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Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

03/02/2014
Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and DraftStreet 3/2/14

For some, today is a day of rest. A day to reflect. But not for you. Today is your chance to dig deeper into those stats, find the best matchups and extract the most value from your lineups. It's an NBA Sunday.

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Point Guards

There are two across the industry picks
Jameer Nelson - FanDuel $5,900 DraftKings $6,200 DraftStreet $13,619
Getting old saying it, but of course whenever a guy plays the Sixers, get ready for some big things. Combine that with the fact the Magic also suck and therefore don't rate to blow out the Sixers (they couldn't the other night) and you have a solid play. Nelson isn't flashy, but he stands to have significantly more opportunity against a team allergic to defense. He went for 16/12/6 only a few nights ago against them.

Russell Westbrook - FanDuel $7,400 DraftKings $8,300 DraftStreet $14,750
Get your Russell's now because these prices won't last. They're bargain basement baby and you need to buy, buy, buy! Honestly, these salaries are silly for a guy like Westbrook who is back to thirty minutes a game. Just silly. He will be monster percentage start tomorrow and rightfully so. He is a superstar at mid-tier rates. Back up the truck baby.

Goran Dragic - DraftKings $7,600
What? Is this a mistake? Sure seems that way for one of the best point guards in the game. Who isn't starting him on DraftKings today? Is there something I'm missing? Should I keep asking questions?

Jeff Teague - FanDuel $6,000
He's not as good as Dragic, but this price is also completely out of whack. Going to be a difficult decision at PG here tonight. As Nelson, Westbrook and Teague all rate. The Hawks have been crushed by injuries, but it all means opportunity for Teague. With Millsap out of the lineup, Teague is taking close to 20 shots a night. That's just the kind of volume we're looking for on a site like FanDuel.

Kemba Walker - DraftStreet $14,682
I refused to be swayed by his nightmarish shooting night last game. He still has upside at this price and will be an underowned guy. I like him as a tourney play.

 

Shooting Guards

Victor Oladipo - FanDuel $7,100 DraftKings $6,900 DraftStreet $14,288
I don't really know how you can get away from Oladipo tonight, at least on FanDuel and DraftKings. On DraftStreet it gets a little closer. But he'll be playing in a face-paced game against the Sixers who also get real sloppy. Victor could be all over the place. He had a quiet game against the Heat last night, but remember Miami is better than league average against shooting guards. Philly? Well he went for 33.7 FPPs the other night (FanDuel) and that was even with turning it over seven times!

Jimmy Butler - FanDuel $6,400 DraftKings $5,400 DraftStreet $12,934
Another guy I'll have trouble getting away from tonight. The Knicks are fucking awful and have been truly bad against shooting guards. Butler plays practically the entire game which means he'll get to face up against whatever JR Smith/ Tim Hardaway combo New York sends his way. This could be feasting time because those dudes hate defense. The DraftKings price is especially crazy.

Kyle Korver - FanDuel $4,800
You want to catch this guy on the right night and I think this is going to be the one. His price is under 5K and he's playing a Phoenix squad that lets up league average buckets to opposing shooting guards, but way below average rebounds and assists. Korver is so under priced it's crazy. I love this play today.

Gerald Henderson - DraftStreet $8,010
Has been dreadful of late, but price is getting crazy low for a guy who still plays about 30 minutes a night. Upside pick only, but he has it in him to crush this salary.

 

Small Forwards

Kawhi Leonard - FanDuel $6,000 DraftKings $5,200 DraftStreet $12,920
This is the small forward you need in your lineups. He's back from injury and crushing it. Dallas is garbage-y against small forwards, which helps. But this is as much about the price as it is about opponent. And both make great reasons to have him in your lineups. Leonard does a little bit of everything which limits his floor and his ceiling is fairly high at these prices.

Mike Dunleavy - FanDuel $5,300 DraftKings $5,300 DraftStreet $11,093
I don't complete love him on DraftStreet, but he's in play there. On FanDuel, he'll be in my lineups. He, like Butler, just plays way too many minutes not to get considered, especially on non-efficiency sites where just being on the court for long enough translates to value. And he gets the Knicks who blow.

Maurice Harkless - FanDuel $4,400 DraftKings $3,600 DraftStreet $8,553
A solid low cost option against the horrible Sixers. Getting starter minutes now with Glen Davis safely out of the picture.

P.J. Tucker - DraftKings $4,500 DraftStreet $9,623
Close to a punt price on DraftKings which is silly and is a decent value play with a little upside on DraftStreet.

DeMarre Carroll - DraftKings $5,100
How do you not play him here today? Explain it to me in the comment section.

 

Power Forwards

Tobias Harris - FanDuel $6,900 DraftKings $6,500 DraftStreet $13,474
Harris has had two disappointing games in a row, including one against the dreadful Sixers. I like him for a bounce back tonight. There's just no way you can have two bad games against this team. It's nearly impossible. They make it too easy to score, and rebound and assist and basically anything else one needs to do on the court to have fantasy relevancy.

Dirk Nowitzki - FanDuel $7,500 DraftKings $7,600 DraftStreet $14,472
Dirk's had a few quiet games in a row. But I think this is right at the point you want to play him. His price has dropped, and though the matchup against the Spurs isn't necessarily ideal, the money warrants it.

David Lee - DraftStreet $13,826
Is this a mistake?

Boris Diaw - FanDuel $4,500 DraftKings $4,300
Has basically paid 5x or more on this price seven of the last eight games. He might be coming off the bench tonight which would hurt his value, so monitor the Spurs' lineup.

Josh McRoberts - FanDuel $5,000
I like to pick my spots with McRoberts. The park. The grocery store. Really anywhere I can get a glimpse of his long-haired dreaminess. And also when his price dips to unacceptable levels based on how many minutes he goes. Those times too.

Tim Duncan - DraftKings $7,700
Very odd price, but we'll take it.

Quick Addition: Elton Brand - FanDuel $5,700 DraftKings $5,200
Probably should have included him at first, but frankly, skipped right over him in system. Brand has been playing ungodly minutes and should continue to with Millsap out again today. Phoenix isn't great against PFs, and though the price has risen completely out of punt territory, it's still a solid mid range play for a guy with this kind of run.

 

Centers

Nikola Vucevic - FanDuel $7,300 DraftKings $7,800 DraftStreet $17,484
The top industry-wide center play. He should be able to grab every single rebound with relative ease. Gortat got into phantom foul trouble last night and still had an easy double-double. Vuce went for 21/13 last game against he Sixers and I like his chances of doing it again.

Roy Hibbert - FanDuel $5,700 DraftKings $6,300 DraftStreet $11,982
I'm putting Hibbert on here as a cheaper option mostly because our system likes him. I'm non-plussed even with Utah being well below average against centers. This could be a blowout, but look for Hibbert to grab an extra block or two against an undersized Jazz team if Kanter isn't in the starting lineup.

Al Jefferson - DraftKings $8,900 DraftStreet $16,114
Super sick, cheap price for Al Jeff tonight. He stands a solid chance of getting Steven Adams into foul trouble early which will open the door for him even wider inside than it already is with Steven Adams guarding him. He's my top center play on DraftStreet.

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