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Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

04/08/2014
Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and DraftStreet 4/8/14

Everyone enjoy the day off? Me neither. Good to have the NBA back, even if there is only about a week to go. Enjoy it while you can!

Be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the NBA system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr. Let's get to the picks.

 

Point Guards

Making some assumptions with the PG plays tonight, though I think most of the current situations remain intact for tonight's games.

J.J. Barea - FanDuel $3,700 DraftKings $3,600 DraftStreet $6,637
The Wolves are completely depleted in their backcourt right now. Kevin Martin will sit out tonight. Chase Budinger is dead or something, I don't know. Who else do they have? JJ! Barea should see plenty of minutes tonight and while he isn't the best player in the world, for these prices we are just looking for him to be standing around the court for awhile.

Ray McCallum - FanDuel $5,600 DraftKings $5,700 DraftStreet $12,014
Doesn't look like IT2 will play again tonight leaving 40+ minutes of run for my man Ray. The Kings are wearing this guy out, but who cares. His price has really climbed around the industry, but those minutes. Oh those minutes! OKC is merely average against point guards, and don't worry about any potential blowout. Ray will play.

Patrick Mills - FanDuel $4,200 DraftKings $4,100 DraftStreet $9,395
or
Cory Joseph - FanDuel $3,600 DraftKings $3,000 DraftStreet $6,326
Tony Parker is out tonight and one of these guys is going to pay off big. It's guessing which one that is the problem. The Spurs like to fuck with DFS players so choosing the best play here is tough. I suspect Joseph capitalizes the most only because people seem to think it'll be Mills and Pop is in tune to what you and I think will happen, and then zagging away from us. He's on another plane of consciousness.

 

Shooting Guards

James Harden - FanDuel $10,100 DraftKings $10,500 DraftStreet $19,423
I actually think Harden is safe-ish tonight. If the Rockets crush the Lakers, it'll be in large part because he is doing a ton on the court. This is the byproduct of not having Dwight play. Harden shoulders a ton of the load. He should be able to hit value even in a limited run because he is going to jack a ton of shots against the weak Laker D. And if it stays close? Oh baby.

Jodie Meeks - FanDuel $5,700 DraftKings $5,100 DraftStreet $10,455 and/or
Nick Young - FanDuel $5,500 DraftKings $5,600 DraftStreet $10,091
Speaking of the Lakers, they are now down to 3.5 healthy basketball players. Gasol? Hurt. Kaman? Hurt. Nash? Hurt but playing probably. And now, Bazemore is out for the season. This is going to open up time for Meeks and Young. Young is a bit riskier. Meeks I'd consider playing in a lot of lineups because of his upside and he should see run, run and more run. Again, remember that the Lakers are crazy depleted. They will need all of their guys to play minutes regardless of the outcome here.

Manu Ginobili - $5,200 DraftKings $4,900 DraftStreet $10,329
Minutes are alwaysa concern, but when he plays he seems to pay.

 

Small Forwards

Chandler Parsons - FanDuel $7,000 DraftKings $7,500 DraftStreet $14,613
Love him for many of the same reasons I love Harden tonight. Bad defense, open court game, plenty of looks. It should all be happening for Parsons. The Lakers ignore the opposing small forward, especially when it comes to assists and rebounds. The opposition can do what he/she likes in those areas. Parsons is going to se a bump in both.

Kawhi Leonard - FanDuel $6,700 DraftKings $6,400 DraftStreet $12,952
Nice prices against a team that allows a ton of points. Leonard is the one guy on the Spurs I don't really worry about seeing his average minutes. He's good for about 30 a night regardless of outcome. And with Parker shelved they'll need more contributions on the offensive end.

 

Power Forwards

Jordan Hill - FanDuel $6,000 DraftKings $5,200 DraftStreet $12,955
Hill (and Sacre below) are really the only two "legit" big left for the Lakers at this point. Hill is going to see thirty minutes of run and is a candidate for another double/ double. He has shown that when he gets his run, he is really productive in scoring and on the glass. Will be a huge percentage start in both cash games and big tournaments. It will be a little hard to get away from him considering the tag and his upside.

Terrence Jones - FanDuel $5,900 DraftKings $4,800 DraftStreet $12,630
A lot of Rockets on here tonight and with good reason. The Lakers are atrocious on D. If you've been hanging around our site (or just watching any basketball at all) you know this. Jones gets a bump when Howard is out of the lineup, especially when it comes to scoring.

Derrick Favors - $6,600 DraftKings $7,400 DraftStreet $14,789
If you want to be a little different and think Utah can keep it close against Dallas, then Favors makes an intriguing play. His big problem is not getting enough minutes when Utah is getting crushed.

 

Centers

Gorgui Dieng - $6,000 DraftKings $6,400 DraftStreet $12,836
Looks like Pekovic will sit again and that opens the door back up for Gorgui. Price hasn't come down since his insane run, but I think that's ok. He has proven he can go for big numbers and San Antonio is about league average against centers.

Omer Asik - FanDuel $5,800 DraftKings $5,500 DraftStreet $13,020
Dwight still sitting. Asik still paying. Lakers have so little on the inside Asik should get his share of rebounds and points. Playing time in a blowout is the only concern here.

Andre Drummond - FanDuel $7,900 DraftKings $7,900 DraftStreet $15,850
Going to be hard getting away from the two guys above. That being said, you might want to take a chance on Drummond against the Hawks who lack any real interior big man.

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