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    Nascar picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

    10/07/2016
    Chris Durell

    Daily Fantasy Nascar Picks
    Bank of America 500


    DFSR is proud to bring you Chris Durell. He'll be bringing weekly NASCAR picks, analysis and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings & FantasyFeud. If you are new to DraftKings NASCAR DFS be sure to click on the banner below.

    Want to see how more analysis and information on building lineups for the Bank of America 500? Chris is selling his cheatsheet & targets for only $5. Just scroll to the bottom of the picks. This is a separate service than our traditional monthly membership.

    Bank of America 500

    Charlotte Motor Speedway - Concord, North Carolina
    Track - 1.5 Mile Quad Oval Intermediate Track
    24° Banking in the Corners

    It was Martin Truex Jr. dominating in Dover as the Round of 16 came to an end on Sunday. We now head into the Round of 12 which is definitely one of the most intriguing as the always unpredictable Talladega is the elimination race. Look for drivers and teams to push hard to score a win in the first two races.

    The second round begins with the points being reset to 3000 for all drivers as they head to Charlotte Motor Speedway for the Bank of America 500 on Saturday night. The weather looks alright for Thursday and teams should easily get in first practice and qualifying. Friday is a different story as early in the week the forecast calls for around 60% of rain in the afternoon which could wreak havoc on the final two practice sessions. Stay tuned for weather updates should something change.

    The following is the initial schedule for the weekend:

    • First Practice - Thursday @ 1:30 p.m. ET
    • Qualifying - Thursday @ 7:20 p.m. ET
    • Second Practice - Cancelled
    • Final Practice - Cancelled
    • Race - Saturday @ 7:00 .pm. ET

     

    Are looking to get better as fantasy NASCAR but don't have the time to conduct all the research necessary? Check out my DFS NASCAR Cheatsheet which will give you the edge to cash more consistently on DraftKings. The cheatsheet includes driver salaries, current form(Last 5 races), Track History(Last 5 Years), Loop Data, weekly salary trends,  and practice and qualifying ranks. I have also created a weighting system which changes weekly and takes in to account all of the things listed previously. I update the practice and qualifying as they happen which changes the overall rankings through the weekend. The cheatsheet will also be final shortly after the final practice. If you purchase the cheatsheet prior to final practice you will receive an email when the final lineup has been set.

    If you have any questions about the cheatsheet throw me an email(jagerbombs99@gmail.com) or hit me up on Twitter(@jager_bombs9).

     

    Upper Tier Targets ($9,000+)

     

    Kevin Harvick 
    DraftKings - $10,700
    Practice #1 - 1st
    Qualified - 1st

    His win at New Hampshire proved to be huge in the scheme of things as early issues last weekend at Dover resulted in a 37th place finish. On to round two where he is easily the favorite to win here at Charlotte where he has dominated lately. Over the last five years(10 races) he is the only driver to record multiple wins(2) and also has five Top 5's and nine Top 10 finishes. The #4 team unloaded on Thursday and had the fastest car in opening practice and went on to win the pole later in the afternoon. Look for a ton of dominator points from Harvick and a very good shot at winning the race and locking his spot in the Round of 8. He is safe in all formats.

     

    Denny Hamlin
    DraftKings - $9,300
    Practice #1 - 5th
    Qualified - 9th

    He hasn't recorded a career win here at Charlotte but Denny has been extremely consistent here with the 3rd best average finish(12.36) among active drivers. Over the past 10 races here he has recorded five Top 5's and nine Top 10 finishes. He is more than due to get that first win at Charlotte. The current form has also been good as Denny has put up the 2nd most DraftKings points per race(56) over the last five races. At a low $9K price he is a terrific value play in any format and will start inside the Top 10 Saturday night.

     

    Kyle Busch
    DraftKings - $10,200
    Practice #1 - 4th
    Qualified - 4th

    You didn't think I was going to get through the to tier and not mention Kyle did you? I honestly like each of top three drivers in salary(Truex, Harvick, Busch) but lean to Harvick and Kyle for the savings and possible lower ownership. Truex can't be faded if you are making multiple lineups. Busch comes in as the 3rd cheapest of the three and has been trending towards a win for some time now as his last five races have gone 11th, 9th, 8th, 3rd, 2nd. Charlotte is one of two tracks left that Kyle has not recorded a win but he has been very good here lately with five Top 5's and six Top 10's in the last 10 races. He was the 4th fastest car in the opening practice and also qualified in the 4th spot for the race Saturday night.

     

    Also Consider - Kyle Larson(Place Differential Value starting 25th)

    Middle Tier Targets ($7,000-$9,000)

     

    Kasey Kahne
    DraftKings - $8,500
    Practice #1 - 18th
    Qualified - 12th

    His price took a big jump this week up $900 from Dover which makes him a GPP only play. I actually like the price jump as it should help bring the ownership down. After four straight Top 10 finishes Kahne came in 12th last week making it seven straight races with a Top 15 finish. He now comes back to Charlotte where he has had success in the past. He has four wins here over his career with one coming in the last five years where he has also added four other Top 5's and six Top 10 finishes.

     

    Austin Dillon
    DraftKings - $8,200
    Practice #1 - 13th
    Qualified - 19th

    The lowest price driver still remaining in the Chase is Austin Dillon who makes an excellent GPP pick this week. He made it through the first round with an impressive run at Dover where they didn't show a bunch of speed in practice but slowly get better throughout the race, finishing 8th. He has raced at Charlotte five times in his career and while he has recorded just one Top 10 he has a nice 12.8 average finish.

     

    Also Consider - Austin Dillon

     

     

    Low End Targets ($6,900 and Below)

     

    Aric Almirola 
    DraftKings - $6,400
    Practice #1 - 30th
    Qualified - 33rd

    Looking at the bottom tier there are only three drivers with a Top 10 here at Charlotte over the last five years. Almirola is one of those drivers and he also has the best average finish(18.9) of the bottom tier options over that time frame. He has also scored the second most Draftkings points per race(27.2) over the last five races with three Top 20 finishes. If the #43 team can once again find Top 20 speed, Almirola will come with some nice place differential value as he will be starting 33rd on Saturday night.

     

    Also Consider - Paul Menard

     

     

    Post Practice & Qualifying Update

    Qualifying Top 10

    1. #4 Kevin Harvick
    2. #88 Alex Bowman
    3. #24 Chase Elliott
    4. #18 Kyle Busch
    5. #14 Tony Stewart
    6. #47 AJ Allmendinger
    7. #78 Martin Truex Jr.
    8. #19 Carl Edwards
    9. #11 Denny Hamlin
    10. #22 Joey Logano

     

     

    If you have any questions on lineups or drivers prior to lineup lock scroll down to the comment section and join the conversation.

     

    Good Luck everyone!

     

     

    Want to see how more analysis and information on building lineups for the Bank of America 500? Chris is selling his cheatsheet & targets for only $5. Just scroll to the bottom of the picks. This is a separate service than our traditional monthly membership. Or Purchase through PayPal here.

    Get Chris's Targets now!

    Bank of America 500

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    Chris Durell has been playing Daily Fantasy Sports for three years and fantasy in general for more than a decade. He is active player in college football, NFL, NBA, PGA, and of course NASCAR. He lives in Saskatchewan, Canada with his wife and two daughters. You can follow him on Twitter at @jager_bombs9 for advice, strategy, answers to any NASCAR questions or how he copes with the winters up north.

     

    image sources

    • NASCAR Daytona Auto Racing: (AP Photo/John Raoux)

    1 Visitor Comment

    1. The race has been postponed until Sunday at 12 ET

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