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Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 9/26/17

Posted by on Sep 26, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 1 comment

Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 9/26/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL or MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. CLEVELAND INDIANS Before we get started, let's acknowledge the fact that baseball will be played in Coors Field tonight and both the Rockies and Marlins have nice implied totals and could obviously go nuts. It's never a sure-fire play to fade Coors, but if you want to go that route, you've got options tonight. Chief among them, we like the Indians, because while Bartolo Colon has shown glimpses of competency since joining the Twins midway through the year, lately he's been reminding us why the Braves left him on the scrap heap. Over his last three starts, he's given up 16 runs and four homers in 11 innings, bringing his season totals to a 6.63 ERA/5.27 FIP. And he hasn't discriminated in L/R splits with a wOBA in the mid .380s and an ISO pushing .240 against both. That gives us loads of Indians worth considering. Lindor, Ramirez and Encarnacion are our favorites, but they're pricey. If you're looking to save a little on salary, a mini stack of Jay Bruce (.267 ISO vs. R), Carlos Santana (.223) and Jason Kipnis (.192) could also produce big value. ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS A quick caveat here: We're obviously banking on the Arizona regulars to be back in the lineup after getting Monday off in the wake of clinching a playoff berth Sunday. And if we get our usual crew, there's plenty to like against Matt Moore in Chase Field. Moore has been pretty dreadful this year, but he's been especially bad away from his forgiving home park (6.51 ERA/5.27 xFIP on the road). Meanwhile, the D-backs have four guys we love vs. southpaws: Pollock, Goldschmidt, Martinez and Iannetta. All four have ISOs over .230 in the split. The drawback is that they're not getting a ton of help from their teammates (Arizona is near the bottom of the league in wRC+ vs. LHP this season). That's not insignificant and cuts into the expected production of the guys we like. But on the other hand Moore is also yielding a .438 wOBA vs. L this season, so we could see guys...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 9/26/17

Posted by on Sep 26, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 9/26/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL or MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Robbie Ray FD 11000 DK 12300 Opponent - SF (Moore) Park - @ARI FD - 37.87 DK - 24.92 Even though the Giants are awful, this isn't exactly a great spot for Ray. Chase Field is a tough place for anybody to pitch, and the Giants have one of the league's lowest K rates vs. LHP. So, those (as well as the price, to some extent) are the negatives. The positives? Well, it's pretty simple: when Ray is on his game, his ceiling is as high as anybody's. Among guys with at least 120 IP this year, only Chris Sale has more Ks/9 than Ray's 12.28 -- and when you miss bats at that rate, a lineup full of slappy, high-contact guys is hardly a concern (as Ray proved with 10 Ks in 7 IP the last time he faced San Fran). We still like Chris Sale more if we're paying top-shelf prices tonight, but if you're building multiple lineups, it wouldn't be a bad idea to sub Ray in few of them. James Paxton FD 8100 DK 7600 Opponent - OAK (Mengden) Park - @OAK FD - 26.62 DK - 17.63 This one will take a leap of faith, because it's been a while since we've seen Paxton be good. He's failed to make it out of the fourth inning in either of his two starts since returning from his most recent DL stint, and the A's have been one of baseball's most potent offenses in the second half. All that considered, it's understandable why Paxton is priced where is, but I dunno. It still seems like bargain. Paxton has a 2.57 FIP on the season, good for third in the league, behind only Chris Sale and Corey Kluber among pitchers with at least 120 IP. He's also averaging 10.25 Ks/9, and could get a boost from Oakland, there, too. Because while the A's have the third-best wRC+ in the second half of the season, they've been much more effective vs. RHP. Against lefties, their projected starters come in with a 25.1 K% and a .313 wOBA (a...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 9/26/17

Posted by on Sep 26, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 4 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 9/26/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL or MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Chris Sale FD 11800 DK 13400 Opponent - TOR (Happ) Park - @BOS FD - 44.37 DK - 29.28 The season's winding down, so we're not breaking any new ground here. Every time Sale gets the ball, he has to be among the first guys we look at in cash games. Other than a rough start here and there, he's been dominant all season long and is putting up the kind of strikeout totals we rarely see these days. And, of course, Ks are crucial to DFS success, not only for the upside they bring, but for the cushion they provide in case a couple of runs get across. And in that regard, Sale has been incredibly consistent -- he hasn't had a start without at least a K per inning since May, and he became the first AL pitcher to reach 300 in a season since Pedro Martinez did it in 1999. And while Sale is virtually matchup proof, it never hurts to face a lineup with as much swing-and-miss as Toronto brings to the table -- the lineup they rolled out Monday night has a 24.1 K% vs. LHP this season. Alex Wood FD 9400 DK 9700 Opponent - SD (Lamet) Park - @LAD FD - 37.97 DK - 24.78 Wood is kind of a poor man's version of Sale, and while we typically prefer to just pay for the real thing in cash games, the savings you'll get make Wood pretty enticing against a weak Padres lineup. They rank 26th in team wOBA vs. LHP this season with a hefty 25.1 K%, so the matchup is nice. And while Wood has stumbled some down the stretch, he appears to have regained his form with back-to-back strong starts coming into this one. That puts his season numbers at an impressive 2.71 ERA/3.14 FIP with 9.23 Ks/9. The upside is undercut, however, by the fact that he rarely works beyond the sixth inning (just five times in 24 starts), and he hasn't hit double-digit Ks since before the All-Star break. Of course, that's baked into the price, so while you'll probably need some big production from your bats in order to keep pace with the field, you'll have significantly more...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 9/25/17

Posted by on Sep 25, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 9/25/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL or MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. COLORADO ROCKIES All the usual Coors Fields caveats apply here. Variance is through the roof, so are the prices, and both sides are totally viable. We're siding with the Rockies (and Vegas), thanks in no small part to the regression we're expecting out of Marlins starter Odrisamer Despaigne. He's done a solid job of limiting long balls in just under 300 big league IP, but it's hard to see that continuing based on the batted ball profile he's yielding this season (just 38% ground balls, 5% HR:FB). Look no further than that for an explanation of that 6.26 xFIP he's rocking right now. Meanwhile, y'all know the drill when it comes to the Rockies at home. They've got a .355 team wOBA and .188 ISO in Coors vs. RHP this season. Blackmon and Arenado are the most obvious building blocks, and after that you can take your shots where ever you choose -- we'd lean toward lefties, though, because Despaigne has been pretty tough vs. R this season. LOS ANGELES DODGERS This is looking like a brutal matchup for Padres starter Travis Wood. He's getting shelled by righties this season (.390 wOBA, .219 ISO), and the Dodgers have guys throughout the lineup who can pound southpaws. Aside from the usual stalwarts, guys like Kike Hernandez (.387/.319) and Austin Barnes (.370/.250) always deserve attention when a lefty is on the mound. Making matters worse for Wood, he's hasn't been all that great vs. L either (.354 wOBA), and Corey Seager and Cody Bellinger have no problems in the LvL matchup, both posting wOBA over .380 in the split. Of the expected starters, there's literally nobody on the home team we wouldn't consider using. LOS ANGELES ANGELS We'll never frown on the idea of taking a couple of shots at James Shields, and the addition of Justin Upton to the Angels lineup has made that a much more palatable option in this matchup. You'll still have to figure out what to do at 1B, because Zombie Albert Pujols is entrenched in the middle of the order despite posting the...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 9/25/17

Posted by on Sep 25, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 9/25/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL or MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Luke Weaver FD 9500 DK 9900 Opponent - CHC (Lester) Park - @STL FD - 33 DK - 21.8 A matchup with the Cubs is obviously not great, and we'd hesitate using Weaver in cash games for that reason, but he's been too good to ignore. And by "too good" we mean the dude's been an absolute stud. Since becoming a fixture in the Cardinals rotation about a month ago, he's leading all pitchers with at least 20 IP in xFIP (1.90), and he's second in FIP (1.58), and third in Ks/9 (12.1). And while scouts probably didn't expect this kind of dominance out of the 24-year-old, it's not like it's coming completely out of nowhere either; he's a former first-round pick, a top-100 prospect, and was excellent at every stop in the minors. Is he due for some regression? Yeah, probably. It's not smart to predict the kind of outlier performance he's put up so far in 2017, and he hasn't faced the toughest lineups in the league yet. But the upside is tantalizing in a GPP format and it's well within the range of possible outcomes for him to outscore every pitcher on the slate tonight. Max Fried FD 5500 DK 5800 Opponent - NYM (Lugo) Park - @NYM FD - 26.97 DK - 17.84 File this one under "what the heck, why not?" Fried is scheduled to take the ball in the nightcap of the Braves/Mets doubleheader, so it's tough to say exactly what the opposing lineup will look like. Here's a good guess, though: not intimidating. Michael Conforto, Yoenis Cespedes and Wilmer Flores are all shelved for the remainder of the season, and Jay Bruce is in Cleveland, and of the remaining Mets, Travis d'Arnaud, Jose Reyes and Asdrubal Cabrera are the best guys left vs. LHP. Nobody else has a wOBA better than Gavin Cecchini's .345 against southpaws -- and actually nobody's even close. Also of interest, research confirms Gavin Cecchini is a real person. Interesting stuff. As for Fried, well, let's just say there's a reason he won't cost you anything. We've haven't...

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