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Total Bases

Miguel Cabrera
Let's not get cute here. I was scared off of Miggy a bit yesterday because of the hamstring issue. He did away with that rather quickly, sending a ball over the fence and immediately erasing any lingering doubts about being nicked up. Cabrera is an equal opportunity killer, murdering both lefties and righties with efficiency. Against southpaws he owns a 1.083 OPS over the last year and change with a 195 wRC+. Danks be Danks, owning a high 4's ERA and just generally being a lefty you want to target any time he takes the mound. Miggy should be your top total bases guy today. I wouldn't suggest a fade.

David Ortiz
These two picks look similar to yesterday. That's to be expected to some degree on a site like ScoreStreak in which you are playing for specific outcomes regardless of price. Granted we wouldn't put these guys up here everyday, as matchups and park are critical. But Papi makes the list again because Chris Tillman is bad rocking a 4.72 xFIP and not striking out enough batters per nine. Baltimore is one of the best hitter's parks in the whole league, boosting power to all fields, especially to right. The two things scaring me off of Papi are Tillman's walk rate (free passes don't help us with total bases) and the Red Sox as a whole have just stopped hitting meaning Ortiz could see less at bats.

Hits

Ian Kinsler
I'm only on Kinsler when he faces lefties, but when that's the case we shoudl definitely be targeting him for hits. His splits have actually been evening out over the short term. In the last year plus he's got an .800 OPS against lefties with a .747 when facing lefties. Like Miggy, Kinsler gets a bump from facing a bad lefty. So the splits are there, but the matchup is as well. Kinsler's other benefit is hit contact rate. He doesn't walk or strike out much meaning the ball will be in play.

Howie Kendrick
Our system basically wants you to play Tigers and A's here today. So many of these guys are high in the projections and honestly Trout could have been up there for total bases. I'm sure folks will be on him today. Kendrick is much like Kinsler in terms of getting his bat on the ball. He strikes out a bit more than Kinsler but the hits are there. Don't think he'll be a popular play because it's a lot easier to get drawn into some bigger names. But Kendrick should be on your radar against Pomeranz.

Strikeouts

Corey Kluber
I'm actually bucking our projections a little today with this pick. Kluber doesn't rank highest in the system for raw strikeouts mostly because his opponent, the Royals, have a league best 15.1% K rate against righties. This number comes in so far below the league average that it's tough to feel real confident that Kluber will rack up a huge K total. That being said, there are an inordinate amount of loser pitchers taking the mound today and Kluber is by far the best strikeout guy among them. I think I'd probably throw him in my 7K spot for safety though I'll hem and haw on that come game time.

Francisco Liriano
This is where I think I'll go for some upside today. Liriano has his issues like walking the ballpark. The BB rate limits his upside because he throws too many pitches. But the strikeout stuff is there, K-ing 9.5 batters per nine innings. The Cubs strike out third most in the league against lefties and just generally kind of stink. Liriano, even in a bad outing should be able to generate enough swings and misses to make this a pretty safe play.

 
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