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TPC Boston - Norton, MA
Par 71, 7,214 Yards
Jason Day took over the Fedex Cup points lead after a 6 stroke win at the Barclays last weekend. Day played very well in picking up his third win in four events including the PGA Championship and his first major. With the elite field at the Barclays Day was still able to pull away on Sunday, birdieing five of the final nice holes. The favorite going into the tournament, Jordan Spieth, failed to make the cut and struggled mightily but only fell one spot behind Day in the standings due to his gigantic lead going in. Both Day and Spieth will have a shot at taking over #1 in the world this weekend with a win. Not an easy task as Rory(Current #1) will be back to try climb up the Fedex Cup points and stay at #1 in the world. Either way it will make for an exciting weekend in round 2 of the playoffs. On to next week!
The 2nd round of the PGA Tour Fedex Cup playoffs will be the Deutsche Bank Championship. Unlike the Barclays rotating course schedule, the Deutsche Bank Championship has been played at TPC Boston since 2003 when the Fedex Cup Playoffs started. The course is a Par 71, 7214 Yard test for the final 100 players in the race for the Fedex Cup. Come Sunday afternoon, only the top 70 players in the standings will move on to BMW Championship. When looking back at previous Deutsche Bank leaderboards the one thing that sticks out is the frequency of the elite players in the game. The final score usually ranges between -15 and -20 so scoring will be essential again this week. The course has three Par 5's and two of them will be easily approachable in two for most of the field. To contend this week golfers will have to go -2 to -4 each day on these holes. There are also a number of shorter par 4 holes and two of them are driveable by most of the field. I will be looking closely at Strokes Gained Tee to Green and Ball Striking this week to find the guys who are going to have the most chances at birdie or better. With the low score that will be needed to win I will also be looking at scoring average as well as birdie or better % to find the guys who will have the best chance at posting a super low score. As always, it will be important to putt well so Strokes Gained Putting will also be weighed this week. After all the stats are crunched I will be looking at current form and course history to help find the best plays for this week. Below is a list of all the stats being used in my cheatsheet this week:
Jordan Spieth
Vegas Odds - 8/1
Draftkings - $11,300
Victiv - $11,500
Fantasy Feud - $
After being wrong about Spieth last week I am jumping back on the horse again this week. In both rounds at Plainfield he started off with birdies but had pro longed stretches of multiple bogey holes. He also ran into an unusual situation on Friday. He hit his tee shot into a hazard on the 12th hole and while looking for it accidentally stepped on his ball. He was issued a one strokes penalty as his intentions when entering hazard were to find and possibly still hit out of the hazard. He ended up double bogeying the hole and ending any chance of making the cut. He lost his #1 World Ranking to the idle Rory McIlroy and now even Jason Day has a shot to take over with a win this week. I would not fade any of the "Big 3" this week but will be targeting Spieth the most as his poor showing last week should present a lower ownership percentage.
Henrik Stenson
Vegas Odds - 23/1
Draftkings - $10,500
Victiv - $9,200
Fantasy Feud - $
One of the biggest climbers in the Fedex Cup standings going into this week is Stenson. He started the playoffs in 41st and with a solo 2nd at the Barclays he is now sitting in 4th behind Bubba, Spieth, and Day. He played great at Plainfield last week with all four rounds of 68 or better. He is ranked 2nd in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green, 1st in Ball Striking & GIR, 27th in Birdie Avg, 6th in Scoring Avg, and 22nd in Strokes Gained: Putting. This is a great recipe for success at TPC Boston. He won this tournament in 2013 shooting a -22 so he knows how to go low here. When looking at his most recent five tournaments he has three top 6 finishes including his 2nd last week. He has momentum on his side and should contend again this week.
Jim Furyk
Vegas Odds - 40/1
Draftkings - $9,000
Victiv - $9,000
Fantasy Feud - $
If you are playing cash games this week, Furyk is a great choice as your top option. He is coming off an 11th place finish at the Barclays and hasn't missed a cut since May. He has played in this tournament in each of the last five years and has recorded one top 10, 2 top 15's and hasn't missed a cut. He is 4th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green, 46th in Ball Striking, 27th in GIR, 3rd in Proximity, and 13th in Scoring Average. He can make birdies and go low when needed. He is a nice fit for consistency this week.
Matt Kuchar
Vegas Odds - 50/1
Draftkings - $8,500
Victiv - $7,800
Fantasy Feud - $
He disappointed a bit last week with a boring 39th place finish. Sometimes boring works best in cash games. Guys that lack the upside week to week but are still elite golfers are great targets for cash games as their prices are depressed. Kuchar hasn't missed a cut since the PLAYERS in May and has two top 10 finishes in that time. He has had a nice run in his last 5 Deutsche Bank Championships(29th,4th,35th,25th,11th). He will need a little more than a 39th this week with a reduced field but a top 25 shouldn't be out of the question.
Webb Simpson
Vegas Odds - 60/1
Draftkings - $8,100
Victiv - $6,700
Fantasy Feud - $
Another pick that made the cut last week but had a boring finish(30th). His price went up from last week which should help keep his ownership down some. He won this tournament back in 2011 and to show it wasn't a fluke finished 18th the following year and 9th last year. His game fits the course and he obviously feels comfortable playing here. His putting is his only weakness so if he can hit the fairways and stick his approach shots close he may be able to avoid some tough putts and contend again this year. I will be using Webb in GPP formats only this week.
Robert Streb
Vegas Odds - 60/1
Draftkings - $8,000
Victiv - $7,000
Fantasy Feud - $
Another extremely consistent option for cash games this week. He hasn't missed a cut on Tour since the Zurich back in April when he was going through a down stretch. He has since recorded 11 straight tournaments making the cut with three top 5 finishes mixed in there. He played the Deutsche Bank for the first time in 2014 and finished in with a 9th place finish. When looking at his stats, only Proximity falls outside the top 70 and he more than makes up for it with top 25 rankings in 7 other stat categories. Look for another solid showing from Streb this week.
Tony Finau
Vegas Odds - 66/1
Draftkings - $7,700
Victiv - $6,100
Fantasy Feud - $
He has made 10 of his last 11 cuts with two top 10 and eight top 20 finishes in that time. He is peaking at the right time and has the upside to be a nice GPP play. This will be the rookie's first trip to TPC Boston and it looks like his game may fit the track. He is 29th in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green, 47th in GIR, 5th in Par 5 Performance, 9th in Birdie or Better %, and 24th in Scoring Average. His weakness' are Proximity(157th), Scrambling(158th) and Strokes Gained: Putting(114th). If he can hit the fairways and use his length to his advantage he will be hitting short irons or wedges into most of the greens and should be able to go low this week.
Ryan Palmer
Vegas Odds - 80/1
Draftkings - $7,800
Victiv - $7,000
Fantasy Feud - $
Hard not to root for this guy right now. He lost his father in a tragic accident about two weeks ago and still played in the Barclays. He was tied for 4th going into Sunday's final round but couldn't get it going and ended up with a T9 finish. He has said he is using each round since the loss as a coping mechanism and believes he has never been more focused on a shot to shot basis. He finished 16th here last year and also has a 11th place finish back in 2010 at TPC Boston. This is the kind of golfer who we should be cheering for and targeting in DFS.
Scott Piercy
Vegas Odds - 101/1
Draftkings - $6,700
Victiv - $6,100
Fantasy Feud - $
He won't give you the upside needed to win but presents a nice value at a sub $7000 price tag. He finished 13th here in 2013 when he last played the course and hasn't missed the cut at this tournament in three tries. He has also been fairly consistent lately making six cuts in a row since the Memorial in June. He makes a nice play in GPP if you are trying to roster one of the big 3.
Want to see how these picks and more fit into lineups for The Deutsche Bank Championship? Chris is selling lineups plus a cheatsheet for only $5. He covers DraftKings, Victiv and Fantasy Feud. Fill out the form below or click here to purchase using PayPal. This is a separate service than our traditional monthly membership.
Chris Durell has been playing Daily Fantasy Sports for three years and fantasy in general for more than a decade. He is active player in college football, NFL, NBA and of course PGA. He lives in Saskatchewan, Canada with his wife and two daughters. You can follow him on Twitter at @jager_bombs9 for advice, strategy, answers to any PGA questions and how he copes with the winters up north.
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View Comments
I got your spreadsheet a couple of days ago. Will there be an update?
Unfortunately wont be able to get Fantasy Feud Update in this week as CPU is acting up. Everything good to go for DK and Victiv yes.
How do I get the update?