Golf Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

    Chris Durell

    Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Shriners Children's Open

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    The Course

    TPC Summerlin
    Par 71 - 7,255 Yards
    Greens - Bentgrass

    **Click the image above to see a hole-by-hole breakdown from PGATour.com**

    Previous Five Winners

    • 2022 - Sungjae Im(-24)
    • 2021 - Martin Laird(-27)
    • 2020 - Kevin Na(-23)
    • 2019 - Bryson DeChambeau(-21)
    • 2018 - Patrick Cantlay(-9)

    After a thrilling playoff where Mackenzie Hughes outlasted Sepp Straka at the Sanderson Farms Championship, the PGA Tour heads to the betting capital of the world, Las Vegas, Nevada for the Shriners Childers Open. It is the third event of the 2022-23 season and one of my favorite times of the year as we get an influx of young players coming from the Korn Ferry Tour looking to make their name on the big boy tour.

    The TPC Summerlin course has been a staple for this event going back to the early 90's when it was a Par 72 setup. It was changed over to a Par 71 after the 2008 events and stretches out over 7,200 yards. It has four par 3's ranging from 168 yards up to the monster 239-yard 8th hole. There are 11 par 4's this week but the range to target will be the 400-450 yard range as seven fall in that range with two in the sub-400-yard range and just two that stretch out over 450 yards. Two of the three par 5's are standard distance(563, 560) with par 5 13th hole stretching out over 600 yards. The fairways provide generous landing areas and the greens are well above average in size and this will put a ton of reliance on the irons and putter.

    The winning score has been in the -20's in four straight and eight of the last 10 trips to TPC Summerlin and with an early forecast of heat and no wind, we can expect it to get there once again. This has my stats model pretty concentrated on Strokes Gained: Approach, Par 4 Scoring with emphasis on the 400-450 yard range, and Birdie or Better %. Make sure to also check out my cheatsheet for the complete model including stats, form, course history, and odds.

    With all that said, let's get into my top targets for the week.

    Top Targets

    Sungjae Im
    World Golf Ranking (#19)
    Vegas Odds (11/1)
    Draftkings ($10,400)
    FanDuel ($11,800)

    The defending champion of this even this making his first start of the year if we are looking at stroke-play events. I say that as he play for the Internationals at the Presidents Cup and looked good winning his singles matchup on Sunday and four-ball match on Saturday. That after closing out last season with a run of five straight Top 15 finishes including a T2 at the Tour Championship. Statistically, he closed out the season with one of the best all-around games ranking 6th in SG: Total missing just four cuts in 26 events with nine Top 10's and a whopping 17 Top 25 finishes. On top of the win here he has also tallied two other Top 15 finishes and has the second-best course history behind only Patrick Cantlay. I will have exposure to both in the top tier but slightly more Im with the $700 discount on DraftKings.

    Tom Hoge
    World Golf Ranking (#42)
    Vegas Odds (40/1)
    Draftkings ($9,000)
    FanDuel ($10,300)

    It feels like a lot of people will be going to Cam Davis and Emiliano Grillo in this range but I am going to leverage off a bit and roll with Tom Hoge. He struggled through most of the summer missing six straight cuts at one point but rebounded making three of four cuts to close out the season with two Top 10's. That appears to have carried over as he looked great at the Fortinet gaining 4.3 stroke on approach, 5.6 ball striking, and 2.9 putting which led to a T12 to start the season. He now returns to TPC Summerlin where he has had success with Top 25 finishes in three of his last four trips including a T14 last year. Looking at my stats model on the sheet, he ranks 3rd in SG: Approach, 8th in Proximity, and 26th in Birdie or Better. He checks a ton of boxes and if he is going to be outside the Top 10 in ownership, I will have a ton of exposure and feel he is in play in all formats.

    Thomas Detry
    World Golf Ranking (#105)
    Vegas Odds (50/1)
    Draftkings ($7,900)
    FanDuel ($9,900)

    Speaking of checking a lot of boxes, there is a ton to like about Thomas Detry once again this week. He has been red-hot to start the year with a T12 at the Fortinet and T9 at the Sanderson last week on the back of a very complete game. He bombs it off the tee and while the irons are not in the elite class yet, he more than makes up for it with the putter which has him 15th in Birdie or Better % to start the season. Despite the terrific start to the season, his price has trended back down below $8K on DraftKings which has me loading up in all formats this week as he seeks his first PGA Tour win which could be coming very soon. Speaking of winning, the 50/1 number is a great spot to get your money into the outright markets as well.

    Nick Hardy
    World Golf Ranking (#179)
    Vegas Odds (66/1)
    Draftkings ($7,500)
    FanDuel ($9,300)

    Hardy is a player that is still trying to find consistency on the PGA Tour but the good news is that he has flashed a ton of upside along the way. We have seen that inconsistency to start the new season as he finished T67 at the Fortinet with a bit of a wild driver but corrected it last week and it led to a T5 as he gained 1.7 strokes off the tee and a whopping 7.4 on approach. The irons are the strength of his game and with the addition of bombing it off the tee, he fits what I am looking for this week. He has been slightly below average with the putter but if the ball striking is anywhere near last week, we are only needing an average putter to see another top result which works with a mid-tier price tag, especially on DraftKings. I also don't see his ownership getting too high so we don't need a lot of exposure to have more than the field here.

    Ben Taylor
    World Golf Ranking (#237)
    Vegas Odds (175/1)
    Draftkings ($6,700)
    FanDuel ($8,000)

    This is another leverage spot I am looking at this week with all the mention of Garrick Higgo who played great last week at the Sanderson and finished T3. For Taylor, he may not have the same upside yet but has been consistent to start the season with a T25 at the Fortinet and T39 at the Sanderson. His strengths lie with his off-the-tee game led by distance and his putter as he has gained 4.1 strokes on the green in the first two events. That combination should lead to success once again this week and while I prefer his floor for cash games, a spike in the approaches could lead to some upside which he showed near the end of the Korn Ferry Tour season.





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