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Basketball Lineups Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

03/06/2023
Chris Durell

DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Monday 3/6

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Guards

Damian LillardDamian Lillard FD - $10800 DK - $11600
Opponent - DET
Proj Pts FD - 55.73 DK - 58.18

The Trail Blazers are playing on a back-to-back tonight but we just can't ignore Lillard who checks every box for an elite-priced guard. As good as he has been all season, he has been on another level since the start of February(13 games) averaging 38.5 points, 6.0 rebounds, and 6.5 assists for just over 59 fantasy points per game. He runs heavy minutes, gets a consistent dose of 20+ shots and now gets an elite matchup against the Pistons' 28th-ranked defence that is also 27th in fantasy points to guards. Lock and load in all formats.

Tyrese MaxeyTyrese Maxey FD - $6800 DK - $5500
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 31.02 DK - 33.65

Maxey has been terrific since re-entering the starting lineup for the 76ers dropping 26 or more points in all three games and averaging over 36 fantasy points over his last four games. Sure, he is running hot as a shooting-dependant guard but even with Harden and Embiid in the mix is getting over 16 shots a game and it's hard to argue the matchup against the Pacers who are 23rd in defensive efficiency and 22nd in fantasy points to guards. With the rising price on FanDuel I am probably out but on DraftKings where the price has barely budged I am all over Maxey in all formats.

Tyler HerroTyler Herro FD - $7800 DK - $7300
Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 36.18 DK - 40.16

With Kyle Lowry out since early February the Heat have been playing sub .500 basketball and have fallen in the standings. For fantasy, however, Tyler Herro has filled in nicely in Lowry's absence playing over 37 minutes a game and is averaging 20.8 points, 5.2 rebounds, and 4.3 assists over that 10-game stretch while providing over 35 fantasy points a game. The poor shooting at times can lead to some volatility in those fantasy scores but he gets a terrific matchup against a Hawks team that is outside the Top 20 in defence and runs at a Top 10 pace. Fire up Herro in all formats.

Small Forward

Cam ReddishCam Reddish FD - $5500 DK - $4300
Opponent - DET
Proj Pts FD - 25.22 DK - 25.3

After sitting for the last two months with the Knicks, Cam Reddish joined the Trail Blazers and has become a key piece due to injuries. They eased him into the rotation in his first two games but since then he has plated 31 or more minutes in four of six games and has tallied 22 or more DraftKings points in five of six games while averaging 26.5 over those six games. We will have to watch the news as Simons and Nurkic both have a chance to return but it appears more unlikely they both suit up if either at all. That news is a little more important on FanDuel where the price has adjusted but on DraftKings I think we consider him either way at a low $4K price tag.

Power Forward/Center

Domantas SabonisDomantas Sabonis FD - $9700 DK - $10000
Opponent - NO
Proj Pts FD - 47.63 DK - 51.66

This Pelicans/Kings game has the highest total(239) on the slate so getting some exposure is going to be a must on a six-game slate. For me, it starts with Sabonis who has been very consistent since the start of February averaging a double-double on 20.4 points and 12.4 rebounds for over 48 fantasy points a game. He has also been even better since the break topping 50 fantasy points in three straight and four of six while averaging over 50 fantasy points a game. While the Pels are Top 10 in overall defensive efficiency they struggle against centers giving up a league-high in fantasy points to the position. Fire up Sabonis in all formats Monday.

Marvin Bagley IIIMarvin Bagley III FD - $6200 DK - $5500
Opponent - POR
Proj Pts FD - 34.12 DK - 35.86

After a roller coaster ride of a season so far, Bagley is back and fantasy relevant for the Pistons. After inactive for nearly two months, he returned to the lineup and has put up 20 or more points and 12 or more rebounds in three of four games and all of this while starting just the most recent game against the Cavs. The Pistons are underdogs here but this is a plus matchup for Bagley as Portland not only ranks 27th in defensive efficiency but they also rank 26th in rebounding which plays right into Bagley's strength. He is in play in all formats.

 

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