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featured Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

09/04/2016
Ryan Couckuyt

Week 11 CFL Daily Fantasy Picks for Draftkings

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Current Week 11 Vegas Odds from www.pinnaclesports.com

Winnipeg -4 @ Saskatchewan Total = 51.0

Edmonton @ Calgary -6.5 Total = 54.5

Toronto @ Hamilton -8.5 Total = 53.0

Quarterback

Zach Collaros Hamilton 11,000

This is an easy selection for all formats this weekend. Collaros has been on the field for the last 3 games for the Tiger-Cats, and their offence has been on fire. Look at these stats folks. 36, 38, and 28 dk points in his last 3 games. I am almost ready to officially call him matchup proof at this point. This week he faces an average Toronto Defence at best. Hamilton's stud QB has already thrown for 1151 yards through 3 games, to go along with 10 Td's and only 1 interception. He has a high floor and almost unlimited upside. I do believe that the next guy I mention will be fairly highly owned this week because of his ridiculously low price, so I am firing Collaros up in all formats this week. Moving on.

Matt Nichols Winnipeg 7,000

I do not understand this low price. Most backup QB's are higher than him this week. His top WR Westson Dressler is back this week and possibly Ryan Smith as well, who both played in Saskatchewan together last year by the way, which adds even more value to this pick. He is normally a game manager and nothing special from a DFS perspective, but Saskatchewan is a bad football team, and their entire Defence can be exploited in a major way. Nichols has started the last 4 games for the Bombers, and during that time he has 1016 passing yards, 6 TD's and only 1 interception, and most of those performances were with a bunch of pickup WR's. It's tough to get away from Collaros here because he has been unreal, but if you want to fit a super expensive WR into your lineups this week, then Nicholls offers a fairly high floor with a decent amount of upside at ridiculously low price.

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Running Back

Andrew Harris Winnipeg 7800

If you have been following my weekly column, you will notice how often I have mentioned how much I dislike the running back position in the CFL. Well in truth it hasn't been all that bad this year for the most part as there have been a few decent choices at different price points week to week, but guess what? This week there is little value to be had at this position and we must spend up to make a decent roster in every format. Have no fear though as there is plenty of value at the WR position as I will get to shortly. Harris has been everything and more for the Blue and Gold this year since they payed a pretty penny for him in the offseason. He is the league's leading rusher so far with 575 yards and 4 TD's to go along with 38 receptions for 351 yards. He averages 17.7 dk points per game, and to add icing to the cake Saskatchewan is dead last in the CFL in rushing yards allowed with an average of 101.6 per game. His floor is high and has enough upside to make an excellent play in every format this weekend.

Jerome Messam Calgary 8000

Okay I already told you that we have to spend up here so this is the next best option in my opinion. If you're wondering why I don't have that Bell guy from Edmonton at a fairly cheap price, who scored 30 dk points last week in this column, it is because the Eskimos' starting RB White is back this week, and Calgary is so much better than Saskatchewan that it's not even funny. Messam is the 2nd leading rusher in the CFL behind Harris with 542 yards and 5 TD's to go along 29 receptions for 275 yards and another TD. This game has the highest projected total for the weekend, but since Messam is a little more touchdown dependent than Harris, I will be playing him in tournaments only. Let's move on to an exciting position already.

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Wide Receiver

This is a fun week for the WR position this week because we don't have to pay ridiculous amounts to get production. Bowman is 10,700 which is way too high, and Walker is 10,400 which is also crazy high. So I am going to give you a bunch of guys who are priced 8900 and lower, with a couple being almost minimum priced. I'm looking forward to this slate. If there are two guys on the same team, I will be listing them together no matter what their salary is, so I only have to list the other team's defensive stats once. Let's get started

Luke Tasker Hamilton 8900

Terrence Toliver Hamilton 7600

Hey guess what? These guys have been Zach Collaros' favourite two targets since he came back from injury 3 weeks ago. And wow are they ever performing at high levels week in and week out. Let's start with the veteran Tasker, who happens to be the QB's security blanket with the added chance of huge chunks of yards after the catch every time he sees the ball come his way. He is hard to tackle and is an awesome route runner. Like I said Hamilton is firing on all cylinders right now and Tasker has already caught 62 of 82 passes for a reception % of 75.6% to go along with 2 TD's. The Argonauts Defence is average but they just played a game this past Wednesday and fatigue will start to show, especially in the 2nd half of this game. Tasker has a high floor and will be in a large majority of my cash game lineups this week.

Toliver on the other hand is a beast of a receiver who has already caught 5 TD's and 29 of 38 passes for a reception % of 76.3 which is unreal, but is a much smaller sample than Tasker since he has only played 6 games this season. He has a bit of a higher ceiling than Tasker but also a lower floor as he's fairly reliable on touchdowns and production in the red zone. On that note though I will be playing him in almost every single one of my tourney lineups.

Weston Dressler Winnipeg 7900

I have never admitted this on here yet but I am a Bombers fan. I live in Manitoba fairly close to the capital city of Winnipeg. We actually have something to be proud of this year as fans of the Blue and Gold and I love it when I can suggest a few plays from Winnipeg in my weekly article. Dressler is considered probable for this game, and according to a few people I know from inside the organization, they say he is 100% healthy and will not miss this game against the Rough-Riders. As DFS players we love this kind of stuff. Dressler played every season of his career in Saskatchewan before signing with Winnipeg this past off-season. He is going to be pumped up for this game my friends. The Bomber's #1 WR has caught 32 of 45 passes and 1 td for 354 yards in 5 games this season, and has already proved that he is a favourite target for his QB. Lock him and load him in all formats. His ownership should be fairly low due to the uncertainty of his health. But he's playing for sure. You heard it here.

Naaman Roosevelt Saskatchewan 8300

Caleb Holley Saskatchewan 3700

Yes I know. The Riders are terrible but stay with me here folks. Bad teams can have some good fantasy players. The riders are no exception. They have a bad running game, and the one thing they're not bad at is passing the ball. Why? because they're always losing and Darian Durant is a half decent QB. One of my favourite cash game flex plays this week is their #2 receiving option Caleb Holley, who has started the last 2 games and definitely has Durant's attention and will have going forward. Take advantage of this low price now. It went up $800 in 1 week already and 2 weeks ago he wasn't even available on draftkings. He sees 8-9 targets per game, and has caught 12 passes for 145 yards in 2 games. 13.3 dk points at this salary? You know what to do.

Much more expensive comes Naaman Roosevelt, but we need to pay a lot of attention to him this week. The Bombers have won 4 games in a row, but they still allow a league worst 332 passing yards per game, and the Riders will be tossing the ball a ton in this heated Rivalry. Roosevelt has seen 92 targets come his way while hauling in 62 of them for 877 yards and 1 TD through 9 games. Last week he scored 31.5 dk points and the upside is there for another performance like that this week. With a lack of other targets in Saskatchewan, the Bombers could try and shut him down completely and he will be a tournament play only for me this week, but a darn good one at that.

Davaris Daniels Calgary 3800

Last but not least is a rookie that has warranted a lot of attention in the last 2 games for the Stamps, and at this price I am more than happy to put him in my 2nd flex spot this week. Yes his floor is low because Calgary spreads the ball around a ton, but at this price even a half dozen dk point almost reaches value. In his 2 games this year, the last 2 by the way, Daniels has caught 9 of 11 passes for 174 yards and he caught a TD pass last week. There will be plenty of targets to go around in this game, and I love the cheap price. Bombs away.

Defence

Winnipeg Blue Bombers 5500

This pick is kind of a no-brainer. Saskatchewan should score some points but Winnipeg's D leads the league in turnovers by a huge margin with 3.33 per game. That's enough to seal the deal on its own and then add the fact that they have scored at least 20 dk point in their last 3 games, makes them near impossible to fade this week in every format, and I don't care how highly owned they are.

Good luck this week everyone, and as usual I will be checking the comments section throughout the rest of the long weekend, so please feel free to ask me questions about anything at all.

 

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image sources

  • CFL_football: By DoubleBlue (Own work) [CC BY-SA 3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0) or GFDL (http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html)], via Wikimedia Commons

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