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featured Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

10/22/2016
Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Value Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 7  10/23/16

We covered our main cash game plays in our Week 7 Picks where we touched on Mike Evans, Julio Jones and Amari Cooper at wide receiver and Jimmy Graham and Hunter Henry at tight end. For this piece we will touch on some of the cheaper targets you can use for salary relief and/or GPP upside.

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WIDE RECEIVER AND TIGHT END VALUES

Tyrell WilliamsTyrell Williams FD 6100 DK 4400
Opponent ATL
Proj Points FD - 13.47 DK - 15.82
Travis BenjaminTravis Benjamin FD 6100 DK 6100
Opponent ATL
Proj Points FD - 12.27 DK - 14.56
Dontrelle InmanDontrelle Inman FD 5600 DK 3300
Opponent ATL
Proj Points FD - 10.49 DK - 12.74
I’m putting them all in the same write up because they are all sort of contingent on each other in that one of these guys seems to emerge each week. But not all of them. Three weeks ago it was Inman who went 7/120/1 against the Saints. Then two weeks ago it was Benjamin going 7/117 against the Raiders. Meanwhile Tyrell Williams has been the steadiest of the bunch, but hasn’t hit that extreme upside yet even with the targets. I see all three as values in their own respect and you can tell the uncertainty even on the sites’ pricing. Consider Williams and Benjamin have flip-flopped prices on FD and DK. The Falcons are a bottom third defensive team this season and it stands to reason the Chargers will be playing catch up in this game. I like taking the value where I can get it, especially with Williams on DraftKings considering he’s second on the team in targets.

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Kendall WrightKendall Wright FD 5000 DK 3700
Opponent IND
Proj Points FD - 10.75 DK - 13.33
Here’s to hoping he can see more of the field. Wright barely played last week in terms of snaps and yet shredded the Browns for 8/133/1. You won’t see that kind of game out of many WR4s and one has to wonder how long Wright is buried on the WR depth chart. Tajae Sharpe can’t do anything and Andre Johnson gets almost no separation. Yet both are above Wright in terms of snaps. If you think this is the week Wright breaks through with playing time then he’s a fantastic value. But the issue is you simply can’t trust the amount of time he’s going to be on the field.

Jeremy MaclinJeremy Maclin FD 6800 DK 6700
Opponent NO
Proj Points FD - 12.98 DK - 15.66
Travis KelceTravis Kelce FD 6300 DK 5300
Opponent NO
Proj Points FD - 11.25 DK - 13.88
The Saints are just so atrocious on defense this season that I feel bad we haven’t written up more Chiefs. The issue is they are such a running team and happy to possibly spread the ball around and slow things down that you can’t totally trust the KC fantasy output. Maclin does lead the team in targets with about 8 per game but they aren’t inclined to throw the ball much in the red zone which does cut down on Maclin’s upside. This is mostly about wanting to get dollars in on a Chiefs team projected for one of the highest implied totals on the week.

Dennis PittaDennis Pitta FD 5300 DK 4000
Opponent NYJ
Proj Points FD - 10.46 DK - 13.2
Assuming Joe Flacco plays on Sunday, which appears to be the case, Pitta still seems like a solid TE option. This has been a much maligned position this year as teams transition away from needing to run the type offense employing a solid tight end. But the Ravens are seriously lacking a running game and they've shown a willingness to target Pitta early and often. Last week even with an underwhelming 6/36 he saw 10 targets. That's about the most you'll see for a tight end and the fact that his overall line was nothing to write home about means the price stays depressed. He's for sure a cash game option and GPP as well even against a slower Jets team.

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Pierre GarconPierre Garcon FD 6100 DK 3700
Opponent DET
Proj Points FD - 11.46 DK - 14.23
Vernon DavisVernon Davis FD 4500 DK 2900
Opponent DET
Proj Points FD - 7.74 DK - 9.44
Jordan Reed's going to sit again which means a bunch of Redskins targets to go around. Last week one of the primary beneficiaries was Garcon who went 6/77 on 11 targets. The overall line isn't any great shakes and he isn't a big red zone target but the overall volume is enticing especially on that DraftKings salary. Possession receivers under $4K leave a lot of room for safety especially against a Lions team ranked 31st in DVOA against the pass. The Redskins stand to put up points in the passing game and I'll take the heavy favorite for looks all day in that scenario.

And then there's Davis who'll once again fill in for the concussed Jordan Reed. Davis only saw 4 targets last game but one was a red zone look that resulted in a touchdown. I still think four targets is his basement and there's a ton of room for upside here.

Again, you can sign up for our NFL DFS suite of tools including full projections, optimal NFL lineups and our Player Lab, which includes filters to help you create NFL lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings for any format. It’s a set of tools well beyond anything we’ve ever had, and something we feel will help our users crush it this daily fantasy NFL season.

Sign up now for our new NFL DFS suite of tools including full projections, optimal NFL lineups and our Player Lab, which includes filters to help you create NFL lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings for any format.

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