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    Nascar picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

    05/05/2016
    Chris Durell

    Daily Fantasy Nascar Picks
    GoBowling 400


    DFSR is proud to bring you Chris Durell. He'll be bringing weekly NASCAR picks, analysis and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings & FantasyFeud. If you are new to DraftKings NASCAR DFS be sure to click on the banner below.
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    GoBowling 400

    Kansas Speedway - Kansas City, Kansas
    Track - 1.5 Mile D shaped Oval Intermediate 
    15° Banking in the Corners

    It was Brad Keselowski who picked up the win after a crazy, wreck filled Talladega race. There was 33 of the 40 cars that were involved in at lest one wreck. Just nuts! It was Keselowski's second win of the season and he is now locked into the Chase for the Sprint Cup playoffs. Kyle Busch finished runner up with Austin Dillon, Jamie McMurray and Chase Elliott rounding out the Top 5 last Sunday.

    This week NASCAR heads to Kansas Speedway for the GoBowling 400 which will be held under the lights on Saturday night. The track is a 1.5 mile D-shaped oval intermediate with 15° banking in the corners, 5° on the front stretch and 10° on the back stretch. The track was re paved back in 2012 and is starting lose grip down low which should force a lot of drivers to the top to find grip and speed. Something to watch for in practice Friday. This will also be the first race at Kansas Speedway with the new downforce package so we should be in for a tremendous race this weekend.

    For fantasy this week qualifying won't be as  crucial as there should be lots of passing. In the past there has been multiple drivers every race here that finish inside the Top 10 and even the Top 5 who started farther back in the field. This is where we will mine for our top values so be sure to check the article & cheatsheet Friday after practice and qualifying.

    I will again be selling a cheatsheet every week of the NASCAR season. It will include drivers salaries for DraftKings and FantasyFeud, current form(last 5 races), track history(last 5 years), and I update the cheatsheet throughout the weekend following practice and qualifying. With the purchase of the cheatsheet you also get a few sample lineups. These lineups will almost always change following qualifying and practice so be sure to check lineup page before lineups lock on Sunday.

    I have added weighted rankings for Track History, Current Form, Season Loop Data and Practice/Qualifying. This will help better identify the best values each week and can be full customized by the user. Just download the View Only version from the lineups page and create copy which will then allow you to change any weights or sort any column you wish. If you have any questions about the cheatsheet throw me an email(jagerbombs99@gmail.com) or hit me up on Twitter(@jager_bombs9).

     

    Upper Tier Targets ($9,000+)

     

    Jimmie Johnson 
    DraftKings - $10,600
    Fantasy Feud - $255,000
    Practice #1 - 11th
    Final Practice - 4th
    Qualified - 15th

    Just another track that Jimmie has dominated throughout this career. He is the only active driver with a career average finish(8.74) below 10 and leads all drivers with three wins at Kansas. In the last five years(10 races) he has picked up two wins, five Top 5's and nine Top 10 finishes. The #48 team has always been an elite half mile team and with the new downforce package this season they have finishes of 1st, 3rd, 1st, and 4th on the 1/2 mile tracks. Pretty good I would say. Play Jimmie in all formats this week.

     

    Kyle Busch
    DraftKings - $10,200
    Fantasy Feud - $230,000
    Practice #1 - 21st
    Final Practice - 5th
    Qualified - 6th

    It has been a great start to his title defense in 2016 as he has already locked himself into the Chase with two wins and has finished eight of the 10 races this season inside the Top 4. The Joe Gibbs Racing team have all been strong having won five races this season with 16 Top 5 finishes. Kyle was very irritated with his 2nd place finish last week at Talladega and made it clear he hates restrictor plate racing. Kyle has been one of the best drivers with the new downforce package and should again be a factor on Saturday night.

     

    Joey Logano 
    DraftKings - $9,800
    Fantasy Feud - $220,000
    Practice #1 - 14th
    Final Practice - 16th
    Qualified - 14th

    He sits 5th in the points standings after 10 races but unlike his teammate he has yet to hit victory lane. Both Penske drivers come back to Kansas where they have had success and in the last 10 races Logano has tallied two wins and five Top 5 finishes. He is another driver is probably happy to get away from Talladega where he got caught up in a wreck and finishes 25th. In 2016 he has finishes of 12th, 2nd, 4th, and 3rd at the half mile tracks so expect another strong showing at Kansas.

     

    Also Consider - Kevin Harvick

    Middle Tier Targets ($6,500-$9,000)

     

    Denny Hamlin
    DraftKings - $8,700
    Fantasy Feud - $200,000
    Practice #1 - 6th
    Final Practice - 3rd
    Qualified - 3rd

    Like I mentioned above with Kyle Busch, the Joe Gibbs Racing team has been the dominant team this season and week in and week out one of them comes at a great value. This week it is Hamlin who is priced below $9K and is one of only six drivers to pick up a win here in the last five years(10 races). Besides that win he also has three Top 5's and four Top 10's with a 13.8 average finish. He already has a win on the season back at the Daytona 500 but has been up and down since then with three Top 5's but also has five finishes outside of 15th. The inconsistency on the half mile tracks this season has him pegged as a GPP lay only for me this week.

     

     

    Paul Menard 
    DraftKings - $6,700
    Fantasy Feud - $100,000
    Practice #1 - 23rd
    Final Practice - 25th
    Qualified - 11th

    Menard is a driver I will have a ton of exposure to across all formats this week. He comes in under $7K and has terrific track history here at Kansas. In the last five years(10 races) he has tallied a Top 5, four Top 10's and a 13.2 average finish(9th best in the field). His value will increase if he qualifies poorly as he has only recorded one Top 10 finish in 2016. He could be in line to pick up #2 this week but a Top 15 would definitely be enough to hit value.

     

    Also Consider - Kasey Kahne, Kyle Larson

     

     

    Low End Targets ($6,500 and Below)

     

    Greg Biffle
    DraftKings - $6,300
    Fantasy Feud - $110,000
    Practice #1 - 24th
    Final Practice - 18th
    Qualified - 20th

    His price just keeps getting lower and lower. He isn't the driver he once was but is still a Top 20 option in the Cup series. He has the 13th best track history here over the past 10 races with  one Top 5 and three Top 10's with a 14.2 average finish. He hasn't been awful lately with three Top 15's and four Top 20's in his last five races and has a average +14 place differential. You could do worse for GPP in this price range. Take a shot.

    Also Consider - Regan Smith, Brian Scott

     

    Post Practice & Qualifying Update

    Qualifying Top 10

     

     

     

     

     


    If you have any questions on lineups or drivers prior to lineup lock scroll down to the comment section and join the conversation.

     

    Good Luck everyone!

     

     

    Want to see how these picks and more fit into lineups for the Geico 500? Chris is selling lineups only $5. He covers DraftKings and FantasyFeud Cash Games & Tournaments. Fill out the form below or click here to purchase using PayPal. This is a separate service than our traditional monthly membership.


    Chris Durell has been playing Daily Fantasy Sports for three years and fantasy in general for more than a decade. He is active player in college football, NFL, NBA, PGA, and of course NASCAR. He lives in Saskatchewan, Canada with his wife and two daughters. You can follow him on Twitter at @jager_bombs9 for advice, strategy, answers to any NASCAR questions or how he copes with the winters up north.

     

    image sources

    • NASCAR Daytona Auto Racing: (AP Photo/John Raoux)

    1 Visitor Comment

    1. Just for a thank u for your hard work and dedication Chris I am purchasing a cheat sheet from u. Well done sir

    Post a Reply

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