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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

09/10/2019
Joel Bartilotta

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/10/19

Only a few more weeks of the season, but we have another one of those nonsense, crazy over/unders in Coors to deal with on Wednesday. But there's also an expensive ace hitting the mound as well. Let's roll through a big day in MLB action.

Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. If you hate the Rockies or Cardinals, you're mot going to like this article. We have a game being played in Coors Field and these are the two clubs who benefit from that little league field. It should cause some fireworks and we'll do our best to offer up some value plays to mix in with all of these Coors Field bats.

Pitchers

Walker BuehlerWalker Buehler FD 11600 DK 12300
Opponent - BAL (Ty Blach) Park - BAL
FD - 41.04 DK - 23.09
It's going to be tough to fade Buehler. seeing as how he's been one of the best pitchers in the NL and gets a superb matchup against the Orioles. Let's start with that matchup, as Baltimore currently ranks 24th in runs scored, 26th in OBP and 25th in OPS. That's really scary against a guy like Buehler, with the right-hander pitching to a 3.28 ERA and 1.04 WHIP this season while striking out 190 batters across 159.1 innings. That's why he and the Dodgers enter this matchup as a -315 favorite.

Zack WheelerZack Wheeler FD 8300 DK 10000
Opponent - ARI (Zac Gallen) Park - ARI
FD - 34.18 DK - 17.91
While it's tough to use Wheeler on DK as a five-figure player, I absolutely love his $8,000 price tag on FanDuel. That's way too cheap for a guy with a 3.68 FIP and 23 percent K rate. That's really all you can ask for in a place like Citi Field, with that ballpark ranking as one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in the league. We're really not scared of Arizona either, as they rank 20th in both OBP and OPS against right-handed pitching. Vegas likes Wheeler too, making him a -135 favorite in this fixture with the D'Backs projected for fewer than four runs. It's hard to overlook Chase Anderson (FD $6300 DK $6000) at a dirt-cheap price against a putrid Miami lineup in a spacious stadium like Marlins Park.

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Catcher/First Base

Daniel MurphyDaniel Murphy FD 3500 DK 4700
Opponent - STL (Michael Wacha) Park - STL
FD - 13.14 DK - 10.09
This is the first of numerous Rockies and it's going to be tough to fade these guys on this slate. The reason for that is because they're projected for about seven runs against Michael Wacha. We'll go over those ugly Wacha numbers later in the article but it's truly a scary situation for the Cardinals righty. The reason we like Murph is because he gets the platoon advantage against Wacha, with Murphy posting an OPS north of .900 against right-handers since 2016. He's been raking at home too, hitting .319 there while posting an .844 OPS.

Paul GoldschmidtPaul Goldschmidt FD 4300 DK 5100
Opponent - COL (Chi Chi Gonzalez) Park - COL
FD - 16.75 DK - 12.61
On the other end of the ball, we have the Cardinals projected to go off too. In fact, they're projected for more than seven runs, opposing Chi Chi Gonzalez. The Rockies righty has simply been one of the worst pitchers in the NL and he's likely to struggle through this surging St. Louis lineup. The reason we want to use Goldy is because he's underpriced on all of these sites. This is usually the price we see from the .900-OPS All-Star and it's not taking into consideration that he gets to play in Coors Field. In 289 plate appearances at Coors Field, Goldy has a .327 AVG, .415 OBP, .608 SLG and 1.023 OPS.

Eric Thames (FD $2700 DK $4300) has been killing righties all year and is definitely in play below $3,000 on FanDuel.

Second Base

Kolten WongKolten Wong FD 3500 DK 4800
Opponent - COL (Chi Chi Gonzalez) Park - COL
FD - 13.24 DK - 10.22
Let's keep the Cardinals rolling with Wong. This dude was one of the best second basemen in the league the opening month and he's starting to recapture that form recently. In fact, Wong is hitting .409 over his last 12 games, as he's actually hit over .300 in three straight months. More importantly, he has a 1.163 OPS and three steals in that span, which is simply an elite power-speed combo. All of that doesn't even take into consideration that he gets the platoon advantage against Gonzalez, with Wong posting a .365 OBP and .788 OPS against roghties dating back to 2017.

Ryan McMahonRyan McMahon FD 3400 DK 4700
Opponent - STL (Michael Wacha) Park - STL
FD - 11.25 DK - 8.61
This FanDuel price is truly shocking. How often do you see a solid hitter like this in Coors Field priced below $3,000? We're talking about a hitter who's projected to bat sixth in a lineup projected for seven runs and that alone makes him a great option. It's not like he's some bum either, with McMahon providing a .260 AVG, .340 OBP, .459 SLG and .799 OPS this season. His numbers at Coors are even better, with McMahon totaling a .908 OPS at home dating back to 2018. We're certainly not worried about his opposition, with Michael Wacha pitching to a 4.98 ERA and 1.55 WHIP this season.

Cory Spangenberg (FD $2100 DK $3500) has been starting recently and is way too good to be $2,100 on FanDuel.

Shortstop

Paul DeJongPaul DeJong FD 3900 DK 4800
Opponent - COL (Chi Chi Gonzalez) Park - COL
FD - 14.72 DK - 11.18
You probably could have seen this coming with the theme of this article and DeJong very well might be the best shortstop on the board. We're talking about a player who has an OPS just shy of .800 since joining the Cards last season, which is backed up by a .455 SLG and .211 ISO. Those are elite power numbers from a shortstop and we obviously have to love him in a place like Coors Field. DeJong is rolling right now too, hitting seven homers over his last 26 games and two in his last five.

Didi GregoriusDidi Gregorius FD 3400 DK 8200
Opponent - DET (Edwin Jackson) Park - DET
FD - 8.77 DK - 6.72
All of this Coors Field talk and we haven't discussed the Yankees facing Edwin Jackson. This might be a nice contrarian stack from the Coors Field game, with NY projected for six runs. It's really no surprise when you see Jackson's numbers, with the Tigers right-hander pitching to a 9.16 ERA and 1.98 WHIP this season. That's horrifying against s stacked lineup like this and Gregorius is one of the only guys who actually get the platoon advantage. Dating back to 2017, Didi has a .513 SLG and .823 OPS against right-handers.

Third Base

Giovanny UrshelaGiovanny Urshela FD 3100 DK 8400
Opponent - DET (Edwin Jackson) Park - DET
FD - 8.51 DK - 6.51
Let's keep the Bronx Bombers stack going with Urshela. What makes him so attractive is this price, as he's been undervalued on these DFS sites all season long. Since becoming a regular, Gio has a .408 AVG, .708 SLG and 1.140 OPS over his last 30 games. Those are some of the best numbers in the game and it makes this price tag all the more shocking. The matchup against Edwin Jackson is simply the icing on the cake.

Travis ShawTravis Shaw FD 2200 DK 2300
Opponent - MIA (Elieser Hernandez) Park - MIA
FD - 8.68 DK - 6.52
With all of these Coors Field bats and Yankees in our article, we have to find some salary relief. Shaw is just that, as a terrible 2019 season has killed his price. This is a guy who's plenty capable of going off though, as he had at least 30 homers in both 2017 and 2018. What really makes him an enticing option here is this matchup, as he gets the platoon advantage against Elieser Hernandez. Not only does the right-hander have a 5.23 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, Shaw also has a .350 OBP, .493 SLG and .843 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor dating back to 2017.

Outfield

Tommy EdmanTommy Edman FD 3300 DK 5400
Opponent - COL (Chi Chi Gonzalez) Park - COL
FD - 14.24 DK - 10.9
Marcell OzunaMarcell Ozuna FD 4100 DK 5300
Opponent - COL (Chi Chi Gonzalez) Park - COL
FD - 15.28 DK - 11.69
Dexter FowlerDexter Fowler FD 3600 DK 4500
Opponent - COL (Chi Chi Gonzalez) Park - COL
FD - 12.36 DK - 9.37
We've been foreshadowing this throughout the article, so it's time to talk about why the Cardinals are such a good play. The seven implied run total is obviously ridiculous but it's really no surprise when you consider that they face Chi Chi Gonzalez in Coors Field. Not only is that the best hitting environment in the Majors, Gonzalez is also pitching to a 7.29 ERA and 1.69 WHIP en route to an 0-6 record so far this season.

Now that we have that out of the way, let's talk about all of these players. These Cardinals bats have been rolling right now, with Fowler hitting atop the lineup. The former Rockies outfielder has a .357 OBP and .792 OPS over his last 30 games and has been typically much better against right-handed pitching. Edman has been just as good, hitting .325 over his last 29 games en route to a .509 SLG and .867 OPS. Ozuna is in the same boat, collecting four homers and 14 RBI over his last 17 games while posting an OPS north of .800 in that span.



Jaylin DavisJaylin Davis FD 2200 DK 2000
Opponent - PIT (Mitch Keller) Park - PIT
FD - 8.87 DK - 6.8
I would be lying if I said I knew a whole lot about this kid but it's hard to argue with any top prospect being priced this cheaply. We're talking about a player who generated a .332 AVG, .410 OBP, .699 SLG and 1.110 OPS at Triple-A this season. That's really all you can ask for from a guy who's approaching a minimum price, especially against a pitcher making his season debut.

If you need more salary relief, Trent Grisham (FD $2600 DK $3100) went off on Monday and could have success against a pitcher like Hernandez atop that Brewers lineup.

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1 Visitor Comment

  1. Jaylin Davis is facing Mitch Keller who is not making his season debut. Davis’s teammate, Cueto, is making his debut.

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