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Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 6
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After a massive Monday night performance against the Colts, Lamar Jackson is now the third-highest scoring player on DraftKings through the first five weeks of the season behind only Derrick Henry and weirdly Tom Brady. Jackson provides so much floor on his scoring simply because the Ravens just run the ball so much with him. In fact, he is 8th overall in the NFL in rushing yards total. It’s an unreal feat for a quarterback. Plus, he’s averaging more than 300 yards passing per game to boot. This is a pretty easy call and the game could be a higher scoring one against the Chargers who rank 31st in defensive DVOA against the rush. This is a perfect spot for Lamar.
Going a little off-board with this one, but things line up pretty well for Heinecke in this game. For starters, the Chiefs rank dead last in defensive DVOA this season, having been brutalized week in and week out through the first five games. There aren’t many paths for them to get significantly better either. Heinecke is coming pretty cheap on DraftKings and does have a higher floor considering how he scores points. He’s averaged more than 25 yards on the ground since becoming the starter and has been significantly more efficient over the last two weeks through the air, completing 73% of his passes in that stretch. The matchup is just so good here and he is coming cheap.
Houston has been a funnel defense on the season, ranking 9th against the pass, but 30th against the run. That bodes well for Taylor here who does remain the touch leader out of the backfield for the Colts. I don’t love the snap share considering Indy has been fine rolling out three running backs, but he is averaging about 14 carries and three targets per game this season. It’s just so hard to pass up on this matchup with the Colts coming in as -9.5 home favorites against the Texans.
Darrel Williams FD 5200 DK 4900
Proj Points FD - 12.57 DK - 14.11
The Chiefs put Clyde Edwards-Helaire on injured reserve and the KC backfield gets a little thinner here. Williams ended up playing 43% of the snaps against the Bills in Week 5 (37 plays total) and got five carries and five targets in that stretch. That’s pretty solids usage for his time on the field. And they have gone to him in down-and-close situations before with Williams having two rushing touchdowns on the season. Even in something of a timeshare, Williams is just too cheap on both sites considering the playing time the CEH injury opens up.
After Taylor and Williams, the running back choices aren’t totally clear. Derrick Henry is off the main slate, Ezekiel Elliott is going against a decent New England defense in an average-paced game, Nick Chubb still splits snaps and doesn’t see much of anything in the passing game and Austin Ekeler’s matchup isn’t great against the Ravens. So how about…
D'Andre Swift FD 7100 DK 6300
Proj Points FD - 16.1 DK - 18.67
He played 74% of the snaps last week and ended up touching the ball 17 total times (11 carries, six targets). Swift turned that into 104 total yards and a touchdown. For what it’s worth, he leads the Lions in targets (35) through the first five games of the season, clearly Jared Goff’s favorite look. If the snaps are increasing and the Lions are desperate to win, this is a game we might see a lot of Swift. If that’s the case, then the prices are too low on both sites.
DaVante Adams FD 8500 DK 9000
Proj Points FD - 20.05 DK - 24.12
On the one hand, it doesn’t take all that much insight to write up a guy like Adams who just continues to see the most target seemingly year in and year out. Things are much the same this season with the WR1 leading the league in looks with 61, five more than the next-closest WR (Kupp). He draws a less than ideal matchup against the Bears who play a slower than average pace and have been very good against the pass this season. But Adams remains too cheap on FanDuel especially.
Tyreek Hill FD 8700 DK 8500
Proj Points FD - 21.41 DK - 25.25
The Washington Football Team has been brutal against the pass this season, ranking 29th in DVOA. And the Chiefs are in a situation where their running game is banged up and they would really like to win. That could spell for a ton of throws from Mahomes. Hill ranks second overall in WR scoring on DraftKings for the season and is coming off of a 13 target game in Week 5. We could see more of the same in this matchup. Since we aren’t spending up all that much on RBs this week on the main slate, jamming in the expensive WRs should be the play.
Kadarius Toney FD 6000 DK 5600
Proj Points FD - 14.37 DK - 17.41
We wrote up Toney last week and played him all cash games. It paid off, big time. He was a slate-breaker with a monster game, getting 13 targets on his way to 10 catches and 189 yards. It could have been more but he got ejected in the 4th quarter for throwing a punch. There’s some question about Daniel Jones heading into this week and the matchup against the Rams sucks, especially if he sees Jalen Ramsey. But the price is too low for the target share. It’s closer than you think because of the other mitigating factors, but he is still a bargain.
Mark Andrews FD 6300 DK 5200
Proj Points FD - 12.42 DK - 15.03
As was somewhat expected, Andrews ranks in the top-3 of tight end targets this season behind Travis Kelce and Darren Waller. What’s surprising though is how close it is through five weeks. Andrews is only four behind Kelce and keeping pace with him in terms of DraftKings scoring. The difference in the two is the price with Andrews coming at values on both sites. This should be a higher scoring game and the Ravens have been throwing a bit more this season.
Ricky Seals-Jones FD 5000 DK 3000
Proj Points FD - 7.45 DK - 9.23
We gave Seals-Jones as a punt play on DraftKings last week with the idea that he would continue taking over the Logan Thomas snap share. He did, and last week the looks were there as well, getting eight targets, good for five catches and 40 yards. He also came very close to scoring two touchdowns, with contested drops in the end zone. He is getting the red zone looks from Heinecke and that’s a great sign.
Defense / Special Teams
Minnesota Vikings FD 3700 DK 2900
Proj Points FD - 7.23 DK - 7.23
The Vikings have actually been a top-8 defense on the season, and have been especially good against the pass. Meanwhile, Sam Darnold has thrown five interceptions in the last two weeks alone though admittedly that was without the services of Christian McCaffrey. I still like the Vikings’ price here on both sites and think it lines up well for them in a game that should be lower scoring.
GB FD 4200 DK 3600
Proj Points FD - 7.93 DK - 7.93
Though a lot of it was loaded into the game against the Browns, the Bears have still given up a ton of sacks this season to opposing defenses. It didn’t happen last week as much against the Raiders because they were up, but that might not be the case here against the Packers, forcing Justin Fields into many more passing sets than the team is comfortable giving him. Green Bay gets after the quarterback at a league-average rate and I like their prices on both sites.
I actually don’t hate the Detroit Lions at about the minimum on DraftKings. The Bengals have given up the 6th-most sacks to opposing defenses this season.
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