Basketball Lineups Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Wednesday, 11/20/19
Wednesday's are always one of the best days of the week for basketball. We have a plentiful 11-game slate on this schedule, making it one of the biggest slates of the season thus far. There are also a million injuries throughout the league and many of these recommendations are because of them. Capitalizing on usage and minute bumps is critical for DFS purposes and we have a ton of that here.
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Rozier has been hit-or-miss all season long but this is certainly a good spot for him to succeed. The main reason why is the matchup, with Brooklyn ranked 26th in total defense while allowing the third-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season. That's awesome for a talented guy like this, with Rozier averaging over 30 fantasy points per game since the opener. He's actually surpassed 33 DK points in seven of his 14 games this season and we'll take that 50-50 chance to reach 6X value in a tasty matchup like this.
Nunn has been one of the best rookies in the NBA and it's hard to understand why he remains in the $6,000-range. What really makes him valuable is his role, playing at least 37 minutes in three-straight games. That's led to 35.5 DK points per game in that span, which is a gargantuan total from such a cheap player. That's pretty much the guy we saw in the first month too, with Nunn averaging 33 DK points per game over his first five fixtures. Getting to face Cleveland is the icing on the cake, with the Cavaliers allowing the most fantasy points in the league to opposing point guards this season.
Luka Doncic (FD 11500 DK 10400) will also probably see a lot of DraftKings' ownership once again, but I'm a bit concerned about the blowout there. The Warriors are on the back-to-back and just generally stink. But Doncic has been everything you could want and more.
James Harden FD - $5 DK - $11800
Opponent - DEN
Proj Pts FD - 61.14 DK - 63.92
Anytime Harden is on the slate, he's tough to avoid. He's simply the best player in fantasy basketball right now, averaging about 60 fantasy points per game since the start of last season. That's the guy we've been seeing recently, scoring at least 56 DK points in eight-straight games while averaging 65 DraftKings points per game in that span. No one is even close to that except Giannis and he's worth using no matter the price. As a Denver fan, I can tell you that he kills the Nuggets too. In four games against them last season, Harden averaged 30.5 points, 5.5 rebounds, 10 assists, 1.8 steals and 1.0 blocks per game.
Spencer Dinwiddie FD - $7300 DK - $7200
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 39.8 DK - 41.08
Since Kyrie Irving and Caris LeVert are missing this game, Dinwiddie should assume duties as the primary ball-handler. That's certainly been the case so far this season, with Dinwiddie posting a 40 percent usage rate with those two off the floor while averaging 1.2 DK points per minute. That's evident when you see that he's averaging 36.4 DraftKings points over his last six games. That's really all you can ask for, as Dinwiddie should be $1,000 more on each site with this sort of usage available. Facing off with the Hornets certainly has no sting either, with Charlotte ranked 27th in defensive efficiency.
Also Consider Garrett Temple (FD 4400 DK 4700) in the same matchup. He's been playing a ton since LeVert went down, guaranteeing him for close to 30 minutes of action.
Giannis Antetokounmpo FD - $12100 DK - $11200
Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 68.45 DK - 70.36
Antetokounmpo is in the same boat as Harden. While it's hard to get both of them into your lineup, it's very tough to fade both. So far this season, Giannis is averaging 30.3 points, 14 rebounds, 6.2 assists, 1.5 steals and 1.5 blocks per game. That equates to 60.6 DraftKings points per game, which is only behind Harden. The floor is truly incredible too, with Antetokounmpo scoring at least 53 DK points in 12 of his 13 games this season. Getting to face Atlanta is simply a bonus, with the Hawks ranked 24th in total defense.
Taurean Prince FD - $5000 DK - $5000
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 29.62 DK - 30.7
Joe Harris FD - $4800 DK - $4900
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 26.55 DK - 27.97
With all of the injuries in Brooklyn, both of these guys are very intriguing. While both players struggled in the last game, we can throw that away with Brooklyn losing by 29 points to the Indiana Pacers. In the previous game without Irving and LeVert, Harris collected 22 points, four rebounds and eight assists. That assist total happened to mark a career-high and it's clear that he's one of the focal points of the offense with these two off the floor. Prince's role is hard to overlook too, averaging 24 DK points across 30 minutes a game this season. The best part about using these guys is facing Charlotte though, with the Hornets allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing small forwards this season.
Bam Adebayo FD - $8100 DK - $8300
Opponent - CLE
Proj Pts FD - 44.32 DK - 44.24
Adebayo has been a model of consistency this season, scoring at least 27 DraftKings points in all 12 games played while averaging over 40 fantasy points per game. We love the way that he fills the stat sheet, averaging 13.9 points, 10.6 rebounds, 4.6 assists, 1.5 steals and 1.5 blocks per game. We're certainly not worried about the Cavaliers defense either, allowing the third-most fantasy points to opposing centers while playing without Larry Nance and Tristan Thompson.
Aaron Gordon FD - $6300 DK - $6200
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 35.6 DK - 36.16
Al-Farouq Aminu FD - $3800 DK - $4500
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 24.38 DK - 24.01
With Jonathan Isaac potentially missing this game, both of these guys are in play. Aminu happens to be the direct beneficiary, starting the last two games. It's not like they're empty starts either, collecting 19 points and 19 rebounds combined in those two fixtures. That's huge from such a cheap player and Aminu would be one of the best values on the board if Isaac sits. Gordon's value doesn't rely quite as much on Isaac but he's been much better recently. In fact, Gordon is averaging 31 DK points over his last eight games while providing 35.2 fantasy points per game across his last three fixtures.
Also consider Eric Paschall (FD 5900 DK 5900) and PJ Washington (FD 5500 DK 4700). Both of these young guys have been a focal point of their offenses and both remain too cheap below $6,000 on each site.
Andre Drummond FD - $4 DK - $8700
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 50.71 DK - 51.1
It's pretty hard to fade Drummond the way he's been balling out. So far this season, the Detroit center is averaging 19.6 points, 17 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 1.6 steals and 2.0 blocks per game. That equates to 51.4 DK points per game which is simply one of the best marks in the NBA. What we love about him today is this matchup, with Chicago surrendering the most fantasy points to opposing centers this season. That was crystal clear when Drummond had 25 points, 24 rebounds, two steals and three blocks against them earlier this season.
Ante Zizic FD - $3500 DK - $3400
Opponent - MIA
Proj Pts FD - 21.31 DK - 20.85
The aforementioned injuries to Thompson and Nance have Zizic as one of the best values of the day. The reason for that is because he may start in the absence of those guys and should be a near guarantee to play at least 20 minutes for this shorthanded frontcourt. That's huge for a guy who played 20 minutes in his second game off injury, indicating that he's a major part of this rotation. Zizic is also averaging a fantasy point-per minute for his career and that sort of production would be monstrous at this price if he does play the 20-25 minutes that we anticipate.