantation and Seaside courses with the Top 65(and ties) playing the final two rounds on just the Seaside course. Both courses are on the short side at just over 7,000 yards with the Seaside a par 70 and Plantation a Par 72 setup. Both courses have also played fairly easy in terms of field average scoring ranking no worse than 25th hardest over the last five years.

    In my stats model this week, Strokes Gained: Approach combined with mid-range iron proximity(125-150 & 150-175 yards) leads the way. This is a course where the field hits a lot of greens but with the undulation, it will be very important to hit the right quadrant to have a shot at birdie or even par. When looking at Strokes Gained: Off the Tee the is week, I am focusing on driving accuracy/fairways gained. With the high amount of greens hit here, it is only going to give you a better shot to get closer than your opponent if you are in a scoring position on the fairway. Outside of those two main stats, I am also mixing in Par 4 scoring, especially from 400-450 yards, Opportunities Gained, and Strokes Gained: Putting on Bermuda grass. Mix all that with some current form, course history, and we have ourselves a model. You can check out that model on my cheatsheet but for now, let's highlight a few of my core plays.

    Top Targets

    Tom Hoge
    World Golf Ranking (#36)
    Vegas Odds (30/1)
    Draftkings ($9,800)
    FanDuel ($11,100)

    After the Finau withdraw Harman and Hoge became #1 & #2 in my model and both have very similar profiles. Both have had up and down results here at Sea Island with Hoge having the most recent success with a T4 last year. It is also very close between them when looking at form and stats as both have been tracking up Top 25's in the fall season but I lean Hoge who has shown a little more upside with three Top 10's and five finishes of 13th or better in his last six. Adding to that upside is the fact Hoge ranks 1st and 6th in Opportunities and Birdies gained this season while Harman ranks 54th and 30th. I will have exposure to both separately and together but lean Hoge if choosing just one.

    Joel Dahmen
    World Golf Ranking (#96)
    Vegas Odds (33/1)
    Draftkings ($9,200)
    FanDuel ($11,000)

    This $9K and up range on DraftKings is a tricky one as so many players profile well checking a lot of boxes. With that and the fact Dahmen has mediocre course history(T29, T50, MC, T37, T49, MC), at best, I think he could actually come in a little lower owned. Either way, I am on board as his form more than makes up for the history. Since missing the cut at the season-opening Fortinet Championship, Dahmen has made five straight cuts and comes in with back-to-back Top 10's. Looking at the stats since the start of the season he ranks #1 in SG: Tee to Green and Ball Striking, 4th in fairways gained. 3rd in proximity, 2nd in opportunities gained, and 11th in birdies gained. In a course that suits his game, I will continue to ride the hot hand with Dahmen in all formats.

    Will Gordon
    World Golf Ranking (#147)
    Vegas Odds (55/1)
    Draftkings ($7,700)
    FanDuel ($10,200)

    After a season on the Korn Ferry Tour last year, Gordon has returned to the PGA Tour and has been consistent making all six cuts and flashed some upside at the Mayakoba with a T3. The consistency comes from some near-elite balls striking as he is 10th in this field over the last 12 rounds, has been accurate off the tee(22nd in FW gained), good on par 4's(21st in par 4 scoring), and has been dropping birdies(25th in BoB). On top of the form, he also returns to Sea Island where he picked up a T10 in his first trip back in 2020. I am not nearly as interested on FanDuel where he has peaked over $10k but in the mid $7K range on DraftKings, he is a core play for me in all formats.

    Brendon Todd
    World Golf Ranking (#105)
    Vegas Odds (50/1)
    Draftkings ($8,000)
    FanDuel ($9,900)

    The accuracy narrative continues with Brendon Todd who is 4th in driving accuracy on the sheet and 17th in fairways gained just looking at this season so far. That season so far for Todd includes made cuts in four of five events and includes Top 10 finishes at the Fortinet Championship and CJ Cup. On top of the accuracy off the tee, Todd also ranks high up in proximity(8th), par 4 scoring(15th), opp gained(7th), and birdies gained(16th). When it comes to course history, it is very similar to most players in the field with a lot of variance but he has made the cut in three of his last four including a T4 in 2020. All things considered, Todd is one of my favorite mid-range plays this week.





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