DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Monday 3/21

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Guards

Kevin Porter Jr. FD - $6500 DK - $6400
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 34.38 DK - 38.92

This is a game that is most definitely going to get multiple mentions in this article with its monster total(234.5) featuring two teams that rank 25th and 30th in defensive efficiency overall this season. At the guard position, the system loves KPJ here and it starts with the volume as he is averaging just over 14 shots a game in the month of March. He also provides a nice balance of secondary stats averaging 4.6 rebounds, 5.5 assists, and 1.6 blocks+steals in that time which is good for an average of 33.8 DK/32.2 FD points per game. All things considered, KPJ is a top guard and overall core play for me on this slate.

C.J. McCollum FD - $8400 DK - $9200
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 42.99 DK - 46.58

Another game that jumps off the page from a fantasy standpoint is the Pels and Hornets with the second-highest total(233.5) on the slate. I lean the Pelicans side facing as the Hornets not only rank 18th in defensive efficiency since the All-Star break(23rd overall), they run the 3rd-fastest pace. They could also be without Brandon Ingram(C-19) and Devonte Graham(hip) but either way McCollum is at the top of my list. He has been tremendous since coming over in a trade averaging over 20 shots a game and delivered by averaging 45.7 DK/43.9 FD points per game. The price is rising but in this spot he is still a part of my core in all formats.

Terry Rozier FD - $7700 DK - $8200
Opponent - NO
Proj Pts FD - 36.54 DK - 39.29
LaMelo Ball FD - $8700 DK - $8800
Opponent - NO
Proj Pts FD - 43.71 DK - 47.52

While it is never that tough on these big slates to go stars and scrubs, I certainly like a more balanced attack with how things are lining up and it comes down to a couple of games projected to be high-scoring, fast-paced, and full of fantasy gold. I mentioned this game above and while I slightly prefer the Pels side of things, it is hard to ignore the Hornets guard duo of Ball and Rozier. Let's start with Ball who has tallied 43 or more DK points in six of his last seven games on a balanced line of 20 points, 6.3 rebounds, 7.4 assists, and 2.3 blocks+steals.

If you can't quite get to Ball at his elevated price, consider Terry Rozier who has been equally as consistent lately. Over his last 11 games, he is averaging over 34 minutes, 16.9 shots, 24.2 points(52.2% shooting), and 44.3 DK/43.6 FD points per game. For GPP, I could definitely see stacking them together and running it back with McCollum and another piece but for cash games, I slightly prefer Rozier, especially on FanDuel under $8K.

Also Consider: Jordan Clarkson(UTA) as one of the top 6th men in the league who has played 29+ minutes in five straight while averaging over 17 shots and 24 points per game

Small Forward

Cade Cunningham FD - $7500 DK - $8400
Opponent - POR
Proj Pts FD - 38.13 DK - 41.71

Cade is only eligible as a SF on DraftKings tonight and I probably should have listed him above but here we are. It has been an up and down season for the rookie but he is closing strong and comes into tonight with a 29% usage rate in March averaging 19.8 shots per game and delivering on that volume as he is averaging 45.2 DK points per game or 1.18 fantasy points per minute. Those are elite numbers that we expect from a $9K player so this feels like a bit of a buy-low considering Portland is dead last in defensive efficiency since the All-Star break. Fire up Cade in all formats.

Corey Kispert FD - $4100 DK - $4200
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 20.44 DK - 22.35

The Wizards present a ton of value tonight with the combination of players out and an elite matchup against the Rockets who rank 30th in defensive efficiency and run a league-high pace. Kispert is one of them as he entered the starting lineup in early February and while the upside is limited, he has provided a consistent PTS/$ floor for his price tallying 20 or more DK points in five of his last six games. He isn't going to win you the contest but he will help you stack top-priced players in your lineup.

Power Forward/Center

Evan Mobley FD - $7900 DK - $7900
Opponent - LAL
Proj Pts FD - 42.91 DK - 44.41

I mentioned Cade Cunningham above and the only player keeping him from the Rookie of the Year award is Evan Mobley of the Cavs. He is having a tremendous season averaging 15.2 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 1.7 blocks per game, and has been even better down the stretch in March. Over his last eight games, he is taking over 15 shots per game while averaging 20 points, 10.6 rebounds, and over 43 fantasy points per game. The Lakers also present a plus matchup ranking 27th in defensive efficiency since the All-Star break and rank 21st in rebounding overall. I will have exposure to Mobley's high floor/high ceiling in all formats.

Kristaps Porzingis FD - $7800 DK - $7700
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 38.71 DK - 39.67

We will be monitoring the injury news on Kuzma who missed last game but either way it shakes out, we are going to want heavy exposure to this game, and specifically the Wizards side. That is due to the elite matchup against a Rockets team who ranks bottom 10 in defensive efficiency and Top 10 in pace since the All-Star break while playing to a 2-10 record. For Porzingis, while the minutes have yet to reach 30 in any of the seven starts since coming over to Washington, he has been consistent averaging over 35 fantasy points per game. He is on my radar in all formats and would be a near-lock if Kuzma was to miss a second straight game.

Also Consider: Jonas Valanciunas(NO) who has a near 6x projection on both sites in a smash spot vs the Hornets or Drew Eubanks(POR) who also gets a plus matchup against the Pistons who rank 24th in defense

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