Value and Sleeper Picks for Daily Fantasy NFL Football for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot - Week 14

It's another value picks and sleepers article for the 2015 NFL season! With a couple of weeks under our belts, some players are already undervalued on DraftKings and FanDuel. Roles change more rapidly in NFL than they do anywhere else, leaving us a huge opportunity to get to cashing in. Here are some guys that our projection system likes that you might not see elsewhere.

We've also got Chris Raybon's Week 14 NFL picks sitting there waiting for you to digest.

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Last week's value play article included some real, tournament-winning home runs like Marcus Mariota, Allen Robinson and Scott Chandler. It also included some duds as well. Such is life when trying to capture real contrarian upside. We are getting down to the wire in the NFL and it's tough to come out of nowhere at this point. We want to target some players who the public may be a little down on, but who stand to turn in solid performances.

A couple of notes on these picks. They are geared a little more towards DraftKings where, because of pricing range difference, it's a little easier to suss out some value on a given slate. Additionally, remember that these aren't necessarily your super safe cash game plays. There is always a little more risk with these picks than the ones laid out in Chris's Week 14 picks article.

QUARTERBACKS

Let me start by saying that James Winston, as outlined in Chris's article, is a cheap option facing a putrid Saints' defense. That's definitely an incredible value and you can roll the guy in cash lineups.

Eli Manning - FD 7500 DK 6100
Opponent- MIA
Eli's completion percentage has been, for lack of a better word, crappy over the last few weeks. Since putting up a cheat code performance against the Saints, he's been erratic. That's caused a price dip over the short term. This week he'll face a Miami team ranked 23rd in DVOA against the pass. This game has the second highest opening over/under of the week at 46.5 as a pick'em. The Giants are throwing on 63% of their plays, ranking 9th in the league. I think this is a good spot for Manning and will be a place to separate from the crowd in a tournament.

Ryan Tannehill - FD 6900 DK 5200
Opponent- NYG
Oof. Oof again. Tannehill was a little bit of terrible against the Ravens last week, going 9-19 in a game the Fins won only because the Ravens are a disaster. So why play him? The case for Tannehill is much the same as it was for Eli. This game has a bunch of projected points going in and the Giants rank 27th in DVOA against the pass. Tannehill is coming very cheap and does have a couple of bigger games under his belt.

RUNNING BACKS

Lamar Miller - FD 6600 DK 5700
Opponent- NYG
As I said in the value's play article last week, I saw a Lamar bounce back after some poor performances. He and the Dolphins had run into some tougher defensive matchups of late. But the Ravens are a mess and he got 20 touches on his way to 113 yards. No touchdowns keeps the price in check for another week and the Giants rank 26th in DVOA against the run. I actually think Miller is one of the safer RB plays on the board relative to price this week. He's clearly still RB1 and this game has a high total. Think your money is getting in good here.

Eddie Lacy - FD 6200 DK 4700
Opponent- DAL
Fat Eddie gotta eat. I hope. This is clearly just a tournament play this week. The Packers are all over the place with their offensive production out of the backfield, but before being scolded last week Eddie had dominated the touches. In the two previous games he had totaled 39 carries and 5 receptions. Now he'll face a Dallas team at home as a six point favorite. If he is going to see anywhere close to that volume then he is a fantastic value. But again, this is Eddie Lacy we are talking about.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Alshon Jeffery - FD 7500 DK 6900
Opponent- WAS
Not exactly a cheap value play all things considered, but I did want to highlight him as a solid consideration who wasn't included in the main picks article. Alshon saw twelve targets last week though he had difficulty converting. His volume this season has been fantastic, putting in only one week with less than double digit targets. This week he faces an average Washington squad as a top receiver priced very much under the group of big boys. I have no issue running him in all formats.

Marvin Jones - FD 6200 DK 4200
Opponent- PIT
Another guy who was included in the value plays article last week and performed well above his price point. Marvin went 5/55/1 for a fantastic performance at close to min-prices. His number's come up a little on FanDuel, but is still a great value on DraftKings. He converted all five of his targets last week, which isn't sustainable. But I like him as a cheap complimentary piece again this time around. This game has a huge over and the Bengals will need to keep pace with a high powered Steeler offense.

Davante Adams - FD 6300 DK 4200
Opponent- DAL
He falls into the heavy-target, low production category. Adams has seen 18 looks over the last two games though his big issue is actually catching the ball when thrown to. Davante has converted only 33% of those targets. That's an issue of course. But the price reflects the risk and you aren't going to get many cheaper WRs who are fed the ball as much. He's especially interesting on DraftKings where I see him as a home run play.

TIGHT ENDS

Scott Chandler - FD 5800 DK 3800
Opponent- HOU
He's listed as questionable right now and the Patriots don't play until Sunday night. That's a slight issue on timing when putting in those early lineups. But I suspect he plays and makes for a fantastic value. Since Gronk went down Chandler has seen 18 targets in two games to put up a combined 9/119/2 line. For a near-minimum price on DraftKings and a sub $6K number on FanDuel you are getting a fair amount of safety. The Pats clearly enjoy using the tight end regardless of personnel and Chandler's price hasn't crept to actual value with his new role.

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