Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

Doug Norrie

DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Tuesday 3/15/22

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Point Guard/Shooting Guard

Devin BookerDevin Booker FD - $10400 DK - $9600
Opponent - NO
Proj Pts FD - 47.42 DK - 50.93

Cameron PayneCameron Payne FD - $7000 DK - $7700
Opponent - NO
Proj Pts FD - 32.97 DK - 36.08

With Chris Paul out over the last couple of weeks, these two have taken over so much of the Suns' offense and been hitting value along the way. That’s what happens when you remove one of the most on-ball points guards there is from your lineup. Since the All-Star break, Booker has been amazing, averaging 26 points, 8.5 assists, and 4.6 rebounds per game while running about 36 minutes in that stretch. He’s been fantastic and has seen the requisite price increase that comes with this kind of opportunity. But against the Pelicans on a shorter slate, I think we are totally fine running him in cash games, especially without a bunch of the big spend-ups going on Tuesday.

And then there is Payne who’s been fantastic in his own right. Since he’s taken over the full-time point guard duties with no minutes restrictions, he’s averaged 17 points and 10 rebounds per game while also taking a bunch of shots. He’s put up almost 15 shots a game in that stretch and is just one of the better middle-tier point guards out there when Paul is out of the mix. I think the FanDuel price is still totally reasonable considering what he is doing in the offense.

Tyus JonesTyus Jones FD - $4200 DK - $3400
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 34 DK - 36.08

With Ja Morant doubtful for this game it sure looks like Tyus Jones will be one of the highest owned players on the slate. The last time Ja sat a month ago on February 15th, Jones filled in with 27 points and nine assists in the win over the Pelicans. And when Morant missed extended time back in December, Jones was playing 30+ minutes a game, averaging 11 points, five assists, and three rebounds. That latter line wasn’t as robust because Dillon Brooks was in the mix, which is the case again here. But I still think Jones is the clear play on this slate and most others will see that the same way.

Small Forward

Brooks and Bane below both qualify at shooting guard as well

Kevin DurantKevin Durant FD - $11200 DK - $11100
Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 51.93 DK - 55.35

The Nets basically need to take as many games between now and the end of the season considering where they are in the playoff standings. While looking at the play-in, this is a dicey situation for Brooklyn who’ve had just about as whacky as a season as you would ever see. And because of this situation, the Nets have had no problem running Durant a million minutes to ensure wins. That’s just the state of the team right now and I think that makes him a safer play on this slate. He’s averaged 32 points, seven assists, and six rebounds over the last five, though two of them were without Kyrie Irving which does help the usage rate. That being said, I think the floor is plenty high as long as the game stays on the closer side.

Dillon BrooksDillon Brooks FD - $5000 DK - $4900
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 32.43 DK - 34.48

We should see a minutes increase for Brooks in this game as he works his way back from injury. The last time out he played 25 so I wouldn’t be shocked if that went closer to 30 in this one. With Morant off the court this season, Brooks has the second-highest usage rate on the team at 30.5% and he wasn’t shy about jacking shots up last game, putting up 14 in his somewhat limited run. The Grizzlies get a great matchup here against the Pacers who rank among the worst defensive teams in the league right now and have been playing at a faster pace since the trade deadline.

Desmond BaneDesmond Bane FD - $6600 DK - $6700
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 33.1 DK - 35.84

Look, whenever you take someone like Ja Morant out of the game then basically by default there is going to be a ton of value among the guys remaining. It’s just the nature of these things at this point considering how much usage Morant has commanded this season and just how he’s basically the focal point of the offense. So stacking the remaining Grizzlies at these price points is actually a pretty easy proposition all things considered. Bane sees a whopping, 14% boost in his assist rate with Morant off the court this season with more ball-handling duties falling his way. I think we can play him on both sites and essentially run four of the five Memphis starters in cash without breaking the bank.

Power Forward/ Center

Jaren Jackson Jr.Jaren Jackson Jr. FD - $6400 DK - $6500
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 38.01 DK - 38.28

Jackson actually has the highest usage rate on the team (31.1%) when Ja Morant is out of the mix this season. It’s a good sign for the dude who can be a volatile fantasy performer on a game-to-game basis. If the minutes are there and pushing up against 30 then you have to like him at these prices. He can pile on the blocks in the right situation and will score, especially if the three-ball is falling. But he still has a propensity for foul trouble which can lead to the minutes getting buzzed off. At these prices, and without Morant, it’s clearly worth the risk on both sites though.

Andre DrummondAndre Drummond FD - $5500 DK - $5800
Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 35.86 DK - 36.09

Because the Magic trend bigger along the backline, I think the Drummond minutes are a bit safer and he’ll be able to stay on the court for longer stretches in this game. That should make him cash game viable even if the minutes are only around 25-26 in the best situations. But when that’s been the case for him lately, he’s able to produce results, putting up double-doubles in two of the last three games with the matchup versus Embiid smashed in between them. I think he has high enough of a floor in this matchup which the Nets should be in control of throughout.

Wendell Carter Jr.Wendell Carter Jr. FD - $6800 DK - $7400
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 36.44 DK - 39.58

The Magic have been fine running Carter major minutes of late which is a good sign for his fantasy production if they can keep things close against the Nets on this slate. He’s averaging 35 minutes a game over the last four (2 OTs in there) and putting up 18 points and 12 rebounds in that stretch. While Drummond is a load near the rim, he’s also not the most dynamic defender in the world and I think Orlando could keep WCJ on the court for longer stretches in this matchup. The Nets do play at a faster pace with Kyrie Irving on the court which will be the case in this game since it’s in Orlando. At a weaker PF/ C position Carter is definitely in play.






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