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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

09/26/2017
Brent Holloway

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 9/26/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.

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Robbie RayRobbie Ray FD 11000 DK 12300
Opponent - SF (Moore) Park - @ARI
FD - 37.87 DK - 24.92

Even though the Giants are awful, this isn't exactly a great spot for Ray. Chase Field is a tough place for anybody to pitch, and the Giants have one of the league's lowest K rates vs. LHP. So, those (as well as the price, to some extent) are the negatives. The positives? Well, it's pretty simple: when Ray is on his game, his ceiling is as high as anybody's. Among guys with at least 120 IP this year, only Chris Sale has more Ks/9 than Ray's 12.28 -- and when you miss bats at that rate, a lineup full of slappy, high-contact guys is hardly a concern (as Ray proved with 10 Ks in 7 IP the last time he faced San Fran). We still like Chris Sale more if we're paying top-shelf prices tonight, but if you're building multiple lineups, it wouldn't be a bad idea to sub Ray in few of them.

James PaxtonJames Paxton FD 8100 DK 7600
Opponent - OAK (Mengden) Park - @OAK
FD - 26.62 DK - 17.63

This one will take a leap of faith, because it's been a while since we've seen Paxton be good. He's failed to make it out of the fourth inning in either of his two starts since returning from his most recent DL stint, and the A's have been one of baseball's most potent offenses in the second half. All that considered, it's understandable why Paxton is priced where is, but I dunno. It still seems like bargain. Paxton has a 2.57 FIP on the season, good for third in the league, behind only Chris Sale and Corey Kluber among pitchers with at least 120 IP. He's also averaging 10.25 Ks/9, and could get a boost from Oakland, there, too. Because while the A's have the third-best wRC+ in the second half of the season, they've been much more effective vs. RHP. Against lefties, their projected starters come in with a 25.1 K% and a .313 wOBA (a tick below league average). Of course, Paxton hasn't thrown more than 72 pitches in a start in over six weeks, and there's no real reason for the Mariners to push him too hard. But we don't need eight innings and 10 Ks out of our modestly priced SP2, and we think there's a chance for big value if the M's turn Paxton loose.

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