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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

07/03/2017
Brent Holloway

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/3/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.

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Pitchers

Masahiro TanakaMasahiro Tanaka FD 9000 DK 9900
Opponent - TOR (Stroman) Park - @NYY
FD - 30.43 DK - 20.2

Ugh. Not loving this pitching slate. We're completely devoid of studs, and even the possible diamonds in the rough start looking more like counterfeits on closer inspection. So, here we are with Tanaka, a guy giving up more than 2 HRs/9 in 2017, pitching in a park that isn't going to give him any cushion in that regard. But if we squint, we can make out the faintest reasons for optimism. He's been better lately, with three solid starts out of his last four. During that time, he's got a 31% K rate and a sub-3.00 xFIP, so that's great. On the other hand, it's only a 24-inning sample size and he's still giving up homers, so let's not get carried away. He could be due for some positive HR regression, though. He's always been above the norm in terms of HR:FB ratio, but his 23% rate in 2017 is bonkers. We have to assume that's gonna come down some, so even if his 3.87 xFIP is a little on the optimistic side, it could be closer to the truth than his 5.56 ERA or his 5.13 FIP. Not exactly a rousing recommendation, I know. But the fact is Tanaka is one of the better upside plays on the slate, and his cost isn't prohibitive. Go ahead and roll him out in at least a couple of lineups.

Andrew MooreAndrew Moore FD 5500 DK 5500
Opponent - KC (Kennedy) Park - @SEA
FD - 28.65 DK - 18.99

On the absolute opposite end of the price spectrum, we've got rookie Andrew Moore making his second big-league start. He was solid in his debut, working 7 IP with six hits, three runs and four Ks against the Tigers, and that (plus the ultra-low price) could make him a popular play today. So if that makes you want to fade, I get it. He's not an elite prospect, and the minor league numbers show us a guy who isn't a likely candidate for big-time K numbers. But he stands a good chance of returning nice value given his pricing and a decent matchup with the Royals. Kansas City doesn't strikeout all that much, but they also don't present much of a threat, ranking 25th vs. RHP in wRC+ and wOBA.

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