fbpx

    Golf Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

    06/20/2023
    Chris Durell

    Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Travelers Championship

    Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more.

    Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page

    Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.

    The Course

    TPC River Highlands
    Par 70 - 6,841 Yards
    Greens - Bent/Poa

    **Click the image above to see a hole-by-hole breakdown from PGATour.com**

    Previous Five Winners

    • 2022 - Xander Schauffele(-19)
    • 2021 - Harris English(-13)
    • 2020 - Dustin Johnson(-19)
    • 2019 - Chez Reavie(-17)
    • 2018 - Bubba Watson(-17)

    Top Stats in Model

    • Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
      • The Pete Dye setup at TPC River Highlands is much more of a positional course off the tee which always put emphasis on driving accuracy/fairways gained but distance has also been shown to help players gain an advantage. Because of this, I have overall SG: Off the Tee as a core stat this week but if deciding between two players, I do lean accuracy over distance
      • If looking closer at the bombers who are less accurate, another stat that stands out is Good Drive % which helps identify those players who still hit greens in regulation when missing fairways
    • Strokes Gained: Approach
      • A strong iron game is always high on the priority list and especially at this Pete Dye setup with much smaller-than-average greens
      • When looking at Proximity ranges, the 125-150 and 150-175 yard ranges have seen more than Tour average approaches. We have also seen about an average amount of approaches from 200+ yards but this is more of a range I will use when analyzing shorter hitters off the tee
    • Par 4 Scoring
      • With just two Par 5's and 12 par 4's on this Par 70 setup, Par 4 scoring becomes very important and has shown about double the correlation in recent years
      • Eight of the 12 Par 4's fall between 400-450 yards which makes looking closely at the range a great idea(I use FNGC for these specific ranges)
    • Birdie or Better %
      • With the winning score reaching -17 or better in four of the last five years birdies are going to be a premium

    With a look at the course and top stats, let's now get into the picks.

    Course History Targets

    Brian Harman
    World Golf Ranking (#40)
    Vegas Odds (90/1)
    DraftKings ($7,500)
    FanDuel ($9,100)

    While he hasn't won here at TPC River Highlands, Harman has easily been the most consistent. He has not only made the cut in nine of 11 trips but has done his best work most recently with Top 10 finishes in four of his last five trips and is 2nd in SG: Total over the last 50 rounds. The form has been all over the place in 2023 but he is coming off a T43 at the U.S. Open where he gained 4.0 strokes n approach and 1.3 strokes on the greens. He now heads back to TPC River Highlands where he is very comfortable as he is with almost all Pete Dye courses. At these prices, I have Harman in my core in all formats.

    Kevin Streelman
    World Golf Ranking (#138)
    Vegas Odds (150/1)
    DraftKings ($6,800)
    FanDuel ($7,500)

    More value in this first section as Kevin Streelman returns to TPC River Highlands with an impressive resume that goes back to 2008. He has made the cut here in 12 of 15 trips, won the Travelers back in 2014, finished runner-up in 2020, and has finished T33 or better in five of his last six trips. Like Harman, the form has been up and down for the veteran all season but he has made the cut in six of his last eight events including a Top 10 at the Charles Schwab Challenge and a T51(RBC Heritage) and T18(Wells Fargo Champ) at his last two elevated events. I will have exposure in all formats with his potential high PTS/$ floor.

    Also Consider: Patrick Cantlay who has finished Top 15 in all five trips to TPC River Highlands or Mark Hubbard who is 5/5 in cuts made here with a career-high T13 in 2021

    Current Form Targets

    Scottie Scheffler
    World Golf Ranking (#1)
    Vegas Odds (8/1)
    DraftKings ($11,300)
    FanDuel ($12,300)

    Hard to get away from Scheffler any week he tees it up as he easily has the highest floor of any player in the field. He is not only 16 for 16 in cuts made on the season, he has wins at the WMPO and Players Championship, hasn't finished worse than T12 in 15 straight events, and comes in with five straight Top 5 finishes!! He was one of only a handful of players to gain strokes in every SG category at the U.S. Open including +1.2 putting with his new putter after a couple of disaster weeks with the flat stick. He has progressively gotten better here at TPC River Highlands each season(T13, T47, T69) and with his form, should be ready to contend once again.

    Austin Eckroat
    World Golf Ranking (#85)
    Vegas Odds (125/1)
    DraftKings ($7,300)
    FanDuel ($8,400)

    It shouldn't be hard to go heavy on a stars and scrubs strategy with so many value plays who either have excellent course history or top form. Eckroat is one of those players who comes in with some nice form coming off an impressive T10 at the U.S. Open amidst a stretch of golf where he has made the cut in six straight and seven of his last eight events including three Top 10's and two Top 5's. The stats completely back up the form, as well, as he ranks(in this elite field) 18th in SG: Tee to Green, 11th in Fairways Gained, 26th in SG: Approach, 18th in Par 4 Scoring, and 7th in Opportunities Gained. I would think eventually he will come crashing back down to Earth but until then I will continue to ride that form in all formats.

    Also Consider: Russell Henley who has been very consistent with Top 20 finishes in seven of his last eight events or Nate Lashley who has made the cut in five of his last six events finished T27 or better in three of his last four

    ad

    FREE EBOOK

    SECRETS TO CRUSHING DAILY FANTASY FOOTBALL!
    DON'T SET ANOTHER LINEUP BEFORE YOU READ THIS BOOK.

    DOWNLOAD YOUR EBOOK NOW

    Our free NBA and MLB eBooks, and picks to your inbox every day!

    Your eBooks are on their way!