Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Tuesday, 3/10/20
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Point GuardDerrick White FD - $4800 DK - $4600
Opponent - DAL
Proj Pts FD - 30.2 DK - 29.92
Dejounte Murray has already been ruled out for Tuesday and doesn’t have a timetable to return. That should open the door for Derrick White to get the start at point guard. White’s per minute numbers are actually decent, averaging 10 points, three assists and three rebounds in 24 minutes per game. If we tick him up into the low 30’s minutes as a projection, which is completely reasonable considering the current Spurs’ personnel he’s looking very much like a cash game play on both sites. Of course, we will hope for confirmation on the San Antonio starting lineup, but if he’s in there White makes a very good play.
Coby White FD - $6400 DK - $6800
Opponent - CLE
Proj Pts FD - 35.09 DK - 36.86
Shaquille Harrison FD - $4900 DK - $5000
Opponent - CLE
Proj Pts FD - 40.34 DK - 37.52
The Bulls announced Coby White would enter the starting lineup on Tuesday, replacing Tomas Satoransky in that spot. White had essentially been the nominal starter over the last four games with Zach Lavine out. In that stretch, White’s averaged 35 minutes per game, and 21 shots leading to a 23 point, six assist average. With the move to the starters, I think we can get rather aggressive on the minutes and usage. The price has ticked up some in the short term because of how well he’s played, but he’s still something of a bargain in the middle tier.
Meanwhile, Harrison has also been in the starting lineup over the last four with the minutes ramping up each game (16, 26, 34, 36) over that stretch. He’s been a steal machine, averaging almost three swipes per game over the last four. His ability to chip in across the box score, and the prospect of the minutes locking into the upper 30’s makes him a great cash game play on both sites.
Point guard is pretty loaded today. There’s a strong case for Ricky Rubio (FD 6700 DK 7500) who’s been playing a lot lately and is coming off a triple-double against the Bucks on Sunday.
Additionally, if Darius Garland sat again, Matthew Dellavedova (FD 3900 DK 4000) played a ton of minutes for the Cavs on Sunday. He has double-digit assists in back-to-back games.
Shooting GuardDevin Booker FD - $8200 DK - $8800
Opponent - POR
Proj Pts FD - 43.49 DK - 46.15
For as much cheap value that’s out there for point guard, it sure looks like we are fixing to spend up at shooting guard. On Tuesday, the Suns play the Blazers who rank 27th in defensive efficiency this season. Booker put up a monster against the Giannis-less Bucks on Sunday with 36 points on a super efficient 13-17 from the field. He has an incredibly high minute floor having run 37+ in each of the last five games and going 39 two games ago against these same Blazers when he scored 23 points and handed out 12 assists in the win.
DeMar DeRozan FD - $8000 DK - $7400
Opponent - DAL
Proj Pts FD - 42.71 DK - 43.05
Like I said, there are a decent amount of spend-up options at shooting guard on this slate, but with the Spurs losing Dejounte Murray and still without LaMarcus Aldridge, DeRozan remains in line for a bunch of usage on Tuesday. He got up 19 shots in the OT loss to the Cavaliers on Sunday and he’s averaged eight assists per game over the last six with LMA out. We should see enough minutes out of him to play at these prices and he makes for an excellent DraftKings play where the price has stagnated some.
If enough cheap value opens up, we could see people spend all the way up for James Harden (FD $11200 DK $11300) against the Timberwolves who’ve allowed a lot of points per game since the trade deadline.
Small ForwardGordon Hayward FD - $6100 DK - $7000
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 36.26 DK - 37.21 Hayward came back from injury on Sunday after missing a game with no minutes restrictions. He paid off big time 24 points,four assists, five rebounds and some steals. With Jaylen Brown still out and Kemba Walker on a minutes’ restriction, there’s plenty of opportunity for Hayward in this offense. The minutes were super encouraging and he got up 19 shots against the Thunder. He’s looking like a real nice bargain on FanDuel and the position is a little on the weaker side.
Mikal Bridges FD - $5400 DK - $5800
Opponent - POR
Proj Pts FD - 31.52 DK - 30.26
With Kelly Oubre out of the mix the Suns have been running Bridges a ton. He’s played 37 or more minutes in each of the last five games including 43 against the Bucks on Sunday. In that stretch he’s averaging 15 points and five rebounds along with a steal and a block. He’s been shooting real well from three in that stretch as well and getting up double digit shots just in general. Like we said with Booker, this is a good spot to target the Suns against a weaker Portland defense. Bridges has such a high minutes floor that it’s tough for him to kill you at these prices.
I do think LeBron James (FD $10700 DK $10900) is in a good spot here against the Nets but I’m a little worried about a blowout with the Lakers early -12 favorites over Brooklyn.
Rudy Gay (FD $4300 DK $5100) should see plenty of minutes as well with the Spurs playing shorthanded.
Power ForwardAnthony Davis FD - $10400 DK - $9800
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 57.41 DK - 56.91
I know I mentioned the blowout concerns for the Lakers when talking about Lebron James, but with Davis it’s very tough to ignore the prices here, especially the DraftKings salary. He’s put up 30 or more points in each of the last three games (Clippers, Bucks and 76ers) along with an average of 10 rebounds and two steals. Though the Nets have actually improved greatly on defense over the course of the season, Davis is coming as an underpriced superstar. At a weaker power forward position it will be tough to get away from his upside coming cheaper than the Hardens and Lebrons of the slate.
Naz Reid FD - $5300 DK - $6000
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 32.57 DK - 32.44
The small-ball Rockets have been getting absolutely murdered by opposing bigs over the last handful of games. In the last five, opposing centers are averaging a whopping 19.3 rebounds per game (four more than the next worst team in that stat) and 25 points (three more than the next closest). Turns out going super small has some disadvantages. Reid is averaging 27 minutes per game over the last five with 13 points and nine rebounds with some steals and blocks thrown in there as well. This is such a great spot for the young big and the way Houston has been playing, there should be a lot of rebounds to go around.
CenterAndre Drummond FD - $8200 DK - $8700
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 48.66 DK - 48.63
When he came over at the trade deadline, Drummond wasn’t playing all that many minutes for the Cavaliers. But that seems to be starting to change. He played 36 against the Pacers, then got hurt and say a few games out only to come back and play 33 in the OT win over the Spurs (and that was with foul trouble). The Cavs have already ruled out Tristan Thompson for this game and I think we are buying low on Drummond considering he’s averaged 28 points and 15 rebounds over the last two games. This is such a smash spot and he is one of the best points/$ plays on the slate.
DeAndre Jordan FD - $5600 DK - $5500
Opponent - LAL
Proj Pts FD - 31.9 DK - 33.43
The Nets fired their coach Kenny Atkinson on Saturday and on Sunday immediately made a starting lineup change to get DeAndre Jordan running with the first unit. He responded with 29 minutes against the Bulls and put up an impressive 11 point, 15 rebound, four assist, three block line. Against the huge Lakers, and considering the state of the Nets, DJ should be right back with the starters and the rebounding alone gives him a decent floor at these prices. I prefer Drummond relative to price, but if you are spending up at other points in the lineup then Jordan makes for a fine cash play.
If DeAndre Ayton were to sit again then Aron Baynes (FD $5300 DK $5900) is still coming at reasonable prices considering how much he’s been playing with the former out.
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