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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/2/16
I know it's Monday, but at least we have a 10-game slate on our hands! Most of the aces pitched yesterday, but we still have some nice pitching options for tonight. Make sure to check out our other MLB articles, as they will touch on weather/news, stacks and a few other pitching options. Now Let's get to our top plays for each position!
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Pitcher
Johnny Cueto FD 10600 DK 10800
Opponent - CIN (Finnegan) Park - @CIN
FD - 36.75 DK - 19.93
Johnny Cueto has been outstanding to start the 2016 season, and I don't see the Cincinnati Reds slowing him down tonight. Cueto looks like the Cueto we were all accustomed to seeing when he was in a Reds' uniform. He has a 3.4 BB% (6th in MLB), which shows the control he has in his pitches. Not only has Cueto shown us that he has control of his pitches, but has also shown us his ability to punch guys out, as he owns a 22.6 K%. Speaking of strikeouts -- the Reds have a 22.2 K% (10th in MLB) against right-handed pitchers, in 2016. I see Cueto dominating the Reds tonight and is our top pitcher of the night.
Dallas Keuchel FD 10500 DK 9900
Opponent - MIN (Berrios) Park - @HOU
FD - 36.15 DK - 19.12
Next up on our list is -- Dallas Keuchel. Sure, some people might be afraid to use him, as he has allowed 11 earned runs in his last two outings, but he was pitching on the road. Tonight, he will be pitching at home, which is where he is dominant. Since 2015, he owns a 2.04 FIP and a 0.89 WHIP when pitching at home. And to make things better for Keuchel and his beard, they will be going up against the Twins. They have had a rough start to the season and have struggled vs left-handed pitching. They have 69 wRC+ (26th in MLB) and a .266 wOBA (28th in MLB). Keuchel is in play tonight, especially pitching at home and going up against the struggling Twins.
Edinson Volquez FD 7800 DK 7300
Opponent - WSH (Gonzalez) Park - @KC
FD - 27.78 DK - 13.78
Outside of Bryce Harper and Daniel Murphy, the Nationals have struggled vs right-handed pitching this season. They have 73 wRC+ (27th in MLB) and a .288 wOBA (28th in MLB). This puts Edison Volquez and his beautiful price tag in a perfect position. Volquez is not a guy with huge upside, as he owns a 18.4 K%, since 2015, but he is in a great spot to deliver a quality start. He is a great option tonight, especially on sites where you can roster two pitchers. He will allow you to pay up for some of those big-bats you love.
Also considered: Jonathan Gray, James Shields.
Catcher
Buster Posey FD 3400 DK 4400
Opponent - CIN (Finnegan) Park - @CIN
FD - 11.35 DK - 8.71
Buster Posey is in a great spot tonight going up against southpaw Brandon Finnegan. Posey has demolished left-handed pitchers throughout his career, as he owns a .357 wOBA and a .177 ISO. Not only does he have some power, but he owns a 6.6 K%, which shows how often he puts the ball in play. Posey has 11 hits in his last 10 games, so look for him to carry that momentum into tonight. He is hands down the top catcher on tonight's slate.
Jonathan Lucroy FD 3000 DK 3700
Opponent - LAA (Weaver) Park - @MIL
FD - 10.89 DK - 8.45
If you can't afford Posey, then Lucroy is the next best option on the slate. He will be going up against Jered Weaver, who has really struggled since 2015. He owns a 4.95 SIERA, 13.1 k% and a 47.3 FB%. Weaver has shown the inability to strike guys out and to keep the ball low in the strike-zone. Lucroy has looked great swinging the bat with a .299 AVG to start 2016, so look for him to take advantage of Weaver and his 83-
MPH fastball.
Russell Martin FD 2300 DK 2900
Opponent - TEX (Griffin) Park - @TOR
FD - 10.32 DK - 7.92
Russell Martin has really struggled to get things going in 2016, but he draws a nice matchup going up against A.J. Griffin. Griffin is very similar to Jered Weaver, as they both have trouble keeping their pitches down in the strike-zone. Griffin owns a 45.2 FB%, but also owns a 31.5 hard%. Playing in a friendly hitters park can only hurt Griffin and help Martin. Martin has a beautiful price tag tonight, and is worth a roster spot, especially if you are planning to stack the Blue Jays.
Also considered: Stephen Vogt and Jason Castro
First Base
Edwin Encarnacion FD 3400 DK 3800
Opponent - TEX (Griffin) Park - @TOR
FD - 13.65 DK - 10.23
I just mentioned Griffin's inability to keep the ball low in the strike-zone, so what better person to roster into your lineups than Edwin Encarnacion? We all know the damage he does against left-handed pitching, but he also has nice numbers against right-handed pitching. He owns a .269 ISO and a .383 wOBA against them, which not only shows us his power, but also his ability to get on base. This puts Ercanacion in the perfect spot to showcase his power, especially playing in Toronto, which is one of the friendliest parks to hitters.
Prince Fielder FD 3100 DK 3900
Opponent - TOR (Dickey) Park - @TOR
FD - 12.76 DK - 9.67
Prince Fielder will be heading to Toronto to go up against R.A. Dickey. Dickey has looked awful this season, and I don't see things getting better for him tonight. He owns a 6.75 ERA and opposing hitters have a .300 AVG, which puts Fielder in a great position. Fielder has a career .375 wOBA and .160 ISO against right-handed pitching. He has destroyed right-handed pitchers in his career and tonight should be no different. Dickey will be pitching in a dome, so he won't have his best friend with him -- the wind. The wind gives his knuckleball extra movement, but unfortunately, he won't have that extra help. Look for Fielder to take advantage of the struggling knuckle-baller.
Lucas Duda FD 3400 DK 4000
Opponent - ATL (Foltynewicz) Park - @NYM
FD - 14.52 DK - 10.9
I know this might surprise you, but not only is Lucas Duda my favorite first baseman of the night, he is also my favorite hitter. He eats right-handed pitchers for breakfast, and he will be going up against one in Mike Foltynewicz. Think of right-handed pitchers as Duda's scrambled eggs, but Foltynewicz are his pancakes and Orange Juice (It's a complete breakfast). Foltynewicz really struggles against left-handed batters, as they own a .401 wOBA (not a typo) and a .582 SLG against him. Duda has three homers in his last ten games, and I say he gets another one tonight. Today is -- Duda Dong Day!
Also considered: Brandon Moss.
Baseball season is here! Check out the bottom of the article for our MLB ebook on setting daily fantasy baseball lineups as well as our MLB DFS strategy articles coming in the next couple weeks.
Second Base
Robinson Cano FD 3600 DK 4900
Opponent - OAK (Graveman) Park - @OAK
FD - 10.59 DK - 8.34
Have you seen Robinson Cano's numbers this season? The .301 OBP is not that appealing, but his .516 SLG, 24 RBI and 8 homers are just insane! He is showcasing his power to start the year and he draws a favorable L/R matchup going up against Kendall Graveman. Since 2015, Cano has a .363 wOBA and .201 ISO against right-handed pitching, so don't be afraid to roster him in, especially wit his tremendous upside, which is hard to find at his position.
Neil Walker FD 4000 DK 4100
Opponent - ATL (Foltynewicz) Park - @NYM
FD - 13.51 DK - 10.4
I'm sorry Braves fans, but I am picking on Mike Foltynewicz once again. I mentioned how awful he has been against left-handed batters, so go ahead and add Neil Walker in your lineups (if you roster Duda, Walker has to be included). Think of it as cereal and milk. Duda is the cereal and Walker is the milk! You have to have them both! Walker is a switch-hitting second baseman, but most of his success comes from the left side of the plate. He has been phenomenal in a Mets' uniform, as he owns a .359 wOBA and a .264 ISO. I won't call a dong day for Walker, but look for him to have a nice night.
Rougned Odor FD 3900 DK 3700
Opponent - TOR (Dickey) Park - @TOR
FD - 10.2 DK - 8.23
I already mentioned how Dickey has struggled to get things going this season, so I won't bore you with his stats, but I will talk about Odor. Odor owns a .206 ISO and a .333 wOBA against right-handed pitching, since 2015. He is another guy (like Fielder) that could take advantage of one of Dickey's flat knuckleballs. Odor has recorded at least one hit in seven out of his last eight games, so go ahead and include him in your Rangers stack.
Also considered: Daniel Murphy and Omar Infante.
Shortstop
Troy Tulowitzki FD 3400 DK 3300
Opponent - TEX (Griffin) Park - @TOR
FD - 10.46 DK - 7.95
Tulo's price has dropped drastically, as he owns a .189 AVG to start the year, but he does have four homers. He will be going up against A.J. Griffin, who has had trouble keeping the ball on the ground, as he has a 45.2 FB%. Vegas has the Blue Jays scoring the most runs on the night with a run-total of 4.86, so including Tulo in your Blue Jays stack is the way to go.
Jonathan Villar FD 2700 DK 3600
Opponent - LAA (Weaver) Park - @MIL
FD - 10.3 DK - 9.21
Jonathan Villar is a guy with a high ceiling. When you think of a guy with a high ceiling, you tend to think of guys with tremendous power, but not for Villar. He has upside because of his ability to swipe bags. On Apr. 28, Villar swiped three bags, which was good for 32 fantasy points (Draftkings). He should have the green light today, going up against Weaver and his 83-MPH Fastball. Besides stolen bases, Villar is in a great spot offensively as Vegas has the Brewers scoring 4.30 runs (third-most on tonight's slate). Watch out for the speedster.
Asdrubal Cabrera FD 2900 DK 3300
Opponent - ATL (Foltynewicz) Park - @NYM
FD - 10.9 DK - 8.6
Damn Nick, back at it again with another Met! Yes I am, but this time it's with Asdrubal Cabrera. I am going with Cabrera for the same reasons I am going with Duda and Walker -- left-handed bats have a .401 wOBA against Foltynewicz. And just like Walker, Cabrera has been swinging the bat well for his new club. He has a .349 wOBA to go along with a 14.9 K%. He is putting the ball in play and is not getting enough love around the league for his play so far.
Also considered: Brandon Crawford.
Third Base
Matt Carpenter FD 3900 DK 4200
Opponent - PHI (Hellickson) Park - @STL
FD - 10.98 DK - 8.53
Jeremy Hellickson has been inconsistent to start the year, so look for Matt Carpenter and the Cardinals to take advantage. Hellickson has struggled throughout his career against left-handed batters. They have a .343 wOBA and .453 SLG against him, which sets up Carpenter and the rest of the Cardinals' left-handed bats. Carpenter has a 40.8 HB%, .286 ISO and .383 wOBA against right-handed pitching , since 2015. Carpenter will be over-looked tonight and should have himself a nice night.
Kyle Seager FD 3300 DK 4000
Opponent - OAK (Graveman) Park - @OAK
FD - 10.75 DK - 8.45
Seager is in a very similar spot as Cano, and not just with the matchup against Kendall Graveman. They both have struggled hitting for average, but have hit for power. Seager has 5 homers to start and draws a favorable L/R matchup just like Cano. Seager has a .324 wOBA and a .179 ISO against right-handed pitchers, in his career. Seager is a guy with a high ceiling, so go ahead and roster him in a couple of tournament lineups.
Adrian Beltre FD 3400 DK 3600
Opponent - TOR (Dickey) Park - @TOR
FD - 10.71 DK - 8.2
Adrian Beltre will be going up against R.A. Dickey and his 4.90 FIP, so he's another guy on the Rangers worth mentioning. The Rangers are projected to score 4.16 runs tonight, so don't be afraid to roster the 37-year-old into your lineups. He owns a .350 wOBA against right-handing pitchers in his career and will be playing in Toronto, which is friendly to hitters. Beltre might be old, but his .803 OPS indicates he hasn't lost it completely.
Also considered: David Wright and Chris Coghlan.
Outfield
Jose Bautista FD 4300 DK 4100
Opponent - TEX (Griffin) Park - @TOR
FD - 13.85 DK - 10.4
Jose Bautista is a guy to always consider penciling into your lineups, and tonight is no different. He will be going up against A.J Griffin, which sets him up with a sweet matchup. Griffin has struggled through the course of his career to keep the ball down in the zone, as he owns a 45.2 FB% and a 31.5 hard%. We all know the power Bautista has, so don't be surprised if Bautista takes advantage of one of Griffin's pitches that he leaves up in the zone.
Curtis Granderson FD 3600 DK 4500
Opponent - ATL (Foltynewicz) Park - @NYM
FD - 14.45 DK - 11.26
Michael Conforto FD 4300 DK 3800
Opponent - ATL (Foltynewicz) Park - @NYM
FD - 14.44 DK - 11.15
I promise this is the last time I am picking on the Braves! What can I say -- I love all of the Mets left-handed bats going up against Foltynewicz. I know I sound like a broken record, but he owns a .401 wOBA agaist left-handed batters and all of the Mets' lefties have been off to a strong start. Curtis Granderson and Michael Conforto are very similar to Lucas Duda. They all have tremendous power! Conforto has a .288 ISO and Granderson has a .224 ISO. Both of these guys are great plays and I don't like one more than the other.
Kirk Nieuwenhuis FD 2000 DK 3500
Opponent - LAA (Weaver) Park - @MIL
FD - 8.75 DK - 6.93
Domingo Santana FD 2600 DK 3300
Opponent - LAA (Weaver) Park - @MIL
FD - 11.27 DK - 8.74
I'm not 100% sure on how the starting lineup is going to look for the Brewers, but our projection system really likes Domingo Santana and Kirk Nieuwenhuis. They will be going up against Jered Weaver, who struggles striking out batters, with his velocity and command. He owns a 14.6 K%, since 2015, so look for whoever gets the nod to put the ball in play. Between these two guys, I give the edge to Kirk, as he draws the L/R matchup. It will be interesting to see what the Craig Counsell decides to do with his outfielders, so make sure to look for their starting lineups prior to 7:05 ET.
Also considered: Matt Holliday, Josh Reddick and Mitch Moreland
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Is there a site that you recommend so that I can really dive deep into the stats and understand what the acronyms mean? The ones such as ISO, FIP, xOBA and such. I am in Alabama and the ATTORNEY ASSHAT wants to save us from ourselves…..AAARRRGGGHHHH!!!!
Lol roll tide, try daily baseball data, and look at some of the past blurbs, they have done a great job of helping me understand.
fangraphs
How about a stack for the LAA? both the brewers and angels seem to be in a good spot for a shootout!
@Thomas
Haha sorry! I’m an advanced stat type of player.
wOBA = weighted on base average – is a statistic, based on linear weights, designed to measure a player’s overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. it takes account every based it. Kind of like AVG, but wOBA takes account extra base hits
FIP= Fielding Independent Pitching – Which converts a pitcher’s three true outcomes into an earned run average-like number. The formula is (13*HR+3*BB-2*K)/IP, plus a constant (usually around 3.2) to put it on the same scale as earned run .
ISO= Isolated Power- It is a sabermetric baseball statistic which aims to measure a batter’s raw power. The formula is slugging percentage minus batting average. The final result measures how many extra bases a player averages per at bat.
wRC+= Weighted runs created plus- measures how a player’s wRC compares with league average after controlling for park effects. League average for position players is 100, and every point above 100 is a percentage point above league average.
Hope this helps!
Awesome Nick Rodriguez. Just awesome. Thanks. Was wondering about some of these myself.
Great stuff!!
Thank you sir!
@Chinedu Nriagu
Haha! An Angels stack does not look terrible, but it’s not the top stack of the night. Trout and Pujols look great as well! Our Projection system dosent hate Jimmy Nelson.
Nick, you are my favorite “analyst” on this site!!
I agree on the LAA not being the top stack (NYM, TOR and MIL come to mind), but looking for a contrarian Stack tonite.
I also like a STL stack with Hazzle, Carpenter and either Moss or Holiday.
Thoughts?
I’m going Rockies Vs big game James
Im going to use John Gray … all mets lefties, 3 toronto righties and a shortstop that hopefully leads off in MIL. :0)
How do people feel about Bartolo Colon as a cheap side pitcher on DK in cash games to afford some bigger batters?
@Chinedu Nriagu Thanks! Means a lot!
And my stacking article comes out in a bit, but I love ST. Louis as a contrarian stack. Everyone will be all over TOR, but St. Louis has shown the ability to score runs in bunches. And Hellickson has been inconsistent.
@Brian Clee
Don’t hate the move, as I love the Mets tonight, but Jonathan Gray has more upside with his K%. Colon just has the better chance of picking up the win (which is important). Could go either way! I like your thinking going Colon as a 2nd pitcher on Draftkings. Not a FanDuel play.
Ok. I can’t play fanduel anymore because I live in Texas but I can play Draftkings. Doesn’t make sense to me because they are the same thing. I was doing really well using the optimizer in fanduel Especially with baseball. Is the optimizer just as good for draftkings ? Anyone who plays both I would appreciate your input.
Kelly Conroy, I play DK exclusively in MLB. The optimizer is crushing here. I cannot speak for FD but if you can only play DK, you are in good hands.
LISTEN UP FELLAS!!! The IP blocker route i recommended for bypassing FD and DK doesnt work anymore….BUT there is another way!! As long as you dont hit a jackpot you should be able to fly under the radar with this method…find a relative that lives in a legal state…download a VMR program that allows you to use their computer from your home computer and now you have access and can play! Genius!!
When Texas decides to follow the others my grandma in Colorado will be getting a phonecall from me lol…hey grandma click here here and here and done!! thanks lol
Wish I had a Grandmother in Colo….lol.
I’ve been following your advice all week and haven’t won crap…
Cespedes in play tonight? I know he’s a righty but he destroys right handed pitching too
He is definitely in play. While I do prefer Conforto and Grandy, he is still a solid play.
Chris, I use this site every day and had a great week. You have to use your head. This site offers reccomendations for players, but you have to fit the pieces of the puzzle together.
@Mike
He’s definitely in play tonight!
Cash game DK lineup… Thoughts?
Gio
Cueto
Vogt
Duda
Lowrie
Villar
Donaldson
Bautista
Braun
Conforto
2 higher tier pitcher and 4 hitter pairings. I like the potential here.
@Tim as long Gio delivers a quality starter that lineup should do well. I like the bats
Cash on FD
Cueto
Posey
Duda
Walker
Coghlan
Villar
J.Jay
D.Santana
J.Reddick
Do I go with P – Volquez and have my OF consist of Josh Donaldson, Michael Conforto, Domingo Santana?
I meant Bautista not Donaldson
@Brandon
I would stick to the Cueto lineup.
Everytime i do the same or bash a paler the SOB hits a homerun that same day lol
Here is my thinking …
Griffin
Keuchel
Posy
Duda
Odor
Beltre
Crawford
Conforto
Granderson
Moss
Any thoughts? Disclaimer*** every time I post my lineup it stinks.. lol But have done awesome in the last 2 weeks 3 wins (smaller tournaments) and 5 top 10’s
Wouldn’t expect Russell Martin to be in there today
@Bill I love that lineup. Hope this week works out!
Thanks Nick..
Anyone else worried about keuchel tonight? It seems from watching him that batters have adjusted and are having more success off him. From what I’ve seen when he was dominating last year he wasn’t throwing strikes but getting swings and misses on nasty pitches that looked like strikes but would drop out of the zone late it appears batters have picked up on it too and are forcing him to throw more strikes leading to him getting touched up a bit so far am I crazy or is this a legit concern?
He worries me too Mike, I have him in my line and hes the one im on the fence on..
Legit worry, all the metrics point to kuechel not being the same guy, and he’s too expensive to take a chance in a cash game.
Ok thanks bill good to know I’m not the only one. I’ll be rollin him out tonight also but not without great concern
Kuechel swing and miss rate is good and metrics show he may have been unlucky and due for correction however thing that concerns me right now is velocity down a couple of ticks and isn’t a fireballer to begin with
Swinging strike % down, xFIP up, equals trouble.
Hoping everyone’s in today so I dont have to mess around with this lineup, because at first glance I like the looks of it. Weaver/Cueto, Cervelli, Rizzo, Murphy, Arenado, Correa, Bryant/McCutchen/Granderson.
If Keuchal has a bad a terrible start today, I would begin to worry a bit. He’s always been dominant at home and average at home
yes, I changed my mind on him after pouring through the data. He actually should be a great play tonight. He still concerns me because i always roster Dallas for his safety, not really upside, as he’s not really a k guy. Take away some of that safety and none of the price tag…. I could see playing him in cash games if the money works.
Average on the road**
DK Cash
Cueto
Colon
Posey
Duda
Neil Walker
Matt Carpenter
Tulo
Conforto
Bautista
Cespedes
Thoughts?
Appreciate the insight gentleman this site is super helpful also thoughts on Duffy tonight at 3B can’t decide between him and Seager (same price on DK) like the matchup for both love the park for Duffy and the power upside of Seager
Thanks!
@Nick Thanks!
@Hal
I love it.
@Mike No problem!
And I like Seager. He has a better matchup. Duffy struggled vs left-handed pitching and Seager has more upside
Ok nick thanks
DK 50/50
I like it a lot so there must be something wrong. Let me know
Cueto
Gray
Posey
Fielder
Odor
Donaldson
Villar
Bautista
D.Santana
Conforto
Just a heads up. Texas’ lineup doesn’t hit dickey well and his knuckleball had been really good, he’s just had bad luck I’m not touching Texas. They can’t hit the knuckler
Matt I like the pitchers. I think u need one or two more mets guys in there.
My FD lineup tonight. Could use some advice.
P-Gray
C-Lucroy
1B- Carter
2B-Altuve
3B-Arenado
SS-Villar
OF-Cespedes
OF-Desmond
OF-Pence
I have 700 Salary left over. Does anyone have any advice?
@Matt I see no red flags in that lineup.
@Ryan you can’t judge Texas hitters based on 3-12 at bats. That’s too small of a sample size to use BvP.
@bentley I would upgrade Desmond to Granderson. More upside.
Toronto has a retractable roof not a dome and why would u recommended martin when dickey is pitching? Just a waste of a pick.
Ah good point. We didn’t have that piece baked into backend yet, relying on updated lineups for the time being.
Sorry Nick, I really enjoy these articles but where did u come up with some of these picks? Not very impressed today
Hey Ryan. Could you be more specific (outside of Martin) where you disagree or would come up with something different? Nick is writing picks based off of my recs from the system. Any more specifics is appreciated.
Good point Nick on the B vs p though. Not very many at bats.
I’m still staying away from rangers hitters though
Sorry Nick I’m just in a bad mood. They not all bad and it’s just my opinion which is questionable at the best time
Definitely not thole Doug lol. I guess there really isn’t anyone better. Sorry about that. I’m just having a bad day
Thanks Ryan and Nick for the feedback. The lack of mets do scare me a bit, but if I try and squeeze another met in my main lineup is all out of wack. I’d have to go three blue jays or three mets to make the change. Usually every time in 50/50 if I have three guys I lose. I will probably just roll it as is and how it works. Thanks again
Here’s my lineup Matt 50/50
Colin cueto Lucroy Duda cano Tulo Donaldson cespedes Saunders conforto . Obviously I think the Jays and mets are gonna score a ton of runs . Here’s to hoping
What is anyone’s take on Berrios from Minnesota. The reason I ask is because this guy is supposed to be one of the best pitching prospects in the MLB. Sure he got roughed up against Cleveland. But here’s a guy who is a good strike out pitcher, vs the team who strikes out the most, in a pitcher friendly park. He may not get the win but I bet there’s some solid fantasy points sitting there.
@Matt yeah I get you. Good luck!
@Chris L
I would use him only on a 2 pitcher site and GPP only. I like where your head is at with his ability to fan hitters and with how much the Astros strikeout. It’s a tough call, but I’m personally fading him, but I can see why you would use him. Could work out.
I am tempted to throw I’m in as one of my P’s. I don’t think the Twins will win with Dallas Keuchel on the mound. But my gut is saying the Twinkies have lost 4 in a row. They are due for a W.
Do it! Always go with your gut
Yeah Ryan very tempted to add a third Jay. Against my better judgement tonight may be the night to do it. I just put this together, I may just punt the SS slot.
Gray
Cueto
Posey
Edwin
Odor
Donaldson
Rivera (SS Brewers, punt)
Bautista
Braun ( I may like him too much here, haven’t seen much on him today)
Conforto
The reason I said your picks weren’t good is because I’m a Jays fan and a huge dickey fan . I know I’m not supposed to base my picks on that but o just get mad when people are bashing dickey all the time. U didn’t Nick but the rest of the world does . Be careful though. Thole just said dickey s knuckler has been the best he’s ever saw . He’s had a lot of bad luck . I think picking on Atlanta pitcher and Texas pitcher is best lol
Matt u like Posey better than Lucroy should I switch?
Hi Nick,
Somewhat new to MLB DFS. I love the Mets stack tonight too. I’m having trouble though. I really want to play Duda, Cespedes, Walker, and Conforto. Also considering adding Cabrera. I just don’t know if a stack of 4-5 is too much. Generally playing tournaments compared to cash games. Lineup for now is
Cueto
Gray
Cervilli
Duda
Walker
Arenado
Story
Cespedes
Conforto
Parra
What changes could you see as beneficial? Thanks! Love the article.
Ryan, I honestly like them both. In my original lineup I had Villar and Santana. So I had my two Brewers (don’t like three or more in any cash game). Brewers I believe are projected to score like 4.7 runs. I only went with Posey because I get exposure to Giants lineup and just maybe he will be low owned because so many will try to stack Jays and Mets.
@Ryan it’s tough to go against your team. I’m not bashing R.A. Dickey, but he’s had a rough start. He’s had some bad luck to the year, but FIP is still over 4 and his walks are up. His K% has risen up since last year. His 6+ ERA dosent mean he’s terrible like you mentioned, but his FIP is still high compared to the league average.
If I was to start one ranger Nick who would u pick
@Dave Appreciate the love! If your playing a tournament — I say go big or go home with a lineup full of Mets… And I don’t mind that lineup you showed me now for tournaments. The Rockiws stack will either be good or bad.. I don’t see an in between
And you guys can follow me on Twitter @NRodriguezDFS if you have any additional questions and I don’t write an article on a certain day. Feel free to reach out!
Last question Nick. Probably obvious but…
Do you also weigh lineup order in your recommendations?
I’ve been trying to set lineups with only 1 thru 5 (catcher is harder to do) in the order as at bats is very important.
I can weigh in for Nick here also. Our projections are based in some part on batting lineup position and plate appearance expectation. This is a major factor in determining raw expected mean points.
@chineda
I usually try to aim for 1-6 , but catchers is an exception.
If I like a SS or catcher a ton and they are hitting let’s say 7th, I will go with them besides the order of the lineup…
Overall I like to target 1-6 lol catcher is the exception.
Hope this helps.
@ Chinedu
Anything past six in the order is the cut off for me. I believe (read this in the past) that once you go to batter 7, 8 and 9 statistics show that you’ll go below 50% with your chance of cashing.
Odor or walker? Already rostering grandy/Duda ?
Odor out of the leadoff slot is excellent. But Walker works better with that Mets’ stack
Cash game?
Here is my lineup
DK cash
Cueto
Gonzalez
Molina
Duda
Cano
Beltre
Villar
Cespedes
Conforto
Szuzer
Any thoughts???
Final for cash
Cueto
Gray
Lucroy
Duda
Odor
Donaldson
Villar
Conforto
Gonzo
Bautista
Had to get two Mets