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    featured Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

    07/28/2015
    Chris Durell

    DFSR is proud to bring you our newest contributor Chris Durell. He'll be bringing weekly PGA picks, analysis and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings. If you are new to DraftKings PGA DFS be sure to click on the banner below.

    Want to see how these picks and more fit into lineups for the Quicken Loans National? Chris is selling lineups plus a cheatsheet for only $5. He covers 3 DraftKings, 1 Victiv and 1 Fantasy Feud lineup. Just scroll to the bottom of the picks. This is a separate service than our traditional monthly membership.

    Quicken Loans National

    Robert Trent Jones Golf Club - Gainsville, VA
    Par 71, 7,385 Yards

    The RBC Canadian Open has wrapped up and the Canadian drought continues. David Hearn held the lead going into Sunday but could only muster an even par round to finish two strokes back of winner Jason Day. Another Canadian, Adam Hadwin, shot a 66 on Sunday to finish T7 for the week. As a Canadian myself, I was thrilled to see two guys in the top 10. As for Jason Day, it was clear he quickly shook off the missed putt at the Open Championship in Scotland. He had a 21 foot putt on 18 to get to -17 and take the clubhouse lead and put it right in the middle of the cup. Going into the PGA Championship, Day will definitely be one of the favorites. Now onto this week.

    The PGA Tour travels to Gainsville, Virginia this week for the Quicken Loans National at the Robert Trent Jones Golf Club. This will be the first time the PGA Tour has visited this course for a stroke play event. The course has hosted the Presidents Cup four times(2005,2000,1996,1994) but not many of the players in the field played those events. I have highlighted the records of those who played the 2005 event in my cheatsheet this week. As there will be no course history to look at I have provided the Quicken Loans National results for each player over the past five years. It will give us a feel for what players get up for this tournament. The course has 11 Par 4's, three Par 5's, and four Par 3's. Six of the Par 4 holes are 450+ yards with the longest stretching to 500 yards. I will be looking closely at Par 4 Performance this week as well as Birdie or Better % from 175-200 Yards. There will be a lot of approaches on the par 4's from that distance and combine that with the Par 3 holes that are 175,190,200,210 yards in length. As for other stats, I will be looking at Strokes Gained: Tee to Green and Putting, Ball Striking, Proximity, and Scrambling. It is tough to say what stats will be the most important so a combination of all of these should point us in the right direction. Most important this week will be golfers who have good current form and come in with some momentum and confidence.

    • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green
    • Ball Striking
    • Proximity
    • Birdie or Better % from 175-200 Yards
    • Par 4 Performance
    • Scrambling
    • Strokes Gained: Putting

    Upper Tier Targets

    Justin Rose
    Vegas Odds - 10.25/1
    Draftkings - $12,200
    Victiv - $12,000
    Fantasy Feud - $186,000

    He won this event twice in the last five years including last years 4 under par win at Congressional Country Club. His current form looks good as well. He hasn't missed a cut in his previous five tournies on the PGA Tour and European Tour. When analyzing his stats, he is elite in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green, Ball Striking, Proximity and Birdie or Better % from 175-200 Yards out. He always seems to get up for this event and no reason the trend won't continue this week.

    • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green - 26
    • Ball Striking - 9
    • Proximity - 48
    • Birdie or Better % from 175-200 Yards - 9
    • Par 4 Performance - 77
    • Scrambling - 147
    • Strokes Gained: Putting - 82

    Justin Thomas
    Vegas Odds - 34/1
    Draftkings - $10,000
    Victiv - $7,800
    Fantasy Feud - $159,000

    This will be his first time playing the Quicken Loans National but will be in the same boat as everyone else as the tournament has never been played on this course. He has been elite Tee to Green in his rookie year combined with a 50th rank in Ball Striking, 35th in Birdie or Better % from 175-200 yards, and is a terrific scrambler. He has been on the verge of breaking out with his first PGA tour win all season and no better week than this with a smaller field with minimal top competition. He is a great value on Victiv this week with a depressed $7,800 price tag.

    • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green - 22
    • Ball Striking - 50
    • Proximity - 78
    • Birdie or Better % from 175-200 Yards - 35
    • Par 4 Performance - 97
    • Scrambling - 44
    • Strokes Gained: Putting - 110

    Shawn Stefani
    Vegas Odds - 58/1
    Draftkings - $8,800
    Victiv - $7,500
    Fantasy Feud - $130,000

    I have been on Stefani all season because of his consistent play. He has made a great cash game play almost every week he enters a tournament. He has only missed three cuts all year on the PGA Tour. He finished runner up at this event last year at Congressional and 34th the year before. He should be primed to grab at least a top 20 finish this week.

    • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green - 48
    • Ball Striking - 18
    • Proximity - 88
    • Birdie or Better % from 175-200 Yards - 55
    • Par 4 Performance - 23
    • Scrambling - 129
    • Strokes Gained: Putting - 51

    Russell knox
    Vegas Odds - 58/1
    Draftkings - $8,500
    Victiv - $7,600
    Fantasy Feud - $123,000

    He has been great or bad lately missing two cuts in his previous five tournies but also has two top 10's and a top 20 in the other three events. He makes a great GPP play this week and has the stats to back his price tag. He is elite in SG:T2G, Ball Striking, Proximity, Par 4 Performance, and Scrambling. This is a good recipe for most courses on tour. He did finish in 24th at this event last year as well.

    • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green - 23
    • Ball Striking - 26
    • Proximity - 4
    • Birdie or Better % from 175-200 Yards - 77
    • Par 4 Performance - 5
    • Scrambling - 51
    • Strokes Gained: Putting - 109

    Middle Tier Targets

    Harris English
    Vegas Odds - 58/1
    Draftkings - $8,300
    Victiv - $7,600
    Fantasy Feud - $123,000

    Another golfer I will be using in cash games this week. He has made seven straight cuts on Tour and has been very consistent the entire season. He has, however, only three top 10 finishes and this is why I am only using him in cash games. The upside for the win just isn't there right now. He is an elite Ball Striker and ranked 6th for Birdie or Better % from 175-200 yards. He also kills par 4's and is an elite Scrambler and Putter.

    • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green - 65
    • Ball Striking - 39
    • Proximity - 63
    • Birdie or Better % from 175-200 Yards - 6
    • Par 4 Performance - 53
    • Scrambling - 53
    • Strokes Gained: Putting - 22

    Jason Bohn
    Vegas Odds - 58/1
    Draftkings - $8,100
    Victiv - $7,300
    Fantasy Feud - $130,000

    Here I am sitting in my computer chair with a Jason Bohner again. Seriously, look at his stat line. He is top 3 ranked in Proximity and Par 4 Performance and is top 50 in the other 4 stats as well. He is coming into this event with back to back top 15 finishes and has made the cut at this event in the last two years. He may be my favorite play for the money this week and will be a staple in my core groups of golfers.

    • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green - 39
    • Ball Striking - 42
    • Proximity - 2
    • Birdie or Better % from 175-200 Yards - 43
    • Par 4 Performance - 3
    • Scrambling - 34
    • Strokes Gained: Putting - 49

    Andres Romero
    Vegas Odds - 74/1
    Draftkings - $7,700
    Victiv - $5,800
    Fantasy Feud - $102,000

    This pick is based off event history and current form. Andres has not missed a cut at this event in the previous five years with a 5th last year and 13th the year before. His current form is pretty good as well with two top 10's and a top 15 finish in his previous five tournaments. His stats are not there this season but seems to play well at this event even though this will be the first time playing Robert Trent Jones Golf Club. I will reserve Romero to GPP play this week.

    • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green - 174
    • Ball Striking - 174
    • Proximity - 190
    • Birdie or Better % from 175-200 Yards - 74
    • Par 4 Performance - 188
    • Scrambling - 145
    • Strokes Gained: Putting - 93

    Bryce Molder
    Vegas Odds - 92/1
    Draftkings - $6,900
    Victiv - $5,900
    Fantasy Feud - $88,000

    He has made four cuts in his previous five tournaments with a 6th place finish in their as well. He has also played this event in each of the past five years and missed only one cut. He is ranked top 60 in Proximity and top 20 in Par 4 Performance, Scrambling and Putting. He will make a nice addition to a Stars & Scrubs GPP lineup this week.

    • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green - 128
    • Ball Striking - 124
    • Proximity - 59
    • Birdie or Better % from 175-200 Yards - 86
    • Par 4 Performance - 18
    • Scrambling - 19
    • Strokes Gained: Putting - 16

    Low End Targets

    Ricky Barnes
    Vegas Odds - 145/1
    Draftkings - $6,100
    Victiv - $5,100
    Fantasy Feud - $53,000

    He is extremely low priced on all three sites this week and makes a great play for GPP's this week. He is coming off a 11th and a 3rd place finish the past two weeks and has played this event in each of the past five years and hasn't missed a cut with two top 16 finishes as well. Grab the confident Barnes and his value this week and get him in your lineups.

    • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green - 167
    • Ball Striking - 195
    • Proximity - 151
    • Birdie or Better % from 175-200 Yards - 155
    • Par 4 Performance - 182
    • Scrambling - 80
    • Strokes Gained: Putting - 73

    Hudson Swafford
    Vegas Odds - 170/1
    Draftkings - $5,900
    Victiv - $5,400
    Fantasy Feud - $60,000

    A second punt play this week. With a reduced field it makes for a higher % of the golfers making the cut which is perfect for Stars & Scrubs lineups. Swafford fits in nicely at his reduced price and great stat line. He is top ranked in Ball Striking, Proximity, Birdie or Better % from 175-200 yards and is a great putter. At his price a made cut would do but I feel he has the upside to grab a top 20 finish or better.

    • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green - 117
    • Ball Striking - 18
    • Proximity - 7
    • Birdie or Better % from 175-200 Yards - 33
    • Par 4 Performance - 85
    • Scrambling - 151
    • Strokes Gained: Putting - 34

    Want to see how these picks and more fit into lineups for the Quicken Loans National? Chris is selling lineups plus a cheatsheet for only $5. He covers DraftKings, Victiv and Fantasy Feud. Fill out the form below or click here to purchase using PayPal. This is a separate service than our traditional monthly membership.

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    Chris Durell has been playing Daily Fantasy Sports for three years and fantasy in general for more than a decade. He is active player in college football, NFL, NBA and of course PGA. He lives in Saskatchewan, Canada with his wife and two daughters. You can follow him on Twitter at @jager_bombs9 for advice, strategy, answers to any PGA questions and how he copes with the winters up north.

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