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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

05/22/2017
Brent Holloway

Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/22/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.

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ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

We've got a very nice selection of offenses in good spots today (especially if the weather holds off in Chicago), but the Diamondbacks might just be our favorite. They've been excellent vs. RHP this season, posting the fifth-best wRC+, second-best ISO (.199) and No. 1 OPS (.831), and hitting in Chase Field never hurts. They'll be facing Miguel Gonzalez tonight. The White Sox righty has done a reasonable job of preventing major damage this season, but it looks like he's in for some regression in terms of run prevention, with a 5.54 xFIP more than a full run higher than his ERA (4.29). He's a fly-ball guy who doesn't miss bats (5.4 Ks/9 in 2017), and he's especially vulnerable against lefties, with a .349 wOBA allowed this season. That makes Jake Lamb one of the top plays on the board, given his .391 wOBA and .292 ISO vs. southpaws since last season. David Peralta and Paul Goldschmidt have also done very nice work in this split, so the 2-3-4 stack is looking like an excellent place to start building -- but it's pricey, especially on DraftKings. Keep an eye out for the lineup, because Chris Herrmann would also make an attractive option if he draws the start, and Gregor Blanco could provide some salary relief at the top of the order.
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CHICAGO CUBS

The wind's blowing out again in Wrigley, which means everybody who picks up a bat in this game is in play. There's rain in the forecast, so you'll definitely need to monitor that, but as of now, a PPD looks unlikely. The Cubs have largely under-performed this season, but their numbers against southpaws remain strong with the No. 5 wRC+ and wOBA (.342), and No. 8 ISO (.188). Meanwhile, Ty Blach is an easy guy to load up against when we get conditions that favor the hitters this strongly. He's done a good job of limiting homers in his first 50 or so MLB innings, but his ground ball rate is pretty average this year, and anything that gets in the air will have a chance of leaving the yard with a 15-20 mph wind blowing out tonight. He also sports the lowest K/9 in baseball (2.86) among pitchers with at least 30 IP under their belts this season, so expect to see an awful lot of massive hacks from the Cubs in this one. Also worth noting: the respectable ERA Blach has put up thus far in his career looks like it's largely due to an extremely forgiving home park -- though he's only logged 15.1 IP away from San Fran, he's been shelled, yielding a .417 wOBA and 6.41 xFIP. The sample size is obviously too small to suggest that he's really that bad, but it's worth considering that Wrigley will be playing like the polar opposite of AT&T Park tonight. Kris Bryant is the obvious place to start your stack, as he puts up video game stats against LHP (.464 wOBA, .362 ISO since last year), but there really aren't many bad plays in this lineup. Iann Happ (small sample alert), Albert Almora, Jon Jay, Anthony Rizzo, Willson Contreras, Ben Zobrist and Addison Russell all have either a wOBA over .350 or an ISO over .200 -- or both -- vs. southpaws since the start of last season.
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BALTIMORE ORIOLES

Yet another great hitter's park with a soft matchup here. Camden Yard is a top-five venue in terms of overall HR factors, and even better for lefties, ranking with Coors Field and Yankee Stadium atop all of MLB. Meanwhile, Kyle Gibson is yielding a .391 wOBA vs. lefties since the beginning of last season with just 5.9 Ks/9, so yeah, this is looking like a dream spot for Chris Davis and Seth Smith. Don't overlook the Baltimore righties, though, because Gibson has been pretty bad against them, too (.339 wOBA allowed, 4.39 xFIP). Mark Trumbo, Adam Jones, Manny Machado and Jonathan Schoop all have nice numbers vs. RHP dating back to last season, and if you want to look for lower ownership in the back half of the lineup, Trey Mancini and Wellington Castillo have been excellent in the split in limited work this season.

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