Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 16 Main Slate 12/24/23

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Quarterbacks

Justin Fields FD 8300 DK 7100
Opponent ARI
Proj Points FD - 23.16 DK - 23.16

It sure seems like Justin Fields is playing for his future as the Bears quarterback and we are happy to ride that through the final few weeks of the season. In Week 16, it works out perfectly with the Bears facing off against the Cardinals who have one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Fields was inefficient against the Browns last time out, but that was a significantly more difficult lift. In the previous three games, Fields had run 12, 12, and 18 times and gotten enough done through the air to really give him upside. He for sure has that this time out against Arizona and on the main slate is the best QB option.

Kyler Murray FD 7600 DK 6400
Opponent CHI
Proj Points FD - 19.85 DK - 19.85

Let’s go to the other side of the ball for our other cash game quarterback on this main slate. The Chicago Bears defense has been better lately, but I still like running with Kyler Murray here. He’s run 15 total times over the last two weeks, and last week got the pass attempts up to 39, completing them at a 67% rate. When it comes to the floor, Fields is higher because he just runs more, but Kyler is cheaper and in a good game environment for cash games.

Consider Nick Mullens coming at just $5300 on DraftKings.

Running Back

Ty Chandler FD 6900 DK 5600
Opponent DET
Proj Points FD - 16.68 DK - 18.01

It looks like Alexander Mattison is going to sit again this week, and that should open up another week of huge opportunity for Ty Chandler. He played 81% of the snaps last time out, carrying the ball 23 times while also seeing four targets in the passing game. That accounted for 43% of the Vikings offensive plays. Minnesota is a 3.5 dog to the Lions this week, but the game’s 47-point total is the second-highest of the slate. We will want exposure here on both sides of the ball if possible.

Zack Moss FD 6600 DK 6500
Opponent ATL
Proj Points FD - 17.63 DK - 19.08

Zack Moss left the game very early last week and never returned. It was a massive bummer for a guy who was massive chalk on the Saturday slate. But if he’s getting a full bill of health going into Week 16, then I think going right back to the well will make sense. Tyler Goodson and Trey Sermon picked up all of the work and were decently effective. That could end up eating into Moss’s usage, even if healthy, which makes him a bit riskier. But the Colts seem to want a solo RB1 running, and I think we can lean into that idea.

Wide Receiver

DJ Moore FD 8200 DK 6900
Opponent ARI
Proj Points FD - 18.1 DK - 21.9

DJ Moore has seen 8+ targets in each of the last five weeks and even saw a week with three carries and a touchdown against the Lions in Week 14. Considering the matchup and the smaller player pool for this main slate, DJ Moore makes for one of the highest-floor plays even when you factor in that his quarterback isn’t all that accurate. But he remains one of the best target WRs here and that makes up for the lack of overall efficiency.

Drake London FD 6200 DK 5100
Opponent IND
Proj Points FD - 14.36 DK - 17.5

Drake London was a no-show in Week 15, but the weather was terrible, and the Falcons barely threw the ball at all. I like going back to London here in a pace-up matchup against the Colts, who allow the most opponent plays per game this season. He is just a week removed from an 11-target game that saw him finish with a 10/172 game, the best of his career. With a better game environment, I think we get back to bigger numbers for London in this one.

Michael Pittman Jr. FD 7700 DK 7400
Opponent ATL
Proj Points FD - 18.99 DK - 24.02

We will need some news on Pittman before going all-in, seeing as how he left last week’s game with a concussion. That was after taking a brutal hit in the first quarter on a floated ball by Minshew. But if Pittman is playing, he is one of the biggest target earners in the NFL. He was coming off four straight double-digit target games and averaged a 9.25/ 97.8 line in that span. With an early exit last week, the price hasn’t moved and he would be a lock play if he can clear the protocol in time.

Tight End

T.J. Hockenson FD 6800 DK 5800
Opponent DET
Proj Points FD - 15.27 DK - 19.1

There are a couple of awesome tight end options on the Week 16 main slate, and we could be looking at spending up (ish) at the position this time around. Hockenson has been able to produce at a high level this season almost independent of who the Vikings have under center. Last time out is was Nick Mullens tossing him balls, and Hock had seven targets with a 6/63 line. Even with Justin Jefferson back, I’m not worried too much about the volume for Hockenson in the passing game.

Trey McBride FD 7000 DK 5700
Opponent CHI
Proj Points FD - 13.31 DK - 16.65

Trey McBride has turned into one of the best fantasy tight ends around, and it seems only to be getting better with Kyler Murray around. Last time out, McBride had 11 targets and finished with an ultra-efficient 10 catches for 102 yards. The previous two weeks he had nine targets each, converting 16 of them into catches for 149 total yards. It’s close between he and Hockenson, considering they are priced similarly, but I think I might lean McBride here.

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