featured Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 14
Welcome back football fans. Week 14 in the NFL is here and DFSR has you covered. Earlier in the week, we look at our top cash game picks and now it's time to look at some stacks that help us get to the top of or GPP contests. Let's get started.
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Game Stack - Vikings @ Lions
Jared Goff FD 7100 DK 5600
Proj Points FD - 19.16 DK - 19.16
Amon-ra St. Brown FD 8600 DK 7800
Proj Points FD - 21.19 DK - 26.19
T.J. Hockenson FD 6500 DK 5100
Proj Points FD - 10.94 DK - 13.65
Hard not to start with a game that currently sits with the second-highest total(53.5) of the entire season as Vegas is clearly expecting a track meet and it makes sense as this is one of two games that features two teams ranked Top 10 in pace. I will have several different core builds in this game but a majority of them will center around the passing game.
At quarterback, it starts with Jared Goff who has been more consistent lately and comes cheaper than Cousins on both sites. He is also coming off one of his best games of the season throwing for 340 yards and two touchdowns in a blowout win against the Jags. He now gets a great matchup against a Vikings defense that has given up 300+ yards passing in four straight weeks, ranks 24th in DVOA against the pass, and 26th in fantasy points against quarterbacks. I love pairing him with his #1 option in Amon-Ra St. Brown who is back to elite status with eight or more targets in six straight games(average 10) while catching 80% of them for 555 yards and he has also scored three touchdowns in his last two games. He does move around the field quite a bit pre-snap, but has run over 50% of his routes in the slot and gets a great matchup against the Vikings who have not only allowed the 3rd most fantasy points to wideouts but have also allowed the 7th most receiving yards in the slot.
We could double-stack this one in hopes of Detroit trailing in the second half but the waters are muddied a bit with Jameson Williams now in the mix. In the lineups where I double stack, I lean towards D.J. Chark who scored a touchdown vs the Bills in week 12 and caught five of six targets last week for 98 yards. His price also really helps tie the lineup together, especially if you are including Justin Jefferson in your lineups.
My favorite run-back on the Vikings side in this specific build is T.J. Hockenson who returns to Detroit to face his old team for the first time. Narratives aside, Hockenson has been terrific with his new team averaging eight targets and 11.7 DK/8.7 FD points per game. We have yet to see the big upside game but if the Lions turn to shutting down Justin Jefferson in this one, this could be the game he explodes and no better spot as the Lions have allowed the 5th most fantasy points to tight ends this season.
Bengals Passing Attack
Joe Burrow FD 8300 DK 7000
Proj Points FD - 22.32 DK - 22.32
Ja'Marr Chase FD 8700 DK 7900
Proj Points FD - 18.97 DK - 22.72
Nick Chubb FD 8400 DK 7800
Proj Points FD - 16.87 DK - 17.94
Since getting blown out by the Browns in week 8, the Bengals have gone on a run winning four straight and now get a chance to redeem themselves. It should be a completely different game, at least from a Bengals perspective as they didn't have Ja'Marr Chase in the first meeting. He returned last week and while we didn't get the ceiling game, he was very good catching seven of eight targets for 97 yards and did show his big play ability with a 40-yard catch. Those big plays are exactly what we are chasing here with this stack as the Bengals and Joe Burrow specifically have completed the 7th most passes of 40 yards or more this season. The Browns have been slightly better(21st in DVOA against the pass) against the pass than the rush(31st) but this is still a great matchup for big plays as they have allowed the 4th most yards on deep balls this season.
With both Burrow and Chase not coming cheap I doubt many will run this back with Nick Chubb who always seems to come lower owned in the top tiers of running backs. I get it on DraftKings as he doesn't catch many passes but I am fine with that as he is a touchdown monster trailing only Jamaal Williams in rushing scores this season. He is also 5th in rushing attempts and 6th in total touches per game and ran for 101 yards and two touchdowns against the Bengals in the first meeting. There is more than enough value to stack these three very high-upside plays in this game.
Cowboys Run Game + Defense
Tony Pollard FD 7500 DK 6700
Proj Points FD - 15.85 DK - 17.56
Ezekiel Elliott FD 8000 DK 6100
Proj Points FD - 10.08 DK - 10.53
DAL FD 5200 DK 3800
Proj Points FD - 10.61 DK - 10.61
Normally I would say this stack is a little unconventional but not in this case. Over the last three weeks, they have been an elite running back tandem combining for 73 rushing attempts(29, 30, 34), 442 rushing yards and eight total touchdowns. Zeke has been more consistent with his finishes in that time(17.7, 16.5, 18.1 DK) while Pollard has flashed tourney-winning upside multiple times(24.6, 8.1, 39.9 DK). In a matchup where the Cowboys are massive 17.5-point home favorites facing a Texans defense that is 28th in DVOA against the rush and dead last in fantasy points against RBs I am on board stacking these running backs together. I feel they can easily combine for another 30 rush attempts and up to 35 or more total touches.
On the other side of the ball, Davis Mills is back under center and he has thrown at least one interception in seven of his last eight games and multiple interceptions in four of those games. This has the Cowboys' defense sitting easily at #1 for me this week. They have multiple sacks in every game this season, lead the league in that category with 48, and also sit second in turnovers.