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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

04/11/2017
Austyn Varney

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/11/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.
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Pitchers

Jeff SamardzijaJeff Samardzija FD 8600 DK 8900
Opponent - ARI (Ray) Park - @SF
FD - 33.45 DK - 22.03

You almost have to pay up at pitcher on this slate. We touched on Carrasco, Matt Harvey, and Jameson Taillon in the main picks article. If you're insistent on paying down, Tyler Skaggs, Joe Musgrove, and Robbie Ray are the only guys I would even consider (in GPP's). Still, they hold a ton of risk. Jeff "Shark" Samardzija has a fantastic match-up in an even better ballpark. The Diamondbacks aren't good against righties, ranking bottom 10 in 2016 with a .311 team wOBA. If you remove the games in hitter-friendly Chase Field, that wOBA dips to .297 against right-handers. PNC Park is a top 3 pitcher's ballpark and Samardzija has pitched well there in his career. Shark was above league-average against both sides of the plate in 2016, though much better against righties. With 5-6 big D-Backs bats being right-handed, Samardzija should be able to slice through this lineup. David Peralta and Jake Lamb are the 2 guys to worry about most and if Samardzija gets past them, I think he has a top 2 finish of the night. I like Shark is all formats and he should go pretty under-owned.

Tyler SkaggsTyler Skaggs FD 7100 DK 7800
Opponent - TEX (Hamels) Park - @LAA
FD - 28.42 DK - 18.83

One of the first things I do when looking at a slate is to take a look at the Vegas lines. Last night, I was astonished to see the Angels favored over the Rangers. Cole Hamels is on the other side and with an 8 over/under, you can't ignore Skaggs Skaggs was a huge prospect that was supposed to break onto the scene in 2014. He hurt his arm and had to get Tommy John surgery. He returned last year as a guy with a high K rate to match his monstrous BB rate. He only had 10 starts last season, so the sample size isn't nearly enough to completely judge anything. In those 10 starts, 19 of his 23 earned runs came before he started primarily throwing his cutter. Since, that pitch has held a 37% K rate and a .217 wOBA against. This Rangers team is extremely dangerous, though with that danger comes some upside. They struck out 8th most against lefties in 2016 and lost a couple of their contact guys in the offseason. With that being said, Skaggs is definitely a tournament play. He doesn't have anywhere near the floor of thes eother guys mentioned (all 5) and could easily have trouble here. In tournamens, he will help you get exposure to Coors Field and has a lot of upside. When Vegas has a guy as a favorite against Cole Hamels and he's this cheap, take notice.

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