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    featured Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

    10/25/2014
    Casey Carruthers

    Daily Fantasy College Football Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 9 - Saturday Late Games

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    Fanduel and DraftKings College Football Cheatsheets

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    If you want to see how these plays and some others fit into cash game lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings you can purchase a CFB pack that includes three FanDuel lineups, three DraftKings lineups, and a cheatsheet with analysis on a variety of other plays for $5 by clicking the PayPal button below. This service is separate from our NFL projection system.



     

    Quarterbacks

    Nick Marshall - FD 9200 DK 8100
    My man pots and pans. This cat is gonna move and groove up and down the gridiron. Before I get to Marshall, let me point something out that caught my eye. Vegas has this game pegged at Auburn -19.5 with a O/U floating around 66. It’s not often you see totals that high in SEC conference games, but the odds point to a dominating AND high scoring performance from Auburn. Marshall & Co. have had a week off to prepare for the Gamecocks and it should show Saturday night. SC hasn’t looked as bad as it did opening weekend against Kenny Trill, but they haven’t suddenly turned around their defense either. They currently rank 77th against the pass and 90th against the run. Those are hardly intimidating numbers. By now you should know about my soft spot for duel threat QB’s and Marshall sits near the top of the list. I love his price on Draftkings compared to the field and I will be running him in just about every single one of my lineups on that site. His feet provide the floor and his dreaminess provides the upside. When the lights come on Saturday night, Marshall will be ready to shine. Time to lock and load with this Tiger.

    Connor Halliday - FD 9300
    I’ll tell you the thing a really hate about Connor, he’s not available on Draftkings. The only reason he doesn’t get the top spot is because he is a FanDuel-only option. Halliday is often the perfect fantasy QB. His coach is allergic to running the ball, they run a fast-paced tempo, and this should be a high scoring game with an O/U of 72. Connor has a plethora of weapons on the outside, inside, and just about everywhere else you can think of. Defenses have a really hard time shutting down this offense since they do have so many weapons and Halliday is sure to spread the ball around to all of them. Three Wazzu receivers (more on that later) already have over 50 receptions. Try this on for size. Only twice all season has Halliday attempted fewer than 60 passes (56 & 57 respectively). That is some seriously sick volume. The kind of volume you want to get on board with. Oh, and Arizona has real issues stopping the pass.

    Garrett Grayson - FD 8000 DK 6100
    He’s basically a must start for me on Draftkings where his price is way below market value. He’s priced correctly on FanDuel so not a ton of upside there, but still okay to use if you want to save a little compared to the guys above. The Rams run a balanced offense, but their best playmaker lines up outside and not in the backfield. Rashard Higgins gives opposing defenses fits and Grayson finds him often. Colorado State is having a solid year and much of that is due to the solid QB play from Garrett. Last week was a real dud for Grayson and the Ram offense, but I'm fully expecting things to get back on track this week when they host to Wyoming and their 100th ranked passing defense. Since week two, Grayson has thrown for multiple TD’s in every game except last week. The Rams are heavy favorite (-19) at home and Grayson should be leading the way to victory.

    Running Backs

    T.J. Yeldon - FD 7700 DK 5400
    U-G-L-Y you ain’t got no alibi your momma says you ugly. That’s how I feel about running back tonight. No disrespect to Yeldon, but when he comes in as my unequivocal top start at the position, you know it's a weak field. Yeldon has been underpriced on Draftk=Kings for several weeks now and it looks like he is fully recovered from his minor leg injury and starting to click. He’s okay to use on FanDuel, but on DraftKings he needs to be in there at this price. Saban went for the jugular last week and this could be the start of your classic Alabama crush everyone by 50 run. Tennessee will put up a fight on defense like they have all year, but the Bama defense will make sure their offense has ample opportunity. I see this as a slow grind game where by the fourth quarter Bama is up by 30. Yeldon should find the end zone and eclipse the century mark once again.

    Aaron Jones - FD 7300 DK 6700
    Jones is probably borderline value at these prices, but compared to the field he makes for a good play. UTEP pretty much only runs ball, but they do share carries to some extent. Jones leads the way, but there are a couple other guys that get between 5-10 carries a game and lately all the TD’s. You could argue Jones is simply running cold in the TD department and this is the week he snaps out of it. In the first three weeks Jones ran for 7 TD’s. In his last three games, ZERO. Don’t let the 46th run defense ranking for UTSA fool you; they haven’t played a particularly tough schedule. If things fall the right way Jones could finish as the top RB of the night. He will get his opportunities; it’s just a matter of what he does with them.

    Terris Jones-Grigsby - FD 6800
    Nick Wilson - FD 7600
    Jared Baker - FD 5500
    As it stands right now Grigs is listed as probable and Wilson is listed as questionable. Grigs is two weeks removed from a concussion so he should be fine. Wilson tweaked an ankle and the fact he is listed as questionable coming off a bye has me a little concerned there. If both these guys are out Baker is expected to start and he quickly becomes a Must Start for your lineups. Zona has a great offense and even though they can run the snot out of the ball they can also pass it. That balance prevents defenses from stacking the line. Washington St. sits with a respectful 69th ranked run defense, but I don’t think it will be good enough to shut down the Wildcat ground game. If all three backs are active then it’s probably just a total mess and should be avoided. Be sure to check the news and play accordingly. If an injury update doesn’t surface, which wouldn’t be totally shocking in the college ranks, then Grigs is your best option out of the group.

    Wide Receivers

    River Cracraft - FD 7300
    As I mentioned above, three Washington St. receivers have already surpassed 50 receptions. Cracraft is one of them and he also happens to be my favorite one. Cracraft torched the Stanford secondary to the tune of 14/100/1 and its very clear Halliday has a world of trust in him. Due to the nature of the offense he certainly may not be the best of the group tonight, but he has been the most consistent by a wide margin. Im not going to repeat the volume stats covered in the Halliday spot, but rest assure it will be bombs away as usual for the Cougars. Vince Mayle, Dom Williams, Isaiah Myers are in play and in that order.

    D'haquille Williams - FD 6300 DK 5500
    This is as much about price as it is value. Williams is very reasonably priced on both sites and could deliver a nice stat line in this game. The whole world saw how A&M demolished this secondary on national television week one. Now that is probably a little too long ago to count on the same, but it still counts for something when you get exploited like that. Williams has surpassed Coates as the go-to target for Marshall and should present some difficult matchups for the Gamecock secondary. One thing I have noticed in the few games I have watched is Williams and Marshall really seem to be on the same page when a play breaks down. As we all know Marshall has the ability to extend plays and make things happen and when he needs to scramble he tends to lock in on Williams (unless he pulls it down and runs). I’m running Williams probably more than any other receiver (more about price) and I’m definitely running him in tandem with Marshall. More affectionately known as, the Double Bubble!

    Nelson Agholor - FD 7800 DK 6300
    So Utah is good. In fact, I think they are the best defense in the country that nobody is really paying attention too. So why is Agholor on here then? Well, Higgins’ price tag is through the stratosphere and makes it difficult to fill out your lineup. Plus, Buck Allen will likely get the focus of the Utah defense leaving Agholor some one-on-one matchups on the outside. Nelson is the unquestioned WR1 and has been pretty consistent all year volume-wise. He is also coming off a three TD performance last week against Colorado. He probably won’t repeat that kind of stat line, but he is your best middling option. Vegas expects this to be a closely contested battle with basically an even line and 51 total. If you have the room go Higgins, but if not Agholor “should” be good enough.

     

    Tight Ends

    Jarred Gipson - FD 3300 DK 3800
    Like I said on Thursday, tight end is the college football equivalent of the NFL kicker when it comes to daily fantasy. Almost none of them feature heavily in a team's offense and as such, their prices reflect it on a given week. There are no Jace Amaro's this year. College football teams simply don't need to utilize the TE in offenses much because the amount of speed on the field means they can exploit matchups elsewhere. All that being said, you want to find guys that at least feature some. Gipson is one of those guys. He's having an excellent season (relatively speaking) and pulls down an average of four passes a game. The range on those catches is high, so he doesn't rate as the most consistent guy around, but he at least doesn't just totally disappear on a game-to-game basis.

    If you want to see how these plays and some others fit into cash game lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings you can purchase a CFB pack that includes three FanDuel lineups, three DraftKings lineups, and a cheatsheet with analysis on a variety of other plays for $5 by clicking the PayPal button below. This service is separate from our NFL projection system.



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