Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Tuesday 3/1/22
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Luka is having some kind of month of February. This guy has been on an absolute tear which is almost kind of an understatement. In the month of February, Luka is averaging 35 points, 10 rebounds, and nine assists, with the surging Mavericks now 8-2 over their last 10. And one of those included a massive comeback over the Warriors on Sunday. It’s all been gravy for this team who made some solid moves at the deadline. On Tuesday, they’ll get the reeling Lakers who rank 24th on defense and have been all kinds of bad of late. Luka’s price on DraftKings is really pushing it, but you can easily play him on FanDuel.
The Clippers get the best matchup you can have in DFS NBA against the Rockets on Tuesday and that’s going to land a few of them into cash game consideration for sure. Jackson is close to the top of that list with LA still running him major minutes while they, amazingly, fight to stay at the top of the play-in game seeding. Over the last seven games, Jackson is playing 35 minutes per, and averaging 18.6 points, 8.4 assists, and five rebounds. This is all without the FanDuel price moving all that much. Considering how good of a matchup this is, I think we can easily trot him out there and expect a higher floor return.
This is obviously only if Fred VanVleet were to sit out again on Tuesday. On the front end of the back-to-back, Malachi Flynn got the start for Toronto and was excellent against the Nets. In his 34 minutes, the dude lit it up with 18 points, five assists, four rebounds, and a couple of steals. The price didn’t move at all game-over-game and we now that we know the role, this would make for a pretty easy play. Again, we will have to wait to confirm the status of VanVleet before making this call, but if the latter was out again then Flynn is an easy call.
Terance Mann FD - $6100 DK - $6200
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 31.71 DK - 33.93
He only played 26 minutes last time out against the Rockets, but a lot of that was foul trouble (he finished with 5) which led him to losing some run early. I don’t think that would be the expectation again and the price is almost too good to pass up against the Rockets who allow the most fantasy points against this season. Mann still managed 31 fantasy points in that effort by the way, meaning getting up and over 30 minutes would make him more than cash game viable. He’d scored 19 or more points in three of the previous four games and the minutes are averaging in the mid-30s. I think he’s a pretty easy play here all things considered.
Andrew Wiggins FD - $5500 DK - $6200
Opponent - MIN
Proj Pts FD - 33.44 DK - 35.47
Klay Thompson will have to sit this game out after missing the last one as well. When the Warriors played the Mavericks on Sunday, Wiggins put up the second-most shots on the team with 16 and finished with 18 points in 34 minutes before fouling out. The two assists and rebounds each is, of course, on the low end of expectation for this kind of run, so I’m not all that worried about it. And his price is way too low on both sites, but FanDuel especially considering he gets a usage bump with Klay off the court. I think this is a pretty easy play especially because they will really need his minutes to deal with Lebron on the defensive end.
Scottie Barnes FD - $5500 DK - $6000
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 32.78 DK - 34.69
Scottie Barnes went absolutely off against the Nets on Monday night with Fred VanVleet out of the lineup. In a complete drubbing of Brooklyn, Barnes was magnificent, scoring 28 points, pulling down 16 rebounds, while adding four assists and five steals. It was one of the best performances of the night, easily helping take down cash games and GPPs. While I don’t think this specific performance is repeatable, he would appear to have a very high floor once again in this matchup. I suspect, especially off the performance last night, that Barnes will be a very popular play on this slate.
Power Forward/ Center
Kyle Kuzma FD - $8700 DK - $9200
Opponent - DET
Proj Pts FD - 45.51 DK - 49.37
Kyle Kuzma has been on a different level ever since Bradley Beal went down for the year and the Wizards shipped off some other key pieces at the trade deadline. He has 34 and 36 points in each of the last two games, taking 49 shots combined in that stretch. He’s also added plenty of other stats in the box score, leading to some real peak fantasy games. The concern would be the five-point game dud he laid against the Nets three games ago, but in general, this is a guy who’s maintained a high fantasy and minutes floor over the last few weeks. Now he’ll face the 29th-ranked defense in the league in the Detroit Pistons and I like him as a cash game play once again.
Daniel Gafford FD - $4800 DK - $3600
Opponent - DET
Proj Pts FD - 27.56 DK - 27.95
The DraftKings price on Gafford is kind of a joke with the Wiz center playing 23 and 29 minutes respectively over the last two. Washington minutes can always be a scary thing and these guys can easily get buzzed off without warning. But Gafford has a high floor at the DK price which is close to a punt play. He’s averaging 15 points and 6.5 rebounds in that stretch with the defensive stats coming in on the lower side all things considered for this guy. I think we play him on DraftKings without hesitation and he’ll likely be very popular on that site.
Ivica Zubac FD - $5800 DK - $6100
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 29.69 DK - 31
Zubac is a tricky one for the Clippers. On the one hand, he has the best matchup around against a team in the Rockets that doesn’t take a bunch of scheming against in order to just beat soundly. And we know, on a per-minute basis, Zubac can get the job done from a fantasy perspective. Just one game ago he put up 14 points, 15 rebounds, and six blocks against this very squad. The concern is that the minutes are anything but safe on a game-by-game basis and he played 18 and 23 respectively the previous two. But with just how badly he manhandled Houston over the weekend, I think we can safely project him in the high 20s in terms of minutes, and that’s enough to get the job done at these prices.