Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 12/6/14

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Point Guard

Michael Carter-Williams - FD 8700 DK 8500 DFSTR 7100
On a shorter slight, finding certainty can be pretty tough. That's why I'm grabbing MCW - especially if Wroten is out. Detroit has allowed the 6th most points against opposing PGs this year, and Carter-Williams piles up the opportunities without the other Philly ball-hog in the game. With 3 consecutive games over 43 fantasy points (as of this writing - the OKC game is going on right now), Carter-Williams will be on all of my cash game squads, and many of my GPPs as well.

Mo Williams - FD 5500 DK 6000 DFSTR 4500
Zach LaVine - FD 3600 DK 4600 DFSTR 3100
This will be the premier punt option at PG unless something major changes this before tip off. Williams has paid as much as 8x on this FanDuel price twice in his last 4 games, and will be one of the safer options with the most upsides if he comes back against the Spurs 21st ranked defense against the PG. If LaVine gets the nod, it's a little riskier, but the savings will be very intriguing when it comes to trying to shuffle the money around to get the money in good at other positions.

Brandon Jennings - FD 6700 DK 7900 DFSTR 6200
It's officially getting weird with Jennings, but if he's in line for nearly 40 minutes (like he had against Boston), the upside is absolutely through the roof against Philly's last ranked PG defense. Take the above two guys in cash games, but deeply consider Jennings in your GPPs.

 

Shooting Guard

Jimmy Butler - FD 8100 DK 7200 DFSTR 5700
For cash games, it's tough to imagine not sticking Butler in the lineup. What we're looking at here is consistency in opportunity. The price has climbed high enough to where there isn't a ton of upside here, but Butler is around 40 minutes every single night, and has paid 5x on this FanDuel price in 3 of his last 5 games. Golden State is tough against the SG position, so I'm not head over heels here - but if you're looking to get the money in safe - Butler's my guy.

Eric Bledsoe - FD 7300 DK 8000 DFSTR 7700
With Isaiah Thomas out of the mix, Bledsoe is handling the ball a ton more, and I think the 47 fantasy points we saw against Indiana will be something we can come to expect until Thomas gets back. Harden has been way focused on offense with Howard out, and Houston's fast pace has led to the 8th most points to opposing SGs this year. Keep an eye out for Bledsoe in any format.

There's a poo-poo platter of guys with upside and considerable downside - Manu Ginobili, KCP, and Evan Fournier.

 

Small Forward

Josh Smith - FD 7700 DK 8200 DFSTR 7400
I played Smith against the Lakers, and this Philly match-up smacks of all of the same things that can make Smith great. Smoove is the ultimate front-runner, abusing bad teams and giving up against good defenders, and he's been playing a ton of minutes and getting great opportunity. Like many positions, Philly is dead last against opposing small forwards. Not much else to say.

K.J. McDaniels - FD 4900 DK 5700 DFSTR 4400
Since he's been playing more than 30 minutes a game, the minimum McDaniels has put up has been 5x on this price. And the great news for him? It's his best match-up since he started getting this run. Detroit has been the 3rd most generous team to opposing SFs - and I think McDaniels will out hustle any of the Pistons that square off against him.

Kawhi Leonard - FD 7300 DK 7700 DFSTR 6200
I absolutely love Leonard on the 2nd night of a back to back. He seems to be the one key contributor on San Antonio whose minutes go in the other direction in situations like this, and it couldn't come at a better time. Minny is 24th against opposing SFs, and this could definitely be one of Leonard's 35+ minute 35+ fantasy point games.

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Power Forward

Blake Griffin - FD 9400 DK 9900 DFSTR 8700
Ugh. PF is pretty damn tough tonight. It's been a while since the Clips have been involved in a competitive game, but this one should be a change of pace. And the dirty secret about the Pels? They're actually the 4th worst team against opposing PFs this season. For all of Davis' defensive reputation, he does occasionally struggle covering the guy he's squared off against. I like Griffin with a chip on his shoulder against a guy who is getting MVP consideration.

Reggie Evans - FD 4300 DK 4500 DFSTR 3000
With Boogie sidelined, Evans has averaged 33.5 minutes per game. We saw his floor (19 FPs) and his ceiling (44 FPs) in each of those two games. If Boogie is out, please play this man on all of your teams.

Nikola Mirotic - FD 5000 DK 5300 DFSTR 3000
If Gibson is out again, Mirotic becomes the safest PF play on the board. He's paid 5x or more in every game that Gibson has missed. Keep an eye on this, and stay tuned.

Both pretty similar: Brow and Pau
 

Center

Andre Drummond - FD 7700 DK 8700 DFSTR 7000
Hat tip to Kyle Mckeown for calling this on the terrific Rotowire basketball podcast a couple of weeks ago - but he's looking like a fortune teller at this point. Drummond's shooting percentage is heading back to where it's been during his career, and he's doing plenty of the freak athlete stuff that we've come to expect. If he can fade foul trouble against Philly, there's literally no one who can stand in the way of a monster double-double. I'll be playing him everywhere.

Kyle O'Quinn - FD 4800 DK 3600 DFSTR 3700
When he's not trying to assassinate Blake Griffin, O'Quinn has been filling in rather nicely for Nikola Vucevic. And I should add - I like Vucevic if he does come back unexpectedly. What's to like here? The kings are missing their Boogie Man. The Kings have been a whole hell of a lot better on D this season when Cousins is around, and whoever lines up at center for the Magic could be in a good position to put up a monster effort. While I think the 38 fantasy point performance against the Warriors was an aberration, O'Quinn could still certainly pay this price and then some.

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