Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

04/26/2017
James Davis
Boston Celtics guard Evan Turner, left, tries to block San Antonio Spurs forward Kawhi Leonard, right, in the fourth quarter of an NBA basketball game Sunday, Nov. 1, 2015, in Boston. (AP Photo/Steven Senne)

Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/27/17

Two elimination games tonight, and you can bet that these teams are going to leave it all on the table. Both series have featured big blowouts and close games alike, so where are the minutes and production going tonight? Let's sort through it.

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Toronto Raptors at the Milwaukee Bucks

In what has turned into the first round's least predictable match-up from game to game, I'm sort of at a loss here. The games have been high and low scoring, blowouts on both sides, and the odd close game here and there.

Norman Powell has gone from complete oversight to the highest scoring fantasy player on Toronto in game 5, and the Bucks have fluctuated between having 1 and 0 relevant daily fantasy basketball options from night to night. But it's a two game slate, and it's going to be tough to fade it altogether. So where's the value?

Well, I suppose it is in the projected minutes. We know Milwaukee isn't resting anyone with their backs up against the wall, so Giannis seems fully in play for sure. Middleton has been reasonable, Brogdon has occasionally provided on his too-high prices, and Greg Monroe has chipped in the occasional spark off the bench. Any of these guys seem playable, if unexciting.

On Toronto, Ibaka has been very steady, taking advantage of the Bucks' depleted front court. Kyle Lowry has been the more consistent of their big 2, with Powell taking some of DeRozan's shine on the wing. PJ Tucker seems like an interesting big tourney play... and after that, it's pretty damned barren. The existence of this game on a 2 game slate might make the whole thing a stay-away, honestly.

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San Antonio Spurs at the Memphis Grizzlies

Did San Antonio wake up and remember that they were supposed to sweep this weird Grizzlies team? I say yes. Two underwhelming performances in a row created lots of doubters out there (including yours, truly), but the Spurs came raging back with a convincing win in game 5.

Mike Conley was the only reasonable daily fantasy performer on the Memphis side of the ball, but it was very reassuring to see that Memphis stayed on plan in terms of minutes across all of the other guys we'd hope to play here. Gasol played 41 minutes, and while he wasn't great, it's impossible to believe he won't hit similar numbers in game 6, given that he's one of Memphis' only real answers here. James Ennis and Vince Carter look like reasonable high floor guys given that they should be in line for consistent minutes here.

As for the Spurs, Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker have actually led the value train there, though the former is getting pretty expensive. I do find it funny to see the Spurs remembering that Tony Parker is a real guy - he's averaged 30 fantasy points across the last two games and looks like a terrific value compared to a lot of the options on this slate.

I'm also still on board with Lamarcus Aldridge. I know he didn't do much in either of the last two games, but there are signs of life there that I'm not going to ignore. Regardless of David Lee's playing time it doesn't seem like the Spurs want to put it in his hands offensively, and they're distributing wing minutes to thinly to really trust a guy like Danny Green.

Can both games on a slate be stay-aways? Probably not. I haven't looked at optimal lineups for this one yet, but I can't say I'm super excited. But hey, with only a month or so left of DFS NBA you can bet I'll throw my hat in the ring regardless.

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2 Visitor Comments

  1. How can you not play for $8 a shot at 100k on DK

  2. it will be a 300 way tie and if you take first you’ll win like …. $50 if that. this much money up for grabs on a two game slate is a joke

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