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Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Men's Olympic Golf Tournament
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Welcome back golf fans. After an extra year of waiting, the Olympics are back and with it the second running of the golf event. It was Justin Rose capturing the Gold Medal in Rio de Janeiro in 2016 with Henrik Stenson and Matt Kuchar taking home the Silver and Bronze medals respectively. Neither of those players made the trip this time around but we once again have a strong 60-player field led by OPEN Champion, Collin Morikawa.
The event will run like any no-cut event where all players in the field get four rounds to showcase their skills with the three lowest scores reaching the podium for the medal ceremony on Sunday afternoon(Saturday evening on North America).
The event will be hosted at the East Course at the Kasumigaseki Country Club which is a Par 71 listed at 7,466 yards on the scorecard. It is a beautiful tree-lined course that should challenge the field with doglegs going both ways and a ton of deep bunkers scattered in key landing areas and all around the greens. The good news for golfers, is that the fairways look wider than the average PGA Tour course and with it's length, should cater a bit to the bombers in the field. From there, the golfers will have mid to long iron approaches into some very large, undulated greens. With that, I will factor in Proximity when breaking down Strokes Gained: Approach and then also factoring some three-putt avoidance.
For lineup construction, keep in mind that no-cut events everyone gets four rounds. In the value ranges, this means looking for players who can make birdies in bunches rather than the usual "safe"-ish play that we are happy to get a made cut from on normal weeks. With a smaller field the ownership levels will rise as well for the top guys and while I don't think full fading a play due to high ownership is always the best thing, I do think there will be some excellent low-owned pivots. Stay tuned for the live show on Wednesday afternoon for a weather report and look at some of my pivots based on ownership projections.
Let's take a quick look at the scorecard and then dive into this weeks picks.
Kasumigaseki Country Club (East Course)
Par 71 - 7,466 Yards
**Click the image above to see a hole by hole flyover on YouTube**
Top Tier Targets
No player comes in with better form than Morikawa who is coming off a huge win at the OPEN Championship, his second win, and eighth Top 10 of the season. To say he has been consistent in his young career would be a huge understatement as he now has more wins(5) than missed cuts(4) on the PGA Tour. With wider fairways, there will be a ton of emphasis on the iron game and Morikawa ranks 1st in both SSG: Approach and Proximity. The course is also a Par 71 putting emphasis on Par 4 scoring and he also ranks #1 in this field in that area as well. Can he add to his already elite resume with an Olympic Gold for the USA? I am betting on it!
Hovland will be one of two players in the field golfing for Norway and coming in under $10K on DraftKings, he is one of my core plays this week. He turned pro around the same time as Morikawa and while he hasn't had the exact same headline-making success, Hovland has been one of the most consistent players on Tour making 39 of 43 cuts(91%) and also has two wins under his belt. He comes in red-hot with the irons(7th in SG: App last 24 rds) and is one of two players in the field ranked Top 15 in both driving distance gained and fairways gained. It's that elite ball-striking I am looking for this week and I will have tons of exposure to Hovland in all formats.
Mid Tier Targets
Mackenzie Hughes/Corey Conners
"O Canada! Our home and native land!"
That's right I have both Canadians in my player pool this week and feel one or both could even represent Canada on the podium on Sunday. Let's start with Conners who is one of the best ball-strikers on Tour(ranked #2 in SG: BS on my sheet) but the inconsistent putter and price in the high $8K range on DraftKings, he will be a GPP only play for me this week.
My favorite play of the two is Mackenzie Hughes who may not stand out a ton in terms of ball-striking stats but he comes in with some top form. He has made the cut in four straight including three Top 15's, two of which were the US Open and OPEN Championship. He can play with the bog boys and is an elite putter which gives him an edge on these giant undulated greens. I will have exposure in all formats.
World Golf Ranking (#130)
Vegas Odds (55/1)
There really isn't any way around it, Vegas is going to be chalk this week and it makes perfect sense as he checks so many boxes. First of all, he comes in with some terrific form making the cut in eight straight events including two runner-up finishes in his last four. Statistically, he leads the field in SG: Off the Tee and Drivign Distance which should be a huge advantage should this course cater to bombers. He has also been deadly with his irons gained 3.5 or more strokes on approach in four straight. Combine that with a mid $7K price tag in a small field, no-cut event, and you have a core play in all formats.
World Golf Ranking (#122)
Vegas Odds (140/1)
I won't have a ton of exposure down here but do like Norlander this week. He is coming off a terrific T5 at the Barbasol where he gained 7.6 strokes on approach and has now made the cut in five straight. While he doesn't give us the bomber narrative, he is excellent with his long irons and has been putting very well gaining strokes on the green in four of his last five events. He is in play for me in all formats.