Basketball Lineups Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Monday 3/7
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With a month left in the season, the Hawks sit as the #10 seed which is also the final play-in tournament spot. It will be all hands on deck down the stretch and its starts with their superstars Trae Young. While he can be inconsistent at times in terms of his fantasy performances and that helps keep his price in check compared to other stars and that is great news for tonight as he faces a Pistons team that ranks 26th in defensive efficiency. We never have to worry about volume with Trae either as he is averaging just over 20 shots a game since the start of February and he has also been very consistent for fantasy averaging 49.4 DK/45.0 FD points per game in that time. All things considered, Trae is my favorite guard play and one of my favorite overall plays on this slate.
On the other side of this game, we have a team in the Pistons who are all but eliminated from the playoffs but still on the radar as we have a live Rookie of the Year race. Cunningham faded away for a bit but is making a push again as he comes into tonight having averaged 20.4 points, 8.0 rebounds, and 4.9 assists per game over his last seven and like Trae, is not afraid to shoot averaging 18.7 shots per game in that time. The price is fair on both sites and considering the elite volume and matchup vs. the Hawks who rank 27th in defensive efficiency I will have exposure to Cade in all formats.
Brandon Williams FD - $3500 DK - $3800
Opponent - MIN
Proj Pts FD - 22.5 DK - 25.93
The Trailblazers are huge underdogs(+15) in this game but come in very short-handed, especially at the guard position. Justice Winslow will miss his fourth straight game while Simons got hurt late last game and is also ruled out for tonight. Williams comes in having played 20 or more minutes off the bench in three of his last four with a season-high 27 on Saturday where he dropped 21 points. There is a strong chance he gets the starts tonight and with a 25-minute floor(very conservative), he should be able to easily crush his low price on both sites.
Jordan Poole FD - $4700 DK - $5300
Opponent - DEN
Proj Pts FD - 31.9 DK - 35.15
The Warriors will be resting Curry, Klay, and Wiggins tonight on the front end of a back-to-back and that means more value. For me, that starts with Jordan Poole who was very productive with Klay on the shelf early in the season averaging 30 DK points per game. He has also filled in and made seven starts since the start of January and looked even better averaging over 32 minutes and 32 fantasy points per game. This likely turns into a blowout but that hasn't affected his minutes or production in these similar situations so fire him up as a top value in all formats.
LeBron James FD - $10200 DK - $11600
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 55.44 DK - 58.9
Bron has a questionable tag coming into the game as he is still dealing with knee pain but he has been playing through it and we don't want to ignore this game. Not only does it have a monster total(232.5) and is expected to stay close(SA -2), but the Lakers get a terrific matchup against the Spurs who run the 4th fastest pace and have ranked 3rd worst in defensive efficiency since the All-Star break. I don't think Lebron puts up all-world numbers like he did Saturday against the Warriors but all things considered, he has an elite floor and ceiling in this matchup and I want exposure in all formats.
Otto Porter Jr. FD - $4100 DK - $4600
Opponent - DEN
Proj Pts FD - 25.39 DK - 26.59
Speaking of those Warriors, we have another value play as Porter should get his second straight start tonight with the team sitting most of their starters(Curry, Wiggins, Klay). In that loss to the Lakers on Saturday, Porter played just 24 minutes but was able to easily hit and exceed value posting a double-double on 10 points and 10 rebounds. That 24 minutes is most likely his floor tonight and while Denver is a tough defense, Porter gets a slight boost rebounding as the Nuggets are just 20th in that department. Fire up Porter as a top PTS/$ value in all formats.
Rudy Gobert FD - $8000 DK - $7900
Opponent - DAL
Proj Pts FD - 40.95 DK - 42.57
The price is trending back down on both sites which is something we love to see from one of the most consistent PTS/$ plays on the slate. Gobert has been delivering all season posting 40 or more DK points in 63% of his games and more recently has averaged 43 DK points per game since February 8th on the back of posting a double-double in 23 of those 26 games. While it is a tougher matchup vs the Mavs(5th in def eff, 30th in pace), they do rank in the bottom five in terms of fantasy points to the center position. All things considered, I love the consistency and trending price making Gobert my top center on both sites.
Jonathan Kuminga FD - $4600 DK - $4500
Opponent - DEN
Proj Pts FD - 30.48 DK - 32.82
How much Warriors value is going to be enough tonight? Even with the possibility of a blowout and facing an above-average defense, we can't ignore the value and the good news is that in similar situations in the past, the minutes have been there for the fill-in starters. He came off the bench on Saturday playing 29 minutes and dropped 28 DK points and in his last three-game stretch where he started(Feb 10, 12, 14), he crushed value twice while playing around 30 minutes a game. I will have exposure in all formats if he is confirmed starting.