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featured Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

10/16/2015
Chris Durell

Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for Draftpot - Week 6

Welcome to the Week 6 DFS NFL picks article for Draftpot, a brand new way to play fantasy sports. Draftpot is similar to other DFS sites except there is no salary cap restrictions. They offer two separate game types(Fan Mode/GM Mode). For NFL, Fan Mode allows you to build a roster of 1 QB,2 RB,3 WR,1 TE,2 FLEX,1 K,1 DEF without salary restrictions. You can roster anyone you want. In GM Mode, you also roster the same positions but have a Drafpot Points Per Game(DPPG) cap. Each player have a PPG value attached to their name which is a reflection of their previous 16 games played. This gives a more transparent look at player value.

Need other NFL Picks? Chris Raybon's Week 6 NFL Plays are up as well as our Week 6 Value Picks.

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When making my picks I will be looking at a multitude of information (Vegas lines, totals and player props, targets, defensive matchups, injuries, offensive line rankings and of course DPPG) to break down all the players in the pool to provide you with the best analysis possible for the slate at hand.

If you missed out on Week 5 at DraftPot, you missed out on a large amount of overlay. Don't worry though. They are doing it again this week with their $12 entry, $100,000 Guarantee Touchdown Fan Mode tournament. It pays $10,000 to first and is bound to have more overlay again this weekend. Get in on the action while there is still time.

To win a tournament in Fan Mode you won't be able to just pick the top players at their positions each week. You will need to differentiate yourself with some low ownership picks. One way I love doing this is picking good players who are coming off a bad to horrible week. Recency bias plays a huge part in daily fantasy and is something we can use to our advantage to gain an edge on the field in large field GPP tournaments. I feel there is a tremendous opportunity for this here in week 2 with the number of poor performances by top players last week.



Remember, in a mode like DraftPot you will need some separation from the field. Players who stand to produce big games that give you a chance to break from the pack some.

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady - New England Patriots @ IND (DPPG - 22.54)
He is going to be 85%+ owned in Fan Mode this week but could easily be the highest scoring quarterback come Sunday. In a "deflategate rematch" Brady will be playing angry and looking to crush the Colts Sunday. Brady is averaging 346 passing yards per game with 11 touchdowns and 0 interceptions on the year. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Pats put up 45+ points this week and will definitely have some shares.

Sam Bradford - Philadelphia Eagles vs. NYG (DPPG - 18.14
I am recommending Bradford again this week as he should be low owned this week and has tremendous upside on Monday Night Football vs. the Giants. The Giants are near the bottom in fantasy points allowed to QB's and Bradford is starting to improve in Chip Kelly's offense each week. If Jordan Matthews can start producing that only gives Bradford more upside going forward.

Also Consider: Andy Dalton - Cincinnati Bengals @BUF(18.49 DPPG)

 

Running Backs

Arian Foster - Houston Texans @JAC (DPPG - 16.74)
He has been practicing in full this week and should be back to a full workload this week vs. a Jaguars defense allowing close to the most fantasy points to RB's so far in 2015 and Paul Posluzny is questionable. He is one of the best receiving RB's in the league giving him a nice floor in PPR setups and always has multi TD capability giving him a high ceiling as well. You could easily get the same production from Foster as you could get from Bell this week at a lower ownership.

CJ Anderson(DPPG - 14.69)/Ronnie Hillman(DPPG - 8.96) - Denver Broncos vs. CLE
Both of these RB's for Denver have been awful to start the year. I like one or both of them to get on track this week vs. the worst defense against running backs. In Fan Mode you are looking for super low owned options that can be difference makes in lineups where you roster Brady or other really high owned players. Bronco RB's could provide this upside and low ownership this week. I, personally, like Anderson more than Hillman this week.

Also Consider: LeGarrett Blount - New England Patriots @ IND (6.78 DPPG)

 

Wide Receivers

Julian Edelman - New England Patriots @ IND (17.75 DPPG)
If you are rostering Brady you will want to stack some of his receiving options and Edelman is top 10 in targets in the NFL even with the bye week. He only seen 5 targets last week and caught 4 of them but made the most of those catches with 120 yards and a TD. Look for Edelman to see double digit targets again this week. He has one of the highest floors possible in fantasy football.

AJ Green - Cincinnati Bengals @ BUF (17.64 DPPG)
A nice stacking option with Andy Dalton this week. Green has caught over 70% of his targets this year for 495 yards and 3 TD. He is an elite talent and gets a matchup vs the Bills corners who are below average height and have to deal with the 6'4" Green. Look for AJ to take advantage of the matchup and put up a monster game Sunday.

Also Consider: Keenan Allen - San Diego Chargers (DPPG 16.11)

 

Tight Ends

Rob Gronkowski - New England Patriots @ IND (DPPG - 19.58)
Top TE in the game and a huge weapon for Tom Brady. He has now gone back to back weeks with only 4 receptions and no touchdowns. I am hoping this maybe drops his ownership down a bit this week. Even if he is high owned he is capable of a monster game that no other tight end might come close to. You don't want to be in the 10% of non owners if this happens.

Greg Olsen - Carolina Panthers @ SEA (DPPG - 12.98)
On the surface this seems like a bad matchup in a road game in Seattle. While the game could be low scoring with TD's hard to come by, Olsen does draw a favorable matchup. The Seahawks are dominant against WR's and RB's but struggle to cover the TE. Tyler Eifert torched them for 9 yards and 2 TD last week and now have to deal with Olsen who is a big possession TE and Cam Newtons #1 target.

Also Consider - Zach Ertz - Philadelphia Eagles (DPPG - 8.11)

 

Defenses

Denver Broncos @ CLE (DPPG - 9.44)
The best defense in the NFL so far in 2015 and they present amazing upside week in and week out no matter who they play. This week they get a weaker team in the Browns and should be able to produce multiple sacks and turnovers. They make a nice correlation play with one of the DEN RB's.

Arizona Cardinals - @PIT (DPPG - 6.63)
Great matchup vs. the Steelers who should be starting Mike Vick again this week. He gets sacked a lot and forces passes that lead to interceptions. This bodes well for the Cardinals who have 2 games already with 4 interceptions. Should easily get double digit points from the Cards D this week.

 

Kickers

Josh Brown - New York Giants @ PHI (DPPG - 10.50)
The Giants struggle to score TD's in the redzone which leads to plenty of fantasy point opportunities for Brown. In a high paced MNF game, we should see double digit points from Brown.

Stephen Gostkowski - New England Patriots @ IND (DPPG - 13.38)
In a game where NE is expected to score many, many points(LOL) Gostkowski will have a huge floor. If he gets multiple field goal attempts he should easily get to the double digit level this week.

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