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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

06/28/2019
Joel Bartilotta

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 6/28/19

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Here we are, back at it again. This could be one of those frustrating slates on which we have a great offense in Coors Field and that truly throws everything into a loop. It could be very tought to avoid the Los Angeles Dodgers and you'll see why in the article. That means getting the other games right will be critical and we'll do our best to get the correct Dodgers in there and mix it with some cheap options from other games. 

Pitchers

Jose BerriosJose Berrios FD - P 10500 DK - SP 10800
Opponent - CHW (Undecided) Park - CHW
FD - 33.03 DK - 17.11

Berrios is probably the most reliable pitcher on this slate, as he’s pitched at least 5.2 innings in all but one start this season. That has allowed him to accrue at least 27 FanDuel points in all but two starts, which is quite the floor. What’s really intriguing about Berrios is his recent form though, with the Twins righty pitching to a 1.98 ERA and 0.98 WHIP over his last six starts. Facing the White Sox is simply the icing on the cake, with Chicago sitting 24th in K rate, 25th in runs scored and 23rd in wOBA. 

Mike ClevingerMike Clevinger FD - P 9400 DK - SP 9600
Opponent - BAL (John Means) Park - BAL
FD - 36.71 DK - 19.72

It would be hard to imagine recommending Clevinger after his last start but this guy has been an absolute stud aside from that. In his first two starts this season before hitting the IL, Clevinger pitched 12 scoreless innings while striking out 22 batters. That had to make one believe that he was taking the next step in his career, as his 3.02 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 2018 marked a career year. Those strikeout numbers are what’s really impressive and it definitely puts him in play against an offense like Baltimore. In fact, the Orioles currently rank 19th in K rate, 26th in wOBA, 27th in runs scored and last in xwOBA. That’s why he enters this matchup as a –190 favorite.  

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Catcher/First Base

Matt BeatyMatt Beaty FD - 1B 2800 DK - 1B/OF 4200
Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COL
FD - 12.89 DK - 9.87

Joc PedersonJoc Pederson FD - 1B 4000 DK - OF 5600
Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COL
FD - 17 DK - 12.73

Dodgers are a huge part of this article and it’s easy to understand why. This club is projected for six runs against Antonio Senzatela and it’s really no surprise when you see his 4.91 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. Pederson should be a major part of that stack, as he’ll likely claim his usual leadoff spot atop this order. We love Pederson when he faces right-handed pitching too, posting a .596 SLG and .939 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. Beaty has been a pleasant surprise also, posting an .866 OPS against righties. That means these guys are worth a shot at any price and it’s scary that they get to hit in a hitter’s haven like Coors Field. 

Yasmani GrandalYasmani Grandal FD - C 3500 DK - C 4900
Opponent - PIT (Chris Archer) Park - MIL
FD - 13.78 DK - 10.29

We almost never write up catchers in these articles but Grandal makes for a fantastic pick. Not only is this guy setting career-highs with a .544 SLG and .926 OPS, he's also been doing most of his damage from the left side. In fact, Grandal's career OPS against righties is 100 points higher than his total against lefties. That's huge against a guy like Chris Archer, who's pitching to a 5.56 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in the worst year of his career. That spells disaster in a little league field like Miller Park.  

Eric Thames is too cheap on both sites and is definitely in consideration with the platoon advantage in his favor. 

Second Base

Max MuncyMax Muncy FD - 2B 4100 DK - 1B/2B 5600
Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COL
FD - 15.41 DK - 11.48

Muncy is very expensive on both sites but rightfully so. Not only does he have an ISO approaching .300 since joining the Dodgers, he’s absolutely obliterated right-handed pitching. Since the beginning of last season, Muncy is posting a .951 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. That makes him attractive no matter what but getting to hit in Coors Field is an absolute treat for any potent bat. The icing on the cake is being able to face Antonio Senzatela, who’s ugly statistics are evident in the Beaty/Pederson write-up. 

Brian DozierBrian Dozier FD - 2B 2500 DK - 2B 3400
Opponent - DET (Daniel Norris) Park - DET
FD - 11.27 DK - 8.49

Dozier has quietly had a bounce-back year for the Nationals and it's a wonder why he's so cheap. What's really fascinating about Dozier is how much damage he's doing against lefties, with the slugging second baseman posting a 1.097 OPS against left-handed pitching. That's really no fluke either, as he had an OPS north of 1.000 against lefties just two years ago. Daniel Norris is a left-hander we definitely want to exploit too, with the Tigers starter pitching to a 4.69 ERA and 1.39 WHIP this season.

Shortstop

Chris TaylorChris Taylor FD - SS 3400 DK - OF/SS 5400
Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COL
FD - 13.02 DK - 9.98

Taylor has been starting every day since Corey Seager went down and it's done wonders for his fantasy value. Over his last 11 games, Taylor is hitting .417 while providing five doubles, three homers, 14 RBI, six walks and two steals. That simply makes him one of the hottest hitters in the league right now and we have to love him against a bad pitcher in an environment like Coors Field. 

Niko GoodrumNiko Goodrum FD - SS 2900 DK - OF/SS 3700
Opponent - WSH (Anibal Sanchez) Park - DET
FD - 10.27 DK - 7.88

Goodrum has quietly been one of the best fantasy producers for the Tigers this season and these sites continue to undervalue him. What's huge for his value is the fact that he typically bats in the top-four of the Tigers order, hitting leadoff the most. That alone makes him an attractive option in the $3,000-range and we're really not worried about a pitcher who's posting a 4.86 ERA and 1.34 WHIP dating back to 2015. 

Third Base

Eugenio SuarezEugenio Suarez FD - 3B 2700 DK - 3B 3700
Opponent - CHC (Cole Hamels) Park - CIN
FD - 12.12 DK - 9.11

The third base position is full of options, so we're going to go with a couple of cheap guys here to help get in those Dodgers. While Suarez has had a down year by his standards, this guy is simply too good to be this cheap. Since 2016, Suarez has accrued 97 home runs and 301 RBI, which is simply some of the best numbers in the league. That has led to an ISO well above .200 and it's just a matter of time before he returns to that form. Facing a lefty is a good way to kickstart a hot stretch, with Suarez posting an OPS approaching .950 against lefties in that same stretch. 

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 3B 3000 DK - 3B 3400
Opponent - KC (Danny Duffy) Park - TOR
FD - 12.62 DK - 9.67

Let's pick on another struggling hitter with the platoon advantage in his favor. This is yet another guy who we believe will be much higher priced in the coming weeks and we definitely want to be on the train before it gets too fast. Guerrero is one of the greatest hitting prospects ever and it's just a matter of time before he's a .300 hitter with an OPS in the .900 range. Guerrero is just that good and he actually posted an OPS north of 1.000 against lefties in his minor league career. Getting to face Danny Duffy should help too, with the left-hander posting a 4.76 ERA and 1.45 WHIP dating back to last season.

With all of the Dodgers in play, Justin Turner is definitely in consideration. 

Outfield

Randal GrichukRandal Grichuk FD - OF 2900 DK - OF 3700
Opponent - KC (Danny Duffy) Park - TOR
FD - 11.78 DK - 8.9

It's crazy how low Grichuk's price remains on both sites. We're talking about a guy with a career .776 OPS to match his .328 wOBA and .235 ISO. Those are stellar numbers from a guy this cheap and it's really hard to understand these prices. What makes him enticing on this slate is the fact that he gets the platoon advantage in his favor, with Grichuk posting an .802 OPS against lefties since the beginning of last season. As mentioned in the Guerrero write-up, we don't need to fade Duffy either. 

Jordan LuplowJordan Luplow FD - OF 2900 DK - OF 4700
Opponent - BAL (John Means) Park - BAL
FD - 11.23 DK - 8.54

If you don't already know, Luplow is a lefty masher. This dude has quietly been one of the best hitters in the league against southpaws and it's a wonder why he's not priced like that. While his .844 season-long OPS is an impressive mark in itself, the 1.133 OPS and .714 SLG against lefties is absolutely absurd. There's really not much else that needs to be said, as that OPS ranks in the Top-10 in baseball. It's not like John Means is terrible but it's impossible to overlook these Luplow statistics.

As you know, we love the Dodgers, so don't forget about Alex Verdugo (FD $3600 DK $4900). 

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