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featured Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

09/18/2015
Doug Norrie

NFL Tournament Stacks for Week 2 DraftKings, FanDuel and StarsDraft

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We've already covered a lot of NFL ground for Week 2 with Chris Raybon's picks as well as our Week 2 Sleepers article. Go check them out. I'm going to try avoid covering all of the same ground as those two pieces, while looking at some possible contrarian plays who could produce upside relative to price on this slate. Of course, when stacking, quarterbacks like Drew Brees, Sam Bradford and Matt Ryan along with dudes like Brandon Cooks, Jordan Matthews and Julio Jones will be popular plays this week. And they should be. But we've been down those roads already with our other article. Here are three potential stacks we haven't covered from guys who might be lesser percentage starts across the industry. We are operating in the margins here looking to hit some bigger upside in a tournament or two.

Miami Dolphins

Ryan Tannehill - FD 8000 DK 7000 Starsdraft 7300
Opponent- JAC
Jarvis Landry - FD 7100 DK 5900 Starsdraft 5200
Opponent- JAC
It's easy to ignore Tannehill this week. On FanDuel and DraftKings he's priced in the same tier as guys like Brees, Romo and Bradford who will almost definitely be more popular plays. And they should be. But you came for some stacking tournament upside and I think it exists here. Last season the Jags ranked around league average in adjusted pass defense. They were often getting slaughtered so teams weren't forced to pass a whole hell of a lot. This season the Jags came out and handled the Panthers passing attack, but I use the word "attack" very loosely here as without Kelvin Benjamin the Panther receiving corps is more a group of retreads and never-have-beens. Tannehill wasn't terribly efficient in week one against the Redskins, which I suppose is concerning. But he's coming off a season in which he threw for over 4,000 yards. He targeted Jarvis Landry 12 times which ranked in the top ten in total targets for the week. Landry adds a little bonus by being in the return game. But the targets are what stand out here. Look, this article is meant to be a deep dive, but it's not out of the question Tannehill and Landry outstrip their prices this week.

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Cincinnati Bengals

Andy Dalton - FD 6900 DK 5800 Starsdraft 5600
Opponent- SD
A.J. Green - FD 8100 DK 7500 Starsdraft 7200
Opponent- SD
Tyler Eifert - FD 5900 DK 4200 Starsdraft 3800
Opponent- SD
The Bengals didn't need to throw a ton in week one as they were up 24-0 at halftime, 33-0 at the end of the third and had the game well in hand from jump street. This game against San Diego figures to be much more of a contest with one of the higher over/unders on the board without projecting to be a total blowout. Dalton is coming cheap all around and we have him projected just outside the top group in terms of points per dollar on both sites. The Chargers ranked 25th in the league in Passing Defense DVOA last season though they did control Detroit's passing game in week one somewhat though Stafford still threw for 250 and two touchdowns. The Chargers won the day by completely controlling the time of possession in the game, not allowing Detroit back on the field. The line doesn't suggest the same kind of outcome here with Cincy slight favorites. Eifert saw the majority of the looks last week though Green did have eight targets as well. I like Dalton's price more than the other two, but I think you can take a slightly worse points per dollar expectation on the receiver and tight end while getting the money in decent on Dalton.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jameis Winston - FD 6600 DK 5600 Starsdraft 5700
Opponent- NO
Mike Evans - FD 8100 DK 7400 Starsdraft 6800
Opponent- NO
Vincent Jackson - FD 7200 DK 5500 Starsdraft 5300
Opponent- NO
Ok, bear with me here. Remember this is a possible stack article and not "Super safe cash game plays". It's tough when a rookie QB comes out in his first game and is instantly booed. It was also interesting to watch the Winston reaction to playing poorly in his first ten minutes of football and the internet mob quickly denounce him as a bust. I'm not calling him a future Hall of Famer, but let's just take a step back for a second. A couple of things could go right for Winston and company in this game. They will be almost assuredly playing from behind again against the Saints. Last week Winston struggled, but he was without Mike Evans in the game, his top WR. Evans looks like he should be back in this one. Vincent Jackson saw 11 targets and only converted four. That kind of inefficiency is tough to replicate even with the worst quarterback (which I doubt Winston is). The Saints allowed Carson Palmer to put up over 300 yards passing and 3 TDS last week, and in 2014 were ranked 30th and 24th in DVOA against WR1 and WR2 respectively. So they aren't exactly shutting folks down. Winston is basically free on DK and offers a little hope of also adding points with his legs.

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image sources

  • AndyDalton: By emeybee (Own work) [CC BY-SA 3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

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