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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

09/05/2014
Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 9/6/14

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Total Bases

Andrew McCutchen
I'm thinking making sure I'm around to play the early ScoreStreak slate just to get some shares of McCutchen in there. He has actually run kind of bad against lefties this season and still has a high .800's OPS on that side of the split. He just crushes this platoon and should continue to do so against Felix Doubront today. The only thing that makes me hesitate even a little bit (and it's not enough to avoid the guy) is that Doubront is a high K, high walk pitcher. When we want the bat on the ball specifically, those pitcher profiles scare me just a little. But not enough to pass on McCutch today. He's just too good against lefties.

Justin Morneau
Has for sure enjoyed his time so far in Coors and today could be more of the same. Morneau's bread has been buttered facing righties at home this season. That's where a majority of his upside comes from as he's rocking a wRC+ over 150 in that specific platoon. Today he faces once-prospect Joe Wieland. I say "once" because those days have passed and now he's simply a dude pitching in Coors.

Hits

Robinson Cano
Kyle Seager
Feels like these two guys are pretty easy and honestly, I could play them just as easily in the total bases category, or mix and match them. They face a complete garbage arm in Nick Martinez and both are among the league leaders in the platoon wOBA against righty arms. They both have solid contact rates, neither walks a whole hell of a lot and the Mariners are in a good spot to grab extra at bats today against Nick Martinez. Martinez is terrible. He strikes out less than five batters per nine, walks almost as many and just generally stinks. Loving both Cano and Seager today.

Strikeouts

Johnny Cueto
Even with guys like Bumgarner, Price and Kluber going today, I think Cueto might be my guy. His K rate is actually just a tick lower than those guys I just listed, but he has the best matchup of them all. The Mets are bad against righty pitching, ranking in the bottom third of the league in team wOBA. They don't strike out a ton, but I think Cueto makes up for that by being able to go late in the game today. He hasn't been as good as his ERA suggests, but his peripherals are sound and I like the matchup a bit more than some of the other big boys today.

Francisco Liriano
Going to feel real weird putting him in there over some of the guy I mentioned above. But Liriano strikes out more than 9.5 batters per nine and faces a Cubs team that lives to K. The Cubbies go down on strikes at an insane 25.6% clip. That number is truly unreal. Now, when they aren't striking out they hit lefties pretty well, the K numbers are just too juicy not to target. There's risk here, but I think you gain some separation if you opponents play some of the bigger arms in their less-than-optimal matchups.

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