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Total Bases

David Ortiz
Great spot for Big Papi. Real bas spot for Bud Norris. Norris is a perfect pitcher to target when we are talking about Ortiz. Bud strikes out less than seven batters per nine and Ortiz only has a 15.4% K%, a real low number for a power hitter. Norris has an xFIP in the mid 4's and Papi has been running a little bad in Babip. These are mutually exclusive ideas obviously, just worth mentioning both if you are wrapped up in season stats. Plus Camden Yards is one of the best parks in the majors for lefty power. Ortiz's total base upside should put him in one of your first two spots here.

Miguel Cabrera
Miggy is right with him and there's a case to make him number one. Some might say this everyday probably, but our ScoreStreak projection system is pretty damned good at parsing out those with the best expectations. Cabrera comes in just a few decimals behind Papi. He faces Hector Noesi who for sure isn't as bad as his mid fives ERA, but also isn't very good. US Cellular Field is actually right in line with Camden Yards except producing that power from the right side. Miggy is of course Miggy and I don't think you go wrong putting both of these in your top spots today. (Note: Miggy left Sunday night's game with a hamstring issue. If he doesn't play I'd consider Adrian Beltre in this spot) 

Hits/strong>

Alex Rios
Rios straight up destroys lefty pitching and our system really likes him against T.J. House, a lefty who pitches to contact. House strikes out less than 6.5 batters per nine. Rios strikes our a bit more than I'd like from a guy I'm recommending for cumulative hits, but his splits versus lefties (a .980 OPS over the last year plus) dictate getting him in your group somewhere. The hits category works, though to be honest, he's a great favorite to collect enough total bases as well.

Justin Morneau
Falls much into the same category as Rios. Is playing in the best hitter's park in baseball against Gavin Floyd, a dude our system has very little faith in. Morneau is, predictably, much better at home. Everyone is better at Coors. But facing the more advantageous side of his split has me favoring Morneau's upside today. I think you always need some exposure to Coors and Morneau offers that today.

Strikeouts

Stephen Strasburg
Stras is the clear K favorite today. The Giants, while ranking in the middle of the pack in OPS against righties still strike out close to 23% of the time. Strasburg on the other hand is punching batters out at a crazy 11.18/9 clip. One thing you'll hear in reference to Strasburg is the home/road splits. For his career he is a half run in xFIP better at home than on the road. The strikeout numbers though are the same. And that's all we are looking for. Will be in the top slot for nearly everyone and I wouldn't fade him in this spot.

Cingrani
The Dodgers are straight up awful against lefties this season. They are tied with the Reds for last in the league in team OPS against southpaws and they strikeout 23.3% of the time, which ranks damned near the bottom as well. They have dudes in the lineups that are abysmal against southpaws and probably have no business ever facing them in a major league game. Cingrani has his warts. But he has K potential. There are a lot of ugly names out there for pitchers today. And honestly, our system projects him to strike out more batters than Strasburg. It just felt too weird putting him number one.