DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Saturday 3/4

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Guards

Donovan Mitchell FD - $10000 DK - $9300
Opponent - DET
Proj Pts FD - 46.45 DK - 49.63

The Cavs tightened up the rotation on Wednesday which led to some massive minutes for the starters including Mitchell who played 44 minutes and led the team with an insane 32 shots. He also delivered on that usage, shooting over 53% from the field and delivering his fifth 50+ fantasy point game in his last seven. Despite the red-hot play, the price still is not back up where it should be considering the elite matchup against the Pistons who rank 28th in defensive efficiency and in fantasy points against guards. Fire up Mitchell as a core play in all formats.

Tyrese Maxey FD - $6600 DK - $5400
Opponent - MIL
Proj Pts FD - 28.47 DK - 31.07

Maxey re-entered the starting lineup over the last two games and has been phenomenal dropping 22 of 38 shots(58%) from the field and against some tough competition in Dallas and Miami. While I am not expecting a near-ceiling game against the Bucks here, we don't necessarily need it on DraftKigns where the price has barely budged up over $5K. There is always risk with these shooting-dependant guards but at this price on a smaller slate, we can afford to take that risk, especially on DraftKings.

Devonte' Graham FD - $5100 DK - $4500
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 21.69 DK - 22.35

The minutes have been up and down for Graham since joining the Spurs but the opportunity is on the rise as he is expected to get his second consecutive start on Saturday. From a PTS/$ perspective, he has been very good providing 20+ fantasy points in seven of eight games with his new team and has two performances of 35+ including last game against the Pacers where he drew the start. This is also arguably the best matchup on the board here as the Rockets are 29th in defensive efficiency and dead last in fantasy points allowed to guards. If starting, I will have exposure to Graham in all formats.

Small Forward

Keita Bates-Diop FD - $5300 DK - $5200
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 25.75 DK - 26.92

The Spurs' value is most definitely going to be chalky once again tonight as Johnson, Vasseell, and McDermott have already been ruled out. It's not just the opportunity for everyone else but this is also a top game to target as both teams are bottom three in defensive efficiency. For Bates-Diop, he isn't someone who is going to win you a GPP but he has provided a consistent floor for cash games posting 20 or more DraftKings points in six straight while averaging just over 24 per game.

Also Consider: Kyle Anderson who is likely lowered-owned playing on back-to-back nights but has been solid averaging 29.7 DK points over his last seven games with a balanced attack(11.4 points, 6.3 rebounds, 4.7 assists)

Power Forward/Center

Evan Mobley FD - $7600 DK - $7600
Opponent - DET
Proj Pts FD - 39.77 DK - 41.15

The Cavs are a very balanced team across the board which does hurt the upside of individuals on most nights but it will be hard to ignore this matchup on Saturday against the Pistons' 28th-ranked defence. There is a chance of a blowout but the Cavs have kept opponents close enough, for the most part, allowing for their players to at least get to their floor projections. What I like most about Mobley is the extended run of very consistent returns as he is averaging 18.2 points, 8.9 rebounds, and 37.3 DK points per game going back almost to the start of January(26 games). All things considered, Mobley is my favorite big-man on this slate and in play in all formats.

Zach Collins FD - $7000 DK - $6400
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 35 DK - 37.35
Jeremy Sochan FD - $6100 DK - $5400
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 30.38 DK - 32.48

With a growing combination of injuries, rest days, and teams tanking we always seem to have the "how many from this team is too many?" narrative. Today that team is the Spurs and what I like most is that there are some cash game locks as well as some guys we can pivot to in GPP's. While the price has slowly crept up, Zach Collins has been tremendous since entering the starting lineup in early February. In those eight games, he has averaged 14.5 points, 7.8 rebounds, 4.1 assists and 2.1 blocks+steals for just under 35 fantasy points a game. Yes, most of those were against weaker opponents but that is the case tonight as he faces a Rockets team that is 29th in defence.

As for Sochan, he is one of the Spurs players that I will pivot to in GPP formats. He hasn't been nearly as consistent as Collins but has flashed near 50 fantasy-point upside and hs tallied 29 or more in three straight games. He gets a boost with no Keldon Johnson in the lineup and in this elite matchup, that ceiling game is once again in play.

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