Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

Doug Norrie

Damian Lillard and Kevin Durant Top the DraftKings and FanDuel NBA Picks - Tuesday, November 15, 2022

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Point Guard/ Shooting Guard

Damian LillardDamian Lillard FD - $9000 DK - $9900
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 45.59 DK - 50.87

Lillard missed a few games, but he’s come back strong over the last three since the return and been in superstar form. In that stretch he’s averaging 25 points, eight assists, and five rebounds. Now, he’ll face a Spurs team ranked 26th on defense even though they play at a below average pace. I like the FanDuel price on Lillard much more than DraftKings, but he’s in play on both sites because the minutes floor has been so high since his return.

De'Aaron FoxDe'Aaron Fox FD - $8800 DK - $8800
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 42.92 DK - 45.97

De’Aaron Fox is having his best season on the statistics front, scoring 25.5 points per game on 55% shooting, getting better from beyond the arc at 38% on more than five attempts. It’s been a nice boost for the point guard and the Kings have won six of the last seven games he’s played. Now he’ll get the Nets who have, somewhat surprisingly been decent on defense this season, ranked fourth in efficiency at that end of the court. But I like Fox’s DraftKings price at sub-$9K and he’s in a value spot for sure.

Mike ConleyMike Conley FD - $5600 DK - $5600
Opponent - NY
Proj Pts FD - 30.3 DK - 33.06

The Jazz are having one of the truly surprising seasons we’ve seen considering everyone thought they would be in the tank for Victor Wembanyama from the very start. But they are 9-5 and have looked strong to start the season even with a bunch of new faces. Conley has had some rough shooting games in the short-term, but it’s only served to lower his price on both sites. He’s still averaging 11 points and eight assists on the season with some defensive stats and rebounds thrown in there as well.

John KoncharJohn Konchar FD - $4000 DK - $4900
Opponent - NO
Proj Pts FD - 24.2 DK - 24.92

Konchar should get the start again for Desmond Bane who is doubtful for this game. Last game (without Ja Morant as well), Konchar played 37 minutes though admittedly he needed every one of them to hit value. He’s coming cheap enough on FanDuel as a quasi-punt play that I think, for the time being, we can roll with him in DFS in order to get pay-ups elsewhere. This slate could be a bit short on the cheaper plays with the way things are shaking out and I do think the minutes floor on Konchar is high enough.

Small Forward

Kevin DurantKevin Durant FD - $11300 DK - $11200
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 57.85 DK - 60.91

With Kyrie Irving out because of the suspension, and Ben Simmons nursing an injury, the Nets have needed everything and more from Kevin Durant over the last couple of weeks. He’s been up to the task. Over the last seven games, Durant is averaging 29 points, eight rebounds, and six assists while adding almost two blocks (he’s among the leaders in that stat). The price has come up along with the performance, but he’s still very much a cash game play here on this slate of games.

Keegan MurrayKeegan Murray FD - $5600 DK - $4800
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 27.98 DK - 29.96

It’s easy to like Keegan Murray’s DraftKings price on this slate, coming at sub-$5K even though the performance has kind of been all over the place of late. Sure, he has the 37-minute game last time out in which he took 15 shots and finished with 21 points. But there are multiple single-digit scoring outings over the last week-plus which is something of a concern. I think we can still roster the rookie here though it’s not without at least some risk that the shot isn’t there.

Power Forward/ Center

Lauri MarkkanenLauri Markkanen FD - $7600 DK - $7500
Opponent - NY
Proj Pts FD - 38.14 DK - 41.03

The Knicks are playing a bottom-third defense with the 4th-fastest pace in the league, making them one of the better DFS matchups around this season. It’s just one reason the Jazz have one of the highest implied totals going today on the five-game slate. Lauri Markkanen has been one of the true fantasy breakout guys this season after coming over to the Jazz in the Donovan Mitchell trade. He’s averaging 21.8 points and 8.6 rebounds, taking a career high 15.5 shots per game and turning in some slate-breaking performances. The price has tailed off some, but he’s a value here on a shorter slate of games.

Julius RandleJulius Randle FD - $7500 DK - $8100
Opponent - UTA
Proj Pts FD - 38.63 DK - 42.81

Randle comes in as a FanDuel play on this slate with the price on that site falling into the mid-$7K range. Even with Jalen Brunson coming over in the off season, Randle has maintained his scoring averages from last season even on fewer minutes and shots thanks to an increase in offensive efficiency. It doesn’t look like he’s a candidate to hit 36-37 minutes consistently like in the past, but he’s still very much a play here and has a high floor because of how the Knicks use him in the offense.

Drew EubanksDrew Eubanks FD - $4300 DK - $3900
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 26.7 DK - 27.98

We’ve been in a tricky spot with Eubanks over the last couple of games with Jusuf Nurkic getting questionable tags throughout the day only to be out prior to gametime. That’s a problem with the West Coast games because we haven’t hadn’t the news anywhere close to in time for lineup lock. If Eubanks starts he’s a clear value at these prices, but the not knowing has been the real issue.

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