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Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

02/08/2016
Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy Basketball Updates for FanDuel and DraftKings - 2/8/16

We're back with our daily updates article! We'll give you what you need to know for tonight's NBA slate, and try to update this piece right up until line-ups lock with as much information as comes across our desks. Let's get to it!

Last night's picks can be found here, so you can wrap your mind around what you need to be looking at before lineups lock tonight.

By the way - we keep our projection system updated with all of the changes as they occur throughout the day right up until lineup lock. Every day. If you want access to that system so you can cut out a lot of the research element, click the button below!

Now let’s look at some news that’s come in throughout the day to see if anything’s changed in our minds or in the NBA landscape.

And a quick note: I'm posting this a little early today, but will update a bit later with news coming in.

What We Know

Jimmy Butler is Out
This one makes things easy on some of the value plays for today. Derrick Rose takes a huge usage bump (historically and this season) when Butler is off the court. The last couple of games back this up with Rose returning to some of that MVP form on offense. He’s averaged a 24/9 and looked like the guy we’ve been waiting for. Meanwhile. E’twaun Moore had been a guy with a steady uptick in minutes this season, taking over both back up point guard and shooting guard at times. He’s logged heavy minutes without Buckets on the court and that should be the case again tonight. Neither Rose or Moore’s price has climbed to reflect their new-ish opportunity and both are cash game plays easy.

Kevin Love is Probable
Getting labeled probably this early in the day translates (to me at least) as a lock to play tonight. This news has a double effect in that it ticks down Kyrie and Lebron's potential usage while also increasing the likelihood the Cavs blowout the Kings. Update: Kevin Love is playing. 

Tyreke is Still Out
This has a fantasy impact in tournaments only for me. Cole and Holiday's value's been outstripped by a double hammer of variable minutes thanks to Gentry's "rotation" ideas and the sites catching up some in pricing. But as off board plays I don't mind taking a chance (more on Cole than Jrue) if you think the Pels can keep it close and you want to stack this game some.

Ish is Starting But...
He's on a minutes restriction. This makes the whole Philly backcourt situation a stay away for me.

 

What We’re Waiting to Know

Ben Mclemore's Status
It's funny to think of Ben Mclemore's status before as game as anything but a non-story. But, it's not Little Ben we are worried about. He's a fantasy hole. No, it's Belinelli's run that has us going. If Mclemore (and to a lesser extent Rudy Gay) were to sit, Marco would be in for huge minutes again. He's an "every lineup" guy if we get the news. Because the game is a 7PM EST start, we should almost definitely know the status of the Kings' players. A small favor for a team usually starting games much later on the West Coast. Update: It looks like Ben Mc is doubtful. Gay is going to play (this has changed 3 times in 5 minutes). Love Belinelli in this one.

Will Tobias Harris Play?
Tobias has big time implications for the Magic. Without him on Sunday, Fournier pushed to the three and played a massive 42 minutes. Skiles has shown a willingness to play his starters major minutes in the right situation and if Harris sat again we could be looking at 40+ minutes of run for both Dipo and Fournier. It would put both of them in the "must play" discussion at an already loaded shooting guard position. Oladipo, I think, is in play either way, but Fournier's status makes or breaks on whether Harris is good to go or not. Update: As of 5:30 Tobias was warming up to see if he can play. 

King Joffrey More Minutes?
This probably belongs below in the "May Never Know" section, but there's some evidence to possibly use Joffrey in a tournament tonight (or even in cash games on DraftKings). He played 29 minutes last time out and wet 12/10. This, in and of itself, isn't necessarily news seeing as how Malong jacks around Nuggets' big men minutes like crazy. But then the coach comes out today saying Lauvergne will start to see more run. The latter's been a per minute beast with only the opportunity too variable to project well. But maybe not anymore. Good matchup against the Nets tonight and coming at the minimums everywhere. Really looks good on DraftKings with only 20 minutes projected.

 

What We May Never Know

The Knicks' Plan
They fired Derek Fisher today, a guy Phil Jackson basically handpicked (outside of Steve Kerr) a couple of years ago. Fisher never really looked comfortable in the position (outside of the nice suits) and struggled to find good uses for possibly his best play in Porzingis. It hasn't helped that Melo, who was looking like he'd transformed some of his game with the arrival of Zinger, has struggled lately with injuries. Where the Knicks go from here isn't totally clear. They have a rising young possible superstar in Kristaps surrounded by an aging superstar and a bunch of spare parts.

 

The "Every Lineup" Guys

Anthony "Uh-Oh" Davis
I said it the other night and I'll stick by it: Davis' NBA game is made to dream crush. He has us all right where he wants us. Nice and relaxed about his status, feeling like all is right in his world, and a far removed from those days when he took our thoughts of cashing and ground them up into infinitesimal chards of broken dreams. This is all to say, our system loves him. He's in every optimal lineup and now we just begin walking the eggshell path to see if he can make it through the game.

FanDuel
Gorgui Dieng - FD 6100 DK 6500
Opponent - NOP
FD Proj. Pts - 32.32 DK Proj. Pts - 32.83
We bother going anywhere else at center on FanDuel? Garnett is listed as doubtful and there's little reason for the T-Wolves to bring him back before the ASB. In his stead Dieng's putting up numbers somewhat reminiscent of his ascent to DFS fame a few years ago.

Stanley Johnson - FD 4900 DK 5900
Opponent - TOR
FD Proj. Pts - 26.23 DK Proj. Pts - 28.03
DraftKings has adjusted his price much quicker than FD (what else is new). He's still a good play on the former, but on the latter he's a must even as the number climbs into the mid-tier.

 

Good luck out there today! If you want access to all of our numbers, get started with a free trial below - on us!

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40 Visitor Comments

  1. Something to be aware of – ESPN insider did an article last evening on Melo and his pain in his knee. Its bugging em and admittedly hampering his shot. I don’t think there is a reason to use em with the value of Johnson and others, I am simply passing on information.

    • NY doesn’t play tonight. I had a spreadsheet from yesterday open .. sorry.

  2. I get nauseous every time I roster Davis. Looks like I’m watching the games with the Tums bottle tonight!

    • I hear ya…it’s unavoidable sometimes though! Just gotta play him and trust the system. He stays healthy more games than he doesn’t…although that ratio is closer for him than it is for most players.

  3. Optimal based off projections as of 1:30pm eastern

    Anthony Davis PF
    LeBron James SF
    Kevin Love PF
    Al Horford C
    Emmanuel Mudiay PG
    Stanley Johnson SF
    Archie Goodwin PG
    Evan Fournier SG
    Jamal Crawford SG

  4. What do you guys predict about the ATL/ORL rematch? Similar projections? Also, what are your thoughts on Pacers players against that horrid LAL defense?

  5. PG K. Irving Recent news
    SAC@CLE
    $7,200
    Russell Westbrook
    PG R. Westbrook Recent news
    OKC@PHO
    $11,100
    Marco Belinelli
    SG M. Belinelli Breaking news
    SAC@CLE
    $4,000
    E’Twaun Moore
    SG E. Moore Recent news
    CHI@CHA
    $4,100
    Stanley Johnson
    SF S. Johnson Recent news
    TOR@DET
    $4,900
    Nicolas Batum
    SF N. Batum Recent news
    CHI@CHA
    $6,700
    Anthony Davis
    PF A. Davis Recent news
    NO@MIN
    $10,300
    Aaron Gordon
    PF A. Gordon Breaking news
    ORL@ATL
    $4,900
    Gorgui Dieng
    C G. Dieng Recent news
    NO@MIN
    $6,100

    what you think james?

  6. What combo yall like rose and fouriner or mudiay and oladipo

  7. I really hope that Harris plays tonight I already love Belinelli and Moore as punt sg’s that should crush their prices. Don’t need fournier in the mix too just makes it tougher.

  8. Can anyone tell me if the teams have to announce what the hell is going on with their players by a certain time or are they allowed to just wait until seemingly the last minute, when it’s too late to change anything?? It drives me nuts!!

  9. Back at it. I’d imagine some late news will mix things up once again. I’m still not sure what to do with such juicy plays in not so ideal games ( OKC/PHO and CAVS/SAC). If either or both those games make it to the 4th quarter could probably cash easy just picking from those games.

    Speaking of Derek Fisher. Wonder if he’s got anything left in the tank. Late in games sure would be an upgrade over Dion Waiters and he knows those guys at that system.

  10. Unless it’s a short slate Anthony Davis is on my do not play list. Just don’t trust the guy and much as I do other $10K plus guys on FanDuel. I mostly play GPP stuff so maybe my attitude would change more for cash games? but at $10K you got to get 50fp out of him minimum and he just doesn’t do that often enough for me the way guys like Westbrook, Cousins and Curry do.

  11. I couldn’t agree more. I have Fournier in a couple lineups but i’m ready to swap him out for Belinelli in both and take Love instead of Young in one

  12. Ish Smith starting but on minutes restriction.

  13. Hey Everyone. Just jumping back in here now. Got a bit delayed. System will be updating from now until lock.

  14. Any ideas who is going to chase the Brow around on the defensive end? MINN putting Dieng or Towns on him?

  15. yet another punt play. Pierce out tonight. Wes J gets the start.

  16. Sounds like Rudy Gay is going to play off the bench. Wouldn’t play him but obvious trickle down less shots thing if he does get minutes.

  17. Rose ruled out… Are you kidding me?!?

  18. Derrick Rose out too. Now what? Obviously Moore and who else now? Anyone?

  19. Yeah we adjusted the system slightly for that, @Thomas.

    Wes J is sort of interesting for GPP, but seems crazy to play him at a similar price to Stanley in cash.

  20. Rose out!! Huge news. Thankfully Kyrie and him are the same price.

    • Anyone else in play besides Moore for the Bulls ?

  21. Ryan.. I would think Pau just REALLY in play for the Bulls.

  22. With Tobias out, Fournier and Oladipo getting bumped – make sure to refresh the projection system when this happens.

  23. I bumped Pau’s usage by 25%, per his on-court off-court data.

  24. PG R. Westbrook Recent news
    OKC@PHO
    $11,100
    Emmanuel Mudiay
    PG E. Mudiay Breaking news
    DEN@BKN
    $5,400
    Victor Oladipo
    SG V. Oladipo Breaking news
    ORL@ATL
    $6,500
    E’Twaun Moore
    SG E. Moore Recent news
    CHI@CHA
    $4,100
    Nicolas Batum
    SF N. Batum Recent news
    CHI@CHA
    $6,700
    Stanley Johnson
    SF S. Johnson Recent news
    TOR@DET
    $4,900
    Anthony Davis
    PF A. Davis Recent news
    NO@MIN
    $10,300
    Aaron Gordon
    PF A. Gordon Breaking news
    ORL@ATL
    $4,900
    Gorgui Dieng
    C G. Dieng Recent news
    NO@MIN

    And

    G E. Mudiay Breaking news
    DEN@BKN
    $5,400
    Kyrie Irving
    PG K. Irving Recent news
    SAC@CLE
    $7,200
    Victor Oladipo
    SG V. Oladipo Breaking news
    ORL@ATL
    $6,500
    E’Twaun Moore
    SG E. Moore Recent news
    CHI@CHA
    $4,100
    LeBron James
    SF L. James Recent news
    SAC@CLE
    $10,200
    Stanley Johnson
    SF S. Johnson Recent news
    TOR@DET
    $4,900
    Anthony Davis
    PF A. Davis Recent news
    NO@MIN
    $10,300
    Aaron Gordon
    PF A. Gordon Breaking news
    ORL@ATL
    $4,900
    Gorgui Dieng

    Good luck y’all!

  25. Thx for the advice guys. I like this new thing your doing.

      • No prob James. NHL is my best sport. Are u guys upgrading your system for NHL anytime? What’s beta all about?

  26. Derrick Rose is the biggest bitch ever not to play because of general soreness when he didn’t even have a game yesterday!!!

  27. Just rejoined the site and currently sitting top 5 on my doubles and cashing in everything. Checked the site with the last minute adjustments and it allowed me to tweet my line up. Appreciate the hard work and look forward to the new improvements to the site

  28. Another day in the green. Too bad all these games went OT. 335 and climbing with Westbrook and 7 minutes remaining.

  29. Agree Will. Ended up at 343 myself but some big scores with the OTs. Still a solid day.

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