Golf Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

    Chris Durell

    Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – The Masters

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    The Course

    Augusta National Golf Club
    Par 72 - 7,510 Yards
    Greens - Bentgrass

    **Click the image above to see a hole-by-hole breakdown from past Masters champions**

    Previous Five Winners

    • 2022 - Scottie Scheffler(-10)
    • 2021 - Hideki Matsuyama(-10)
    • 2020 - Dustin Johnson(-20)
    • 2019 - Tiger Woods(-13)
    • 2018 - Patrick Reed(-15)

    It's finally time for one of the most anticipated tournaments and the first major championship of the season as the world's best head to Augusta, Georgia for the Masters! For the first time since the Open Championship last summer, all of the top players in the world will come together and each of the Top 50 in the OWGR will be teeing it up in search of a Green Jacket. In the field of 88 players, we have 20 past champions, 17 first-timers, and seven amateurs.

    Those players will take on one of the most beautiful and challenging golf courses in the world, Augusta National Golf Club. The course is a lengthy(7,510 yards) par 72 with a standard hole setup with four Par 3's, four Par 5's, and 10 Par 4's. Most of the scoring difficulty comes with the par 3's and 4's and golfers are thrilled to come away around even par on those holes for the week. This elevates the importance of Par 5 scoring and Par 5 Birdie or Better % in my stats model. This also correlates directly with Driving Distance as the longer players in the field will have a much better shot at reaching the green in two and getting some very important eagles. Strokes Gained: Approach is always very important and at the top of my list but this week more than ever, I elevate Strokes Gained: Around the Green. This is due to the very fast and undulated Bentgrass greens with shaved edges that make par a tough score on a majority of the holes. A complete game is needed to contend here and it all ends on the very fast greens so let's also not forget to look at putting trends on Bentgrass greens and here at Augusta specifically.

    When looking at my overall model this week, course history is about as high as it will get with the correlation between not only experience but success here at Augusta being very high.

    With all that said, let's dig into the picks!

    Course History Targets

    Hideki Matsuyama
    World Golf Ranking (#21)
    Vegas Odds (40/1)
    DraftKings ($8,400)
    FanDuel ($9,800)

    He isn't at the top of my course history model but definitely stands out with his extended run of consistency here at Augusta National. Since missing the cut in his first trip back in 2014, Deki has made eight straight cuts including a Green Jacket in 2021 and seven Top 20 finishes. He has also found some form coming into Masters week with a T15 at Valero Open and T5 at the Players Championship ranking 11th and 10th in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green respectively. If that wasn't enough, he is priced in the mid-tier this week on both sites and comes with a very nice 40-1 outright number. I will have exposure to Deki almost everywhere this week.

    Corey Conners
    World Golf Ranking (#40)
    Vegas Odds (45/1)
    DraftKings ($7,600)
    FanDuel ($9,400)

    This week more than ever I am looking for my core players to check as many boxes as possible and Conners is another golfer who I could have fit into all three sections. I went with course history as he returns to Augusta National having not only made the cut in all four trips to the Masters but finished Top 10 in each of the last three(T10, T8, T6). Even more good news as the form extends even further back as he has Top 25 finishes in six of his last nine events and ranks, in this elite field, 18th in SG: Tee to Green over the last 24 rounds. It always comes down to his putter when talking upside, but as an elite ball striker he also provides a very high floor at these prices and is a core play for me in all formats.

    Also Consider:  Rory Mcilroy who has Top 10 finishes at the Masters in seven of the last nine with four Top 5's and is in search of the career Grand Slam or Kevin Na who has Top 15 finishes in three straight and is likely extremely low-owned coming from the LIV Tour

    Current Form Targets

    Scottie Scheffler
    World Golf Ranking (#1)
    Vegas Odds (7/1)
    DraftKings ($11,100)
    FanDuel ($12,100)

    This sure feels like deja vu coming into the 2023 Masters as Scheffler once again checks all the boxes as the top-priced golfer. In fact, the form is somehow better this time around as he comes in gaining double the Strokes Gained: Tee to Green per round(2.4) over the last 24 rounds in comparison to last year which is mind-boggling in itself. He is coming off a dominating performance at the Players Championship winning by five strokes, won the Phoenix Open by two strokes and in terms of consistency, Scottie has finished 12th or better in 10 of his last 11 events going back to the BMW Championship. He has the driver to play with the big boys, the short-game creativity that fits Augusta perfectly, and a putter that can get hot at any time. Sheffler is my favorite of the "Big 3" this week.

    Min Woo Lee
    World Golf Ranking (#47)
    Vegas Odds (60/1)
    DraftKings ($7,600)
    FanDuel ($9,000)

    The mid to high $7K range on DraftKings is loaded this week but it's Lee's form that stands out the most. He is coming off a career-high T6 at the Players Championship which beat his previous best, a T14 at last year's Masters. While I am not looking for a similar result as he ran very hot with the putter(+7.7), I think he can provide more than enough value fo this price given he has finished T26 or better in three of his last four events. He is still more of a boom or bust play and my final exposure will likely come down to ownership projections(check sheet on Tues/Weds).

    Also Consider: Brooks Koepka who is coming off a win on the LIV Tour and is underpriced given his Masters and major Championship history or Sam Burns who has found some form coming in with a T35 at the Players Championship, T6 at the Valspar Championship and a huge win at the Match Play Championship.

    Stats Model Targets

    Justin Thomas
    World Golf Ranking (#11)
    Vegas Odds (20/1)
    DraftKings ($9,300)
    FanDuel ($11,200)

    JT checks a lot of boxes this week including a very inviting price on DraftKings in the low $9K range. While he has yet to pick up a win this season, he has been consistent lately with Top 10's in two of his last four events. Outside the putter, his game is exactly what we are looking for as he has been elite tee to green(3rd in this field L24 rounds), crushes the par 5's(9th) and has been amazing around the greens and scrambling(3rd). It's that combination that has led to some terrific course history here at Augusta has he has made the cut in all seven trips with Top 10's in two of the last three. At these prices, JT is one of my favorite plays in DFS this week and I will also be betting him outright(+2200) and Top 10(+175).

    Talor Gooch
    World Golf Ranking (#125)
    Vegas Odds (150/1)
    DraftKings ($6,800)
    FanDuel ($7,700)

    You know I had to fit a LIV golfer in my writeups somewhere and it probably wasn't the one everyone thought. I know the stats profile is from last season but based on those numbers he is 11th in my stats model on the sheet standing out in some key areas(12th in SG: APP, 2nd in SG: ATG, 21st in Drive Dist, 12th in Par 5 scoring, 14th in Bog Avoidance, 22nd in BoB%). While he hasn't yet won on the LIV Tour he started with four straight Top 10's before fading a bit at the end. He has opened this season with a 14th, 14th, and 18th and while that doesn't jump off the page, he has shot in the 60's in seven of nine rounds. He now returns to Augusta after a very impressive T14 in his debut last year. The ownership won't be too high here so I likely will have around 15-20% exposure to be overweight on the field.

    Also Consider: Chris Kirk who ranks 24th in SG: Tee to Green, 6th in SG: Around the Green, 4th in Par 4 scoring and 7th in SG: Putting over the last 24 rounds





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